Tempting-Tonality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$210

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

282

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$162.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$425

Open exposure

$547

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 11-03 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 93% +$76

Politics

7% 82% +$67

Tech

1% 0% $0

Other

0% 100% +$18

Sports

0% 100% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	Yes	—	+501	$500	100¢	$500	$0	11-04 09:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+47	$45	100¢	$47	+$2	11-03 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	5	$2.8K	1,611	1,212	+398	No	+$29	03-04 15:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	5	$2.1K	1,294	1,294	+0	Yes	-$313	03-04 14:48
bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	3	$1.9K	1,372	803	+569	No	-$195	09-30 13:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	4	$1.7K	1,157	625	+532	No	-$85	10-20 15:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	2	$1.5K	754	754	+0	Yes	+$2	09-24 14:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	2	$1.5K	748	748	+0	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	2	$1.4K	702	702	+0	No	+$1	09-28 14:27
bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	2	$1.4K	685	685	+0	Yes	+$1	08-18 13:24
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	2	$1.3K	673	673	+0	No	+$1	03-03 14:22
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	2	$1.3K	671	671	+0	No	+$11	03-03 09:55
will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	2	$1.3K	655	655	+0	No	+$2	03-02 06:14
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	4	$1.3K	984	541	+442	No	-$165	03-23 14:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	2	$1.3K	640	640	+0	Yes	+$0	10-14 08:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	2	$1.3K	631	631	+0	Yes	+$1	10-19 11:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$1.3K	631	631	+0	Yes	+$6	10-18 20:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	2	$1.2K	626	626	+0	Yes	+$1	10-20 13:34
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	2	$1.2K	632	632	+0	No	-$10	10-19 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	2	$1.2K	623	623	+0	Yes	+$2	10-09 11:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	3	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$7	10-08 14:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	No	+$1	10-15 12:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	2	$1.2K	590	590	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 11:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$1.2K	611	611	+0	Yes	-$18	04-05 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$1.2K	577	577	+0	Yes	+$3	04-30 15:35
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 17:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?	2	$1.1K	567	567	+1	No	$0	10-01 13:51
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	3	$1.1K	566	565	+0	No	+$1	04-14 15:05
bitcoin above 74k on april 22	2	$1.1K	563	562	+0	Yes	+$2	04-22 13:39
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	2	$1.1K	560	559	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 12:37
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	2	$1.1K	553	553	+0	Yes	+$1	04-12 12:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$1.1K	579	579	+0	Yes	-$37	04-07 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 09:32:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x682a75…
11-03 12:45:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xe73953…
11-02 12:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	543	100¢	$542	0x867d90…
11-02 12:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa66c66…
10-29 11:11:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	544	99¢	$541	0xea640f…
10-28 13:46:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	541	100¢	$539	0xd3ac7f…
10-28 13:45:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	541	100¢	$540	0x8e9943…
10-28 09:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	541	100¢	$540	0x1a5e30…
10-27 11:57:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	540	100¢	$539	0x27328c…
10-26 15:06:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	538	100¢	$537	0xc8eaef…
10-23 05:23:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	538	100¢	$535	0x658ff6…
10-23 04:29:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	552	97¢	$536	0x1756b7…
10-22 17:46:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	552	98¢	$539	0x163af7…
10-22 07:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xfb5cbc…
10-22 07:06:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x7e8398…
10-21 08:52:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	537	99¢	$532	0x65bc23…
10-21 08:52:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	532	100¢	$531	0x0e2ae5…
10-21 06:07:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	532	100¢	$530	0x10b855…
10-20 15:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	477	100¢	$476	0x38dafe…
10-20 14:42:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xeb04dc…
10-20 14:18:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	625	85¢	$531	0xc65eb1…
10-20 13:35:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	625	100¢	$622	0xe78f42…
10-20 13:34:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	626	100¢	$624	0x444775…
10-20 07:12:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	626	100¢	$623	0xbba156…
10-19 19:38:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xe84df1…
10-19 18:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	621	100¢	$619	0xef71cc…
10-19 16:39:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1e96d6…
10-19 12:18:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	624	99¢	$617	0xeb6c97…
10-19 12:17:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	632	98¢	$618	0x5d2bbd…
10-19 11:30:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	632	99¢	$628	0x9c4186…
