Shocking-Treat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

3,611

Trades

11,543

lifetime

Volume

$272.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$183

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 284 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 12% -$77,514

Other

9% 10% -$1,577

Politics

0% 8% -$329

Sports

0% 20% -$48

Tech

0% 0% -$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	Yes		+6,811	$122	3¢	$180	+$58	10-26 16:12
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	Yes		+2,001	$38	0¢	$3	-$35	10-17 13:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 26 1	32	$7.7K	17,840	17,840	+0	Yes	+$6,485	01-30 18:24
will xauusd reach 4350 by august 3 2026	8	$6.0K	7,040	7,040	+0	Yes	+$5,747	08-07 13:25
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	26	$3.7K	20,921	20,921	+0	No	+$2,769	02-02 03:48
will xrp dip to 1pt2 february 2 8	29	$2.8K	12,527	12,527	+0	Yes	+$1,743	02-05 13:35
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 7	7	$2.6K	2,747	2,557	+190	Yes	+$2,610	04-07 23:21
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	6	$1.9K	4,059	3,772	+287	Yes	+$2,063	04-09 15:34
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	33	$1.9K	31,207	36,207	-5,000	No	-$245	02-21 18:40
will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	34	$1.7K	18,951	20,955	-2,004	No	+$446	01-31 21:21
will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	33	$1.5K	85,065	4,803	+80,263	No	+$87	01-31 21:22
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	16	$1.4K	20,941	11,149	+9,792	No	+$471	01-28 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 17:45 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,298	1,298	+0	Down	+$1,235	03-22 18:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 8	21	$1.3K	11,950	4,204	+7,746	No	+$286	02-08 16:38
will xrp dip to 1pt5 january 26 1	6	$1.3K	4,090	4,090	+0	No	+$1,163	01-31 17:14
solana up or down on january 13	22	$1.2K	2,571	3,155	-583	Up	-$383	01-13 08:55
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	7	$1.2K	1,981	1,981	+0	No	+$987	07-28 01:08
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	10	$1.1K	8,083	8,083	+0	No	+$754	08-07 15:26
will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	19	$1.0K	21,255	21,255	+0	Yes	+$580	08-19 20:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	6	$1.0K	5,000	4,644	+356	Up	+$929	04-10 12:25
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 29	2	$1.0K	2,502	2,502	+0	No	+$968	01-29 15:41
spx up or down on july 24 2026	15	$984	2,681	2,681	+0	Up	+$576	07-24 18:34
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	36	$942	40,062	40,062	+0	No	-$800	02-23 16:51
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	26	$925	35,187	35,187	+0	No	-$784	02-20 16:59
bitcoin up or down january 6 5pm et	19	$866	1,217	1,217	+0	Up	+$323	01-06 22:53
bitcoin up or down on january 22	18	$829	5,985	5,985	+0	Up	-$24	01-22 15:35
will xrp dip to 1pt6 january 26 1	12	$827	7,346	7,346	+0	Yes	+$534	01-30 18:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-12 17:00 UTC	17	$763	1,850	1,194	+657	Down	+$48	01-12 20:24
will xrp dip to 1pt9 january 12 18	3	$756	734	734	+0	Yes	+$696	01-19 00:03
will bitcoin reach 78k february 9 15	27	$737	35,341	0	+35,341	No	-$737	02-13 16:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	3	$723	1,431	1,431	+0	Yes	+$685	10-24 15:17
will xrp dip to 1pt4 january 26 1	12	$701	15,563	2,500	+13,063	No	-$81	02-01 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:04:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,888	1¢	$18	0x40e1d6…
10-26 21:01:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	663	1¢	$9	0xdcd3db…
10-26 21:01:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2,720	0¢	$10	0xfb8e4c…
10-26 18:39:21	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,143	1¢	$8	0x451486…
10-26 18:39:08	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,118	2¢	$19	0x667800…
10-26 18:21:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,767	1¢	$19	0xf1b60f…
10-26 16:12:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	847	2¢	$20	0x4fd27d…
10-26 16:05:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,634	1¢	$15	0x1e8088…
10-26 15:52:41	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	926	4¢	$36	0xc9f207…
10-26 15:13:14	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	671	4¢	$26	0x1cab01…
10-25 18:16:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,312	2¢	$28	0xb52d05…
10-25 18:15:51	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	103	6¢	$6	0x082651…
10-25 17:36:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,016	2¢	$19	0x29c024…
10-25 17:35:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,652	2¢	$75	0x8a8067…
10-25 17:28:12	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	632	5¢	$34	0x1cc257…
10-25 14:21:54	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,176	5¢	$54	0x43769e…
10-25 14:19:24	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,349	1¢	$20	0xa80608…
10-25 14:17:56	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0xe1d40a…
10-25 14:02:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0xa85002…
10-25 12:08:32	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	419	4¢	$17	0x983a55…
10-25 12:08:06	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,078	1¢	$28	0x2121ad…
10-25 12:07:45	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,411	3¢	$39	0xf562ed…
10-25 12:02:12	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xf14e14…
10-25 09:29:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	455	4¢	$19	0x9fcd66…
10-25 07:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,183	1¢	$9	0x8a85bb…
10-25 06:59:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	562	2¢	$9	0x4d58ea…
10-25 06:57:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,347	1¢	$18	0xb2f5c2…
10-25 05:42:29	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x07b5cf…
10-25 05:41:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,487	1¢	$15	0xb490aa…
10-24 18:22:42	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	281	5¢	$15	0x5d18a0…
