Nautical-Sleep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-09 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$0

Other

36% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	04-02 08:53
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-15 03:40
bitcoin above 82k on march 20	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-19 07:13
bitcoin above 62k on february 14	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	02-14 02:16
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-25 03:00
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-11 03:29
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 420 439	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	04-07 06:30
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	04-26 07:24
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-04 09:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	05-07 09:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	05-11 03:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 22	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	04-21 09:33
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 620 639	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	01-27 09:00
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-23 09:50
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-15 09:27
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 215 239	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-16 09:21
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 240plus	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	02-01 07:03
bitcoin above 78k on february 7	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	02-07 03:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-13 02:36
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-29 06:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-30 06:15
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	02-28 07:55
bitcoin above 86k on january 10	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	01-10 09:16
bitcoin above 84k on january 20	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	01-19 10:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	05-16 06:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	05-27 02:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	05-23 02:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	05-30 06:22
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	06-09 09:06
bitcoin above 86k on january 6	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	01-06 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:06:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x72a574…
05-30 06:22:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xe5c06c…
05-30 06:22:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,990	0¢	$4	0xb9b22c…
05-27 02:55:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x84aa20…
05-23 02:19:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xb659db…
05-16 06:54:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x15ece9…
05-16 06:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2,100	0¢	$4	0xa500f1…
05-11 03:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x1d22b5…
05-07 09:14:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x430767…
04-30 06:15:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x104da5…
04-30 06:15:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,925	0¢	$4	0x8e2401…
04-26 07:24:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x018607…
04-21 09:33:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 22	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x013e80…
04-16 09:21:38	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 215 239	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x04f85c…
04-16 09:21:22	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x942eed…
04-16 09:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x70ea41…
04-13 02:36:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x83ee0e…
04-13 02:35:43	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72da0b…
04-13 02:35:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0435a4…
04-13 02:35:23	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3921b8…
04-07 06:30:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 420 439	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x39f7b4…
04-07 06:30:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaea7c…
04-07 06:29:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9808e9…
04-07 06:29:41	Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x144539…
04-02 08:53:27	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xe2025f…
03-29 06:16:36	will trump meet with pope leo xiv in march 2026 589	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2303a…
03-29 06:16:24	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x16fa93…
03-29 06:16:16	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe33144…
03-25 03:00:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x756d6d…
03-19 07:13:13	bitcoin above 82k on march 20	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe54d5b…
03-15 03:40:49	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xf7f4dc…
03-11 03:29:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4f2a61…
03-04 09:43:47	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x8e8f03…
03-04 09:43:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 4	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe14276…
03-04 09:42:49	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75f331…
02-28 07:55:33	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc3e86a…
02-14 02:16:41	bitcoin above 62k on february 14	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x399698…
02-07 03:55:25	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xe86032…
02-01 07:03:02	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 240plus	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xfae112…
02-01 07:02:52	elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81318f…
02-01 07:02:38	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa90d57…
02-01 07:02:28	will the highest temperature in london be 12c or higher on february 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2428c…
01-27 09:00:49	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 620 639	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6d9285…
01-23 09:50:06	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xee62f1…
01-19 10:47:24	bitcoin above 84k on january 20	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0dfd82…
01-19 10:47:14	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a2cfa…
01-19 10:47:06	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 19 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2dafc1…
01-19 10:46:42	will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb05e96…
01-15 09:27:10	elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xfc1761…
01-15 09:27:02	highest temperature in london on january 15 12corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10e2de…
01-15 09:26:40	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa865c4…
01-10 09:16:28	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 0 39	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e0b6a…
01-10 09:16:18	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a7693…
01-10 09:16:10	bitcoin above 86k on january 10	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6ee391…
01-06 09:15:15	bitcoin above 86k on january 6	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x6e8121…
01-06 09:15:07	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x918c47…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	38	$6.32K	3,374	04-19 14:01
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	37	$1.99K	653	06-07 18:14
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$105.9K	1,905	05-30 05:22
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	27	$1.41K	1,053	05-31 15:19
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	25	$160.1K	3,777	04-08 17:40
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	24	$546	1,807	06-09 11:31
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	23	$1.25M	6,611	04-27 16:31
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	23	$8.60K	489	04-07 16:44