Cylindrical-Sponge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

1,756

Trades

6,874

lifetime

Volume

$1.26M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

$1.62K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-27 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 94% -$25,107

Politics

1% 100% +$7

Other

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No		+1,628	$1,623	100¢	$1.6K	+$1	10-27 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:45 UTC	260	$46.5K	25,635	25,539	+96	Up	+$1,416	01-29 23:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:00 UTC	474	$38.6K	28,173	14,592	+13,580	Down	+$1,550	01-29 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:45 UTC	373	$26.0K	25,423	6,183	+19,240	Down	-$15,113	01-29 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 10:45 UTC	129	$24.1K	16,538	8,286	+8,251	Down	+$374	02-01 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:30 UTC	38	$18.4K	12,336	6,171	+6,165	Down	+$68	01-31 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:15 UTC	3	$17.6K	17,860	0	+17,860	Up	+$272	01-29 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:45 UTC	2	$17.1K	17,438	0	+17,438	Up	+$348	01-29 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 12:15 UTC	11	$16.9K	8,462	8,462	+0	Down	+$1	02-01 12:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:30 UTC	2	$16.2K	17,102	0	+17,102	Up	+$915	01-29 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:00 UTC	31	$16.0K	16,006	0	+16,006	Up	+$17	01-29 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 20:15 UTC	5	$16.0K	15,990	0	+15,990	Up	+$16	01-29 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:15 UTC	54	$15.9K	16,023	0	+16,023	Down	+$164	01-29 21:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 20:00 UTC	3	$15.7K	15,991	0	+15,991	Down	+$285	01-29 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:00 UTC	48	$15.1K	15,254	0	+15,254	Down	+$153	01-29 22:15
bitcoin up or down february 1 3am et	10	$15.1K	7,628	7,628	+0	Up	+$142	02-01 09:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:30 UTC	122	$14.5K	15,207	0	+15,207	Up	+$700	01-29 23:44
bitcoin up or down february 1 6am et	8	$13.8K	6,930	6,930	+0	Up	+$19	02-01 12:03
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	17	$12.6K	6,559	6,559	+0	Down	+$480	01-31 20:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:45 UTC	96	$12.4K	6,356	6,355	+1	Up	+$67	01-31 19:56
bitcoin up or down january 31 1pm et	14	$11.9K	5,982	5,982	+0	Down	+$44	01-31 19:05
bitcoin up or down january 31 12pm et	6	$11.6K	5,821	5,821	+0	Down	+$17	01-31 18:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 19:45 UTC	2	$11.2K	5,824	5,817	+6	Down	+$406	01-29 20:01
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	4	$10.1K	10,100	0	+10,100	Yes	+$10	01-29 09:50
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	8	$8.7K	4,380	4,380	+0	Down	+$53	01-31 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 12:30 UTC	1	$8.4K	8,539	0	+8,539	Down	-$8,444	02-01 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 12:00 UTC	35	$8.4K	8,453	0	+8,453	Down	+$11	02-01 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 11:30 UTC	15	$8.4K	8,407	0	+8,407	Up	+$17	02-01 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 14:30 UTC	5	$8.2K	4,336	4,326	+9	Down	+$453	01-31 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 11:15 UTC	1	$8.2K	8,329	0	+8,329	Down	+$145	02-01 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 10:30 UTC	38	$7.8K	6,501	1,373	+5,129	Down	+$52	02-01 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:10:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x235a8d…
10-27 09:30:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0x8640e8…
10-27 07:42:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	757	100¢	$754	0x925d07…
10-27 07:42:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3200a7…
10-27 07:24:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x78974e…
10-27 06:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0x430af8…
10-26 22:18:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xbbada3…
10-26 21:58:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xa49e15…
10-26 20:37:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf172c9…
10-26 18:38:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xd84376…
10-26 18:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45d529…
10-26 18:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc75041…
10-26 16:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6bf4fd…
10-26 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50776b…
10-26 14:31:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,320	99¢	$1,312	0x304a98…
10-26 14:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	1,314	100¢	$1,312	0x870041…
10-26 07:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$265	0xa880b0…
10-26 07:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x599199…
10-26 07:21:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	847	100¢	$843	0x1a9de0…
10-26 07:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5863cf…
10-26 07:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5e7018…
10-26 06:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b79e9…
10-26 06:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xed0a52…
10-26 06:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5621c…
10-26 05:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x113ed7…
10-26 04:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad37a3…
10-26 04:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x2b8f87…
10-26 04:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x3030dd…
10-26 04:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xdb8d60…
10-26 04:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x451e05…
10-25 20:18:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xdcfb3e…
10-25 20:00:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	800	100¢	$798	0x1bded4…
10-25 19:03:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x91e2ff…
10-25 17:18:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x72621a…
10-25 17:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa2febb…
10-25 06:13:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x19313d…
10-25 06:13:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	695	100¢	$694	0x903ed7…
10-25 06:13:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	604	100¢	$603	0x89d689…
10-25 05:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc72be6…
10-25 04:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfaca86…
10-24 20:26:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	786	100¢	$784	0xc2c3da…
10-24 20:16:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	514	100¢	$512	0x6c0799…
10-24 18:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60a96a…
10-24 11:44:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	587	100¢	$586	0x8da592…
10-24 11:43:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	709	100¢	$707	0x2f4f75…
10-24 10:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	88	99¢	$88	0xbb6da8…
10-24 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x728c70…
10-24 10:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f59ed…
10-24 10:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x321253…
10-24 09:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x288753…
10-24 08:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5d5fc5…
10-24 07:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x8cd4f1…
10-24 07:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xefd5a4…
10-24 07:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xf92b29…
10-24 07:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd098d2…
10-24 07:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8b9a72…
10-24 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x1f3c79…
10-24 07:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x8c374f…
10-24 07:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xc4ba56…
10-24 07:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x26de12…
10-24 07:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d7792…
10-24 07:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc75ba2…
10-24 04:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc4b3a…
10-24 04:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd0dceb…
10-24 01:02:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	346	99¢	$342	0x34e473…
10-24 01:00:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	338	99¢	$336	0xe303ba…
10-24 00:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4c530e…
10-24 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2922e8…
10-23 23:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcd0f6d…
10-23 22:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7968b9…
10-23 22:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6fd266…
10-23 22:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d8e98…
10-23 22:10:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb0ab56…
10-23 21:55:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0xeb1edf…
10-23 21:55:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$301	0xebbca1…
10-23 21:54:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	478	98¢	$468	0x1645d3…
10-23 18:10:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	343	100¢	$342	0xdd79db…
10-23 17:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1336e2…
10-23 17:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa042b3…
10-23 16:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3f0ea6…
10-23 16:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb6e3c3…
10-23 09:29:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,247	100¢	$1,243	0xca54fd…
10-23 05:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a14f0…
10-23 04:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf5d62…
10-23 04:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3c33c7…
10-22 19:10:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$699	0x2a41a3…
10-22 18:58:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	542	100¢	$540	0x3538d1…
10-22 18:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0aa008…
10-22 18:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab665e…
10-22 17:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11428d…
10-22 17:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9491fa…
10-22 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0b745…
10-22 17:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4704cd…
10-22 07:13:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0xca7544…
10-22 07:11:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd9c6e9…
10-22 07:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88702c…
10-22 05:33:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	688	100¢	$687	0xa73fa5…
10-22 05:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	247	100¢	$246	0x7e8858…
10-21 19:16:12	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	436	100¢	$434	0x6d1873…
10-21 19:00:15	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97194d…