10-19 11:29:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	631	100¢	$628	0x459af9…
10-19 06:54:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	631	99¢	$627	0x738be7…
10-18 20:32:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	635	99¢	$630	0xfff4c5…
10-18 20:31:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	631	100¢	$629	0x6ef95f…
10-18 05:18:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	631	99¢	$623	0x250c0c…
10-17 07:18:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	629	98¢	$620	0x6c5773…
10-16 12:21:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x8cd472…
10-16 08:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	603	100¢	$600	0x49b77c…
10-15 12:08:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	607	99¢	$601	0x746ff1…
10-15 12:08:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0xec58a3…
10-15 07:13:44	bitcoin above 84k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x21e768…
10-15 07:13:13	bitcoin above 86k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0x5c246e…
10-14 08:23:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	646	99¢	$639	0x3940e6…
10-14 08:23:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Yes	SELL	640	100¢	$639	0xd255c4…
10-14 06:19:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	640	100¢	$639	0xc9c381…
10-13 12:16:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xca3e3d…
10-13 12:15:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xba4d98…
10-13 08:19:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	639	100¢	$637	0x4b14cd…
10-13 08:17:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xa4c318…
10-13 07:54:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x537d0c…
10-13 05:32:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x786dbe…
10-13 04:57:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xcc1952…
10-12 16:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xcf4f83…
10-12 09:27:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	629	99¢	$626	0x9b239c…
10-10 11:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	626	100¢	$625	0x14a006…
10-09 11:58:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	625	99¢	$620	0xf2bcda…
10-09 11:58:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	623	100¢	$621	0x1b674d…
10-09 06:38:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	623	99¢	$619	0x71ac73…
10-08 14:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	619	99¢	$610	0x5be91d…
10-08 14:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	608	100¢	$607	0xed8b24…
10-08 08:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xd57f8e…
10-08 06:01:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd9aa2c…
10-07 07:35:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$497	0x5b8cbf…
10-07 05:31:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x11b7fa…
10-06 06:07:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	598	99¢	$594	0x981a54…
10-05 11:44:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	595	99¢	$587	0xeb1eed…
10-05 11:44:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	590	100¢	$588	0x5eccbe…
10-05 06:22:02	bitcoin above 82k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	590	99¢	$587	0x2fce81…
10-04 07:25:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	587	100¢	$586	0xad6a27…
10-03 11:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	586	100¢	$585	0x7b65f1…
10-02 11:04:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0x465c4b…
10-02 11:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0x4d8fd2…
10-02 06:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	581	99¢	$575	0x6a5077…
10-01 13:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	576	98¢	$567	0x9ac759…
10-01 13:51:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?	No	SELL	567	100¢	$564	0xbdc989…
10-01 08:00:39	bitcoin above 88k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	567	100¢	$565	0x74f5a0…
09-30 13:52:42	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	No	BUY	569	95¢	$540	0x843da1…
09-30 13:10:26	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	No	SELL	803	69¢	$554	0xef1293…
09-30 11:34:56	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	No	BUY	803	97¢	$778	0x1bb2a4…
09-29 15:45:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x25ca60…
09-29 15:45:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x5dd1d3…
09-29 07:54:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	779	100¢	$775	0xe88697…
09-28 14:39:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0x381538…
09-28 14:27:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	SELL	702	100¢	$701	0x9ed4ef…
09-28 13:39:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x47f38e…
09-28 13:38:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xeda69c…
09-28 07:36:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x264a0d…
09-28 07:36:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$700	0xcb181f…
09-27 09:20:06	bitcoin above 82k on september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	765	100¢	$763	0x1aeb1c…
09-26 10:30:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	763	100¢	$760	0xf4fbdd…
09-25 07:11:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xec4866…
09-25 07:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	704	99¢	$700	0xc66bb5…
09-24 14:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	756	100¢	$753	0x320483…
09-24 14:26:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	754	100¢	$754	0x440e28…
09-24 10:07:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	754	100¢	$752	0xe0b70f…
09-23 07:19:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	751	100¢	$749	0xa1cf54…
09-22 14:12:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x72588c…
09-22 14:10:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	748	100¢	$746	0x601059…
09-22 07:13:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	748	100¢	$746	0x904778…
09-21 07:28:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0x203649…