Tempting-Tonality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$89.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$375

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-20 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 100% +$15

Politics

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	5	$2.8K	1,611	1,212	+398	open	—	03-04 15:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	5	$2.1K	1,294	1,294	+0	open	—	03-04 14:48
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	2	$1.3K	673	673	+0	open	—	03-03 14:22
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	2	$1.3K	671	671	+0	open	—	03-03 09:55
will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	2	$1.3K	655	655	+0	open	—	03-02 06:14
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	4	$1.3K	984	541	+442	open	—	03-23 14:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$1.2K	611	611	+0	open	—	04-05 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$1.2K	577	577	+0	open	—	04-30 15:35
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	open	—	04-07 17:48
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	3	$1.1K	566	565	+0	open	—	04-14 15:05
bitcoin above 74k on april 22	2	$1.1K	563	562	+0	open	—	04-22 13:39
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	2	$1.1K	560	559	+0	open	—	04-21 12:37
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	2	$1.1K	553	553	+0	open	—	04-12 12:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$1.1K	579	579	+0	open	—	04-07 20:50
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$1.1K	551	551	+0	open	—	04-17 15:03
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	2	$1.1K	551	551	+0	open	—	04-11 14:48
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	2	$1.1K	544	544	+0	open	—	04-15 14:35
bitcoin above 70k on april 8	2	$1.1K	546	546	+1	open	—	04-08 15:50
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	2	$1.1K	540	539	+0	open	—	04-08 12:58
bitcoin above 66k on march 22	2	$1.1K	535	535	+0	open	—	03-22 14:50
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	2	$1.1K	530	530	+0	open	—	03-21 13:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	open	—	03-19 06:05
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	2	$1.0K	514	514	+0	open	—	02-06 21:01
bitcoin above 70k on march 16	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	open	—	03-16 15:25
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	03-16 12:02
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	2	$1.0K	507	507	+0	open	—	02-04 18:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	open	—	03-31 15:30
bitcoin above 74k on march 11	2	$949	476	476	+0	open	—	03-11 12:25
bitcoin above 74k on march 10	2	$931	470	470	+0	open	—	03-10 13:30
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	2	$924	465	465	+0	open	—	03-10 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 10:37:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x6b719a…
05-18 05:59:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xf4a988…
05-16 11:32:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xe1c819…
05-13 08:56:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	512	100¢	$510	0xc535e7…
05-13 07:45:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1baeaa…
05-11 11:02:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	610	99¢	$607	0x620814…
05-08 09:07:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x7e2ba0…
05-07 15:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x48a49b…
05-07 15:41:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4e46ed…
05-07 06:45:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x0db737…
05-04 13:14:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	598	99¢	$595	0x7f45f5…
05-03 14:19:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	594	99¢	$588	0x6c2a43…
05-02 10:52:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	589	99¢	$585	0x743cbd…
05-01 11:15:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	583	100¢	$582	0x855a7c…
04-30 15:38:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	579	99¢	$570	0x4a0a23…
04-30 15:35:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	577	100¢	$577	0x542f4e…
04-30 12:45:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	577	99¢	$574	0xcd1a8a…
04-30 06:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf1a1a3…
04-29 13:57:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc725a6…
04-29 13:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1ab524…
04-29 11:44:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	581	99¢	$577	0x49556d…
04-29 11:02:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9eb99a…
04-28 10:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	579	100¢	$577	0x42e611…
04-27 07:45:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	577	100¢	$575	0xf97a16…
04-26 12:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	575	100¢	$572	0xc94d72…
04-25 10:27:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	573	100¢	$570	0xd507ab…
04-24 06:26:52	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	570	99¢	$566	0xd828fe…
04-23 07:36:20	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	566	100¢	$564	0xe238c1…
04-23 07:34:54	btc updown 5m 1776929400	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbfea49…
04-23 06:49:18	btc updown 5m 1776926700	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x04382d…
04-22 19:19:24	btc updown 5m 1776885300	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdcc231…
04-22 13:40:18	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	BUY	565	99¢	$562	0x4c74a8…
04-22 13:39:56	bitcoin above 74k on april 22	Yes	SELL	562	100¢	$562	0x97c6cc…
04-22 08:02:44	bitcoin above 74k on april 22	Yes	BUY	563	100¢	$560	0xa2f697…
04-21 12:38:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	561	100¢	$558	0x9aa130…
04-21 12:37:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	SELL	559	100¢	$558	0xa11ec9…
04-21 08:54:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	560	100¢	$558	0x70c624…
04-20 10:34:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	559	100¢	$557	0xd5349a…
04-19 11:02:46	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	557	100¢	$555	0x8af9d0…
04-18 11:22:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	556	99¢	$552	0xa2663c…
