Distorted-Crook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$237

Unrealized P&L

-$86

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,967

lifetime

Volume

$906.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$461

Open exposure

$917

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$237

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,000	$770	70¢	$705	$-65	07-20 13:35
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+155	$146	87¢	$135	$-11	06-01 14:02
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	+100	$87	78¢	$78	$-9	06-10 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	47	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-25 08:59
ethereum above 2300 on april 3	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-02 21:27
will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	35	$4.9K	2,436	2,436	+0	open	—	07-11 02:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 19	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	03-19 08:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	13	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$4	05-13 09:56
bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-08 15:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	12	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-21 07:39
bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	07-09 07:46
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	6	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-17 13:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 23	3	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-23 16:12
will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	1	$3.3K	3,350	0	+3,350	open	—	04-05 11:13
bitcoin above 76k on april 7	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-07 07:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$3	05-07 06:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-01 11:58
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 15	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-15 06:53
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 4	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-03 23:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$3	05-10 08:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	05-11 10:06
will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-12 09:34
ethereum above 2300 on march 5	3	$3.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-05 15:19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-31 11:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-15 06:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-15 13:35
bitcoin above 72k on april 3	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-02 21:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-28 09:45
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	4	$3.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-17 14:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-29 07:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	8	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$32	05-06 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-14 15:47
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	3	$2.7K	1,366	1,366	+0	open	—	03-16 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 02:52:58	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by july 31	No	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0xf18951…
07-20 13:35:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	185	77¢	$143	0xc676b7…
07-20 13:35:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xee38ea…
07-20 13:35:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xd021b5…
07-20 13:35:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xcffbcd…
07-20 13:35:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	49	77¢	$38	0x303c7d…
07-20 13:35:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xdaaf47…
07-20 13:35:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	139	77¢	$107	0xcf2650…
07-20 13:35:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xa4ca04…
07-20 13:35:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x742fba…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$30	0xf9208b…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xea484d…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xb8477c…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xaeb23b…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x766030…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x6547fa…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0x5435e6…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x36052a…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x2cfd73…
07-20 13:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	245	77¢	$189	0x0bb451…
07-20 13:35:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	132	77¢	$101	0x160f29…
07-20 12:20:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x457217…
07-20 09:04:00	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x488939…
07-17 07:54:54	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xec8c7c…
07-14 12:35:59	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x858317…
07-14 05:25:02	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	1,825	100¢	$1,822	0xcad1cf…
07-14 05:20:10	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x0a7e78…
07-13 07:27:14	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xb4d70d…
07-13 07:26:59	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4991f…
07-13 07:16:17	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,162	100¢	$1,158	0xfb53ff…
07-13 07:08:08	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	338	100¢	$336	0x73a4c0…
07-13 07:08:05	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	492	100¢	$490	0x480d9c…
07-13 07:07:25	bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x50a50b…
07-12 15:17:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xeb8fdf…
07-12 10:13:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x659caa…
07-11 02:18:05	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xae92b6…
07-11 02:17:44	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1,448	100¢	$1,446	0xf5a2a8…
07-11 02:15:37	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe33701…
07-11 02:15:35	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd3772e…
07-11 02:15:35	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6c6065…
07-11 02:15:34	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe340b7…
07-11 02:15:02	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7abf26…
07-11 02:15:01	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc12def…
07-11 02:15:01	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2dc71a…
07-11 02:14:58	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0050c3…
07-11 02:14:25	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x66c56e…
07-11 02:14:23	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54f702…
07-11 02:14:23	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x241ea0…
07-11 02:14:22	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x92a5c0…
07-11 02:13:47	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xad9810…
07-11 02:13:46	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5bb612…
07-11 02:13:46	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x00fc77…
07-11 02:13:44	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x50f514…
07-11 02:13:13	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd6b74c…
07-11 02:13:11	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6540f1…
07-11 02:13:10	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe77088…
07-11 02:13:10	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe523ff…
07-11 01:59:26	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x511d8d…
07-11 01:58:07	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xded6b3…
07-10 19:38:41	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x35cb99…
07-10 19:10:22	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x347537…
07-10 17:23:55	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x8cc2fc…
07-10 12:39:47	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x1bf94e…
07-10 11:50:56	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe25abd…
07-10 10:39:16	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x85e081…
07-10 09:51:13	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x923448…
07-10 07:33:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0xa08ee7…
07-10 06:13:47	ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x0e0b54…
07-09 07:46:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x48b687…
07-09 07:24:07	ethereum above 1900 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x852c60…
07-09 07:23:28	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xa75a8a…
07-09 01:22:58	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e32f5…
07-08 15:30:35	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0x70db66…
07-08 13:17:56	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x754498…
07-08 13:12:56	bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	948	100¢	$947	0x89d2bd…
07-08 13:02:10	bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x453264…
07-08 07:39:59	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0xe32d72…
07-08 07:12:07	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	697	100¢	$697	0xad5f1f…
07-08 07:02:05	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	425	100¢	$425	0x04a0d9…
07-08 07:00:07	ethereum above 1900 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x750ff2…
07-08 06:58:58	bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x390c0a…
07-06 06:37:14	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xf06e94…
07-03 09:23:07	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	820	100¢	$819	0x6144dd…
07-03 09:11:22	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x33ad0d…
07-03 09:10:58	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	898	100¢	$897	0x387799…
07-03 09:01:47	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xcf27e3…
07-03 09:00:52	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0a239e…
07-02 09:46:11	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by july 31	No	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0xc01d6c…
07-02 05:51:13	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$992	0x211422…
07-01 15:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	400	69¢	$276	0x87aba1…
07-01 14:23:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x6ec43e…
07-01 12:07:43	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x78719f…
07-01 12:07:43	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	118	66¢	$78	0x0492dc…
07-01 12:06:56	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x62c336…
07-01 12:05:02	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0xb791fd…
07-01 12:03:16	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb8d74a…
07-01 12:03:10	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xd2f246…
07-01 12:02:34	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb30b4c…
07-01 12:02:34	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xa7620a…
07-01 12:02:29	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x49bb7c…