Moral-Slider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

334

Trades

737

lifetime

Volume

$8.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

74% 72% +$0

Crypto

17% 89% +$0

Politics

5% 61% $0

Sports

2% 30% $0

Tech

1% 67% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	10-30 08:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	5	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-19 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	4	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	07-22 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 28?	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-28 09:56
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	3	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on July 3?	4	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-03 04:24
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	07-19 15:50
Will Bologna win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	02-03 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on July 23?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-23 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-04 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	7	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-03 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on August 2?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-02 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 28?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-28 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 13:28
xrp above 1pt3 on july 29 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-28 20:50
xrp above 1pt4 on july 23 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 17:30
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-17 14:15
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-02 23:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 2?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-02 03:10
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-17 19:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	07-31 03:23
bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-12 11:36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-04 16:09
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 23:40
will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-31 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	3	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-23 17:57
bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-24 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 25?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-25 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 25?	5	$49	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-24 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:13:57	Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa074f1…
10-29 04:52:49	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x264372…
10-29 04:51:58	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0d8042…
10-29 04:51:05	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdcfce2…
10-29 04:50:11	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb4a8c…
10-29 04:49:19	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xae7e6f…
10-27 19:17:06	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf5dff7…
10-07 04:35:26	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71ca3b…
09-23 03:04:11	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd96196…
09-17 22:08:46	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x880f3d…
09-14 08:45:52	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3d3893…
09-03 01:48:28	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x98853d…
09-02 18:22:43	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bca73…
08-06 07:57:23	Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x75f9bf…
08-06 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6a9397…
08-06 07:54:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbf026b…
08-05 05:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeb24a6…
08-05 02:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3703aa…
08-05 01:07:26	Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x71d9a6…
08-05 00:38:06	Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x98660c…
08-04 23:54:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8a391…
08-04 20:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1a3324…
08-04 18:39:42	Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x792f53…
08-04 18:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x14826e…
08-04 16:28:45	xrp above 1pt3 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x86cebe…
08-04 16:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa25af1…
08-04 16:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf664d4…
08-04 16:15:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1a1bce…
08-04 16:09:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb18d1b…
08-04 14:54:53	xrp above 1pt3 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6271f3…
08-04 12:55:08	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc77502…
08-04 11:50:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x951cfc…
08-04 11:00:29	Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x753a6e…
08-04 10:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x2522a0…
08-04 08:22:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4df47…
08-04 06:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb17c19…
08-04 03:11:29	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6b81eb…
08-04 03:11:21	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfc83fc…
08-04 03:11:17	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x081eee…
08-04 01:27:00	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x630d95…
08-04 00:22:38	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6f8771…
08-03 21:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x43c3fe…
08-03 21:46:42	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1c84d0…
08-03 20:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb65bd4…
08-03 14:41:50	ethereum above 2100 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2b6b4…
08-03 08:35:14	Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6f32a4…
08-03 07:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfda3d8…
08-03 07:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf0749b…
08-03 07:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xccc762…
08-03 07:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc060d4…
08-03 07:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf33ba4…
08-03 07:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5a731e…
08-03 06:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 3?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdb5b34…
08-03 04:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb407ab…
08-03 02:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 3?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4e9061…
08-03 02:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2bbab…
08-03 02:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1b5065…
08-03 02:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa140ef…
08-03 02:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x41be55…
08-03 01:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x78d0b8…
08-03 00:05:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 2	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x07fcf9…
08-02 23:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x215a0e…
08-02 23:46:35	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a44cd…
08-02 23:26:41	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x767e1e…
08-02 22:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83da86…
08-02 20:47:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 2	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3fc7da…
08-02 18:45:41	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe1a93a…
08-02 17:05:05	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89fe9a…
08-02 12:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x60bb63…
08-02 12:21:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x50746f…
08-02 11:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3a1ad5…
08-02 11:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x26f11e…
08-02 11:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 2?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc08767…
08-02 10:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3b1333…
08-02 09:51:15	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf00713…
08-02 08:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb79f2…
08-02 03:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 2?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8bce2e…
08-02 02:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x56cbfd…
08-02 01:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc78994…
08-02 01:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on August 2?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x06b546…
08-02 01:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 2?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7f7b7b…
08-02 00:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x20c682…
08-01 21:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19806c…
08-01 19:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcbad6e…
08-01 17:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcf1fe5…
08-01 16:34:48	Will Anduril have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3e91bf…
08-01 16:22:41	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xeca66a…
08-01 15:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7bb6d8…
08-01 13:32:56	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x338bc5…
08-01 12:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0c311b…
08-01 09:29:54	Will Anduril have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x061610…
08-01 09:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x481d11…
08-01 06:01:03	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x15bf9e…
08-01 04:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf54dd6…
08-01 03:23:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfe9809…
08-01 01:13:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0aa75f…
08-01 00:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b6ab8…
07-31 21:21:27	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcd5275…
07-31 19:15:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6c1cd7…
07-31 17:53:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc743d5…