04-18 08:42:30	btc updown 5m 1776501600	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf1185e…
04-17 15:03:46	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	551	100¢	$550	0x451e86…
04-17 15:03:02	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	SELL	551	100¢	$550	0x13439e…
04-17 12:18:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	551	100¢	$549	0x4cb8f3…
04-16 19:43:06	btc updown 5m 1776368400	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x576030…
04-16 12:23:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	548	100¢	$547	0xc6c381…
04-15 14:36:12	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	547	99¢	$543	0x8533e4…
04-15 14:35:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	SELL	544	100¢	$543	0xb453aa…
04-15 08:19:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	544	100¢	$542	0x876b5e…
04-14 15:05:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	BUY	542	98¢	$531	0x9c4e5f…
04-14 15:05:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 14	Yes	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0xe3ff1f…
04-14 15:05:33	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	SELL	465	100¢	$464	0xb7b574…
04-14 14:27:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 14	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x33e214…
04-14 14:23:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	SELL	103	67¢	$70	0x8abcd4…
04-14 13:01:37	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	BUY	104	96¢	$99	0x5bf630…
04-14 13:01:17	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x98a777…
04-14 06:48:43	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	566	99¢	$563	0x5048a0…
04-13 20:29:05	btc updown 5m 1776111900	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0658d9…
04-13 10:18:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	563	100¢	$560	0xd6a9a3…
04-12 12:01:07	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	561	98¢	$553	0x224f87…
04-12 12:00:13	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	SELL	553	100¢	$553	0x573b18…
04-12 06:48:35	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	553	100¢	$552	0x5e24bb…
04-11 14:48:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	No	BUY	552	100¢	$550	0x008d6e…
04-11 14:48:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	SELL	551	100¢	$550	0xca1436…
04-11 07:17:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	551	100¢	$549	0x312c58…
04-10 19:31:37	btc updown 5m 1775849400	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfbf0fe…
04-10 19:30:59	btc updown 5m 1775849400	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcaaec4…
04-10 07:22:53	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	551	100¢	$550	0x42d925…
04-10 07:19:35	btc updown 5m 1775805300	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1e19ad…
04-09 10:05:59	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	549	100¢	$546	0x11ef0a…
04-08 15:51:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	546	100¢	$545	0xc8978c…
04-08 15:50:51	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	SELL	546	100¢	$545	0xd98351…
04-08 12:59:07	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	BUY	546	98¢	$538	0xfbe46f…
04-08 12:58:21	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	Yes	SELL	539	100¢	$538	0xdc18ae…
04-08 06:00:31	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	Yes	BUY	540	99¢	$535	0x60b198…
04-07 20:53:51	btc updown 5m 1775595000	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5ec778…
04-07 20:50:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	579	92¢	$532	0x53e787…
04-07 17:48:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	579	98¢	$570	0xbe1fa7…
04-07 17:48:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	SELL	570	100¢	$570	0x993a2c…
04-07 05:23:25	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	570	100¢	$569	0x82cefc…
04-07 04:44:39	btc updown 5m 1775536800	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x09d62e…
04-06 11:56:59	bitcoin above 72k on april 6	No	BUY	580	99¢	$573	0x4a564f…
04-06 07:38:51	btc updown 5m 1775460900	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4894bd…
04-05 17:37:43	btc updown 5m 1775410500	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x70354a…
04-05 16:24:45	btc updown 5m 1775406000	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xae153d…
04-05 16:19:19	btc updown 5m 1775405700	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x56b04c…
04-05 16:11:31	btc updown 5m 1775405400	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x57392e…
04-05 16:02:39	btc updown 5m 1775404800	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5814f0…
04-05 15:57:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	611	93¢	$568	0x22396b…
04-04 20:52:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	611	96¢	$586	0x611cf7…
04-04 20:43:59	btc updown 5m 1775335200	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa660e4…
04-04 20:32:59	btc updown 5m 1775334600	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x25bb46…
04-04 20:31:41	btc updown 5m 1775334600	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x37e961…
04-04 09:58:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	596	100¢	$594	0xb3cf2f…
04-04 05:05:01	btc updown 5m 1775278800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcfaa93…
04-03 12:05:15	bitcoin above 66k on april 3	Yes	BUY	595	97¢	$578	0xd9716b…
04-03 11:59:27	btc updown 5m 1775217300	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1bf466…
04-03 09:59:25	btc updown 5m 1775210100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf3f20…
04-03 09:59:05	btc updown 5m 1775210100	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9446f3…
04-03 08:59:47	btc updown 5m 1775206500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa41f84…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	106	$35.0K	945	05-19 07:46
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	97	$1.37M	11,684	05-20 05:25
Clear-Tower 0xddcd…725f	92	$5.17K	2,738	05-20 13:37
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	91	$270.3K	4,760	05-20 09:10
(anonymous) 0x997c…251e	90	$1.53M	52,104	05-20 12:53
Trifling-Cushion 0xe0aa…89ad	90	$43.4K	1,643	05-17 02:32
Hideous-Package 0x21c5…3533	89	$102.9K	254	05-20 01:02
Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc	88	$19.0K	2,680	05-20 14:18