10-24 18:21:50	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,309	4¢	$58	0x7bac9e…
10-24 16:58:02	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	981	3¢	$28	0x840d9f…
10-24 16:57:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	5,577	2¢	$95	0x41c52d…
10-24 15:33:23	Will Solana reach $120 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,710	1¢	$16	0x50c645…
10-24 15:32:51	Will Solana reach $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,401	1¢	$53	0x32c34d…
10-24 15:31:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	2,834	3¢	$73	0xfdb094…
10-24 15:29:14	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,369	3¢	$40	0xec1d34…
10-24 15:28:21	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,410	1¢	$45	0x98293c…
10-24 15:27:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	946	14¢	$133	0xbfcb77…
10-24 15:26:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	555	15¢	$82	0x17b452…
10-24 15:24:51	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	6,374	2¢	$106	0xac5be3…
10-24 15:23:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	432	14¢	$63	0xc382e8…
10-24 15:22:59	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,812	2¢	$29	0x31e8e5…
10-24 15:17:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	No	SELL	1,431	49¢	$704	0xad6a28…
10-24 13:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	692	1¢	$9	0xab9c15…
10-24 13:47:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	No	BUY	308	3¢	$8	0xd6ed33…
10-24 13:45:45	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$30	0x487044…
10-24 13:45:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,291	1¢	$9	0x3d8406…
10-24 13:41:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,123	1¢	$11	0x5ace03…
10-24 11:42:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	897	1¢	$6	0x8bf592…
10-24 11:37:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,577	2¢	$130	0x47ee88…
10-24 11:29:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	3,081	0¢	$9	0xd4bb08…
10-24 11:26:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	444	2¢	$9	0xea1642…
10-24 11:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	796	2¢	$16	0x87776d…
10-23 21:13:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,100	2¢	$23	0xcf1730…
10-23 20:19:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	761	3¢	$22	0x9a9c56…
10-23 15:03:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	941	2¢	$18	0xbbe18d…
10-23 15:02:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,383	1¢	$10	0xb05f7e…
10-23 15:00:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	532	2¢	$9	0xf113b4…
10-23 14:59:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,125	1¢	$9	0xd3fa09…
10-23 14:58:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	571	2¢	$10	0xc014ed…
10-23 14:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$6	0xed7fca…
10-23 13:50:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	369	3¢	$9	0x4d1b6a…
10-23 13:50:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	583	2¢	$11	0xa5f6c3…
10-23 13:50:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	442	2¢	$10	0x7c384a…
10-23 13:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	240	2¢	$5	0x4a4c3a…
10-23 08:55:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,044	1¢	$10	0x01e0d0…
10-23 08:53:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	420	2¢	$8	0x4e67ef…
10-23 08:42:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	474	2¢	$9	0xc0f1c9…
10-23 08:42:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	849	1¢	$10	0x828ed3…
10-23 08:37:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	487	2¢	$9	0x831bfc…
10-23 08:33:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	346	3¢	$9	0x3f22fa…
10-23 08:33:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x194f7a…
10-23 08:33:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf38be1…
10-23 08:32:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	956	1¢	$10	0x58b283…
10-23 08:31:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	591	2¢	$11	0x248423…
10-23 08:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,406	1¢	$12	0xa38ed1…
10-23 07:59:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x3fa0c1…
10-23 07:07:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	363	2¢	$6	0x2953a0…
10-23 07:07:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,286	1¢	$9	0x918220…
10-23 07:06:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	No	BUY	2,106	0¢	$6	0xf328e4…
10-23 07:05:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,669	1¢	$15	0xe71da1…
10-23 02:50:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	479	2¢	$8	0xebbfa4…
10-23 02:45:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,280	2¢	$24	0x2e0de3…
10-23 02:43:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	3,093	1¢	$37	0x9f19e0…
10-23 01:50:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	633	1¢	$8	0x0dfef5…
10-23 01:49:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,900	1¢	$19	0x10dc6f…
10-23 01:47:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$9	0xe1f5d5…
10-23 01:44:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,655	1¢	$14	0xee2b2a…
10-23 01:28:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	4,534	0¢	$18	0x826fe6…
10-23 01:16:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	704	2¢	$14	0xafc87f…
10-23 01:15:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5,002	0¢	$15	0x6a576a…
10-23 01:06:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	2,880	1¢	$22	0xe94a8d…
10-23 01:02:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	No	BUY	401	2¢	$10	0x255701…
10-23 01:01:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	505	3¢	$15	0x5a12a5…
10-23 00:53:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,133	2¢	$18	0x40337b…
10-23 00:50:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	642	1¢	$9	0xdecd8a…
10-23 00:50:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	601	2¢	$13	0x589c71…
10-22 22:49:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,198	2¢	$26	0xd7b96a…
10-22 22:48:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,321	1¢	$19	0x284f4e…