Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10?
open
Total volume
$1,242
$7,000 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$36,423
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 12:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $46 | $46 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $2 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $46 | $46 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $56 | $56 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 13 | $2 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmonious-Complication 0xa115…2fc2 | No | +1,001 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-08 07:33 |
| Blond-Rainstorm 0x5d85…8d52 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Legal-Id 0x6cc2…f9da | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:15 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +56 | $56 | $56 | 5 | 05-08 21:51 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +46 | $46 | $46 | 5 | 05-08 22:01 |
| Spotted-Lawsuit 0x552d…7898 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-08 10:19 |
| Fuzzy-Bag 0xd5b1…71ef | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Single-Tornado 0x594a…c1be | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:23 |
| Sudden-Eyebrow 0xcbe7…4ea2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:26 |
| Silly-Variety 0x8573…1e9c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 00:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 12:15:27 | Legal-Id 0x6cc2…f9da | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8e2bc4… |
| 05-10 06:52:57 | Blond-Rainstorm 0x5d85…8d52 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2ef9fb… |
| 05-09 05:19:22 | Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc83d69… |
| 05-09 03:54:17 | Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54e891… |
| 05-09 03:49:50 | Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ec1ae… |
| 05-09 03:44:52 | Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | SELL | 635 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdf80c6… |
| 05-09 00:55:11 | Silly-Variety 0x8573…1e9c | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6c5fb6… |
| 05-09 00:49:59 | Fuzzy-Bag 0xd5b1…71ef | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9e81d3… |
| 05-09 00:26:25 | Sudden-Eyebrow 0xcbe7…4ea2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xed87ec… |
| 05-09 00:23:56 | Single-Tornado 0x594a…c1be | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc21dd8… |
| 05-08 22:01:28 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xaa9307… |
| 05-08 21:51:17 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x1c6d25… |
| 05-08 21:51:08 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xfb9df6… |
| 05-08 21:51:08 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe20424… |
| 05-08 20:16:42 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2a9264… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4179a0… |
| 05-08 19:10:20 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x258650… |
| 05-08 19:10:12 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8ddefa… |
| 05-08 17:07:26 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x7bd571… |
| 05-08 10:19:36 | Spotted-Lawsuit 0x552d…7898 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x296ad6… |
| 05-08 07:33:09 | Harmonious-Complication 0xa115…2fc2 | No | BUY | 1,001 | 100¢ | $1,000 | 0xd3abde… |
| 05-08 07:32:29 | Visible-Quest 0x2cd8…411d | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x318ab3… |
| 05-08 06:50:25 | Soupy-Negotiation 0x8f9d…c178 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x0e2a22… |
| 05-08 04:38:28 | Shady-Heating 0x5ea2…fccc | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x843d94… |
| 05-08 04:32:17 | Infinite-Vase 0x314b…6913 | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x2e452d… |
| 05-08 04:29:01 | Well-Lit-Eyeliner 0x9206…ea22 | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x50a03d… |
| 05-06 23:43:00 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa8dbf6… |