Cylindrical-Sponge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$225

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

346

7,237 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$71.7K

$1.34M lifetime

Avg / trade

$185

Open exposure

$2.02K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 11-05 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 94% -$25,281

Politics

1% 100% +$7

Other

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 5?	No		+2,019	$2,017	100¢	$2.0K	-$1	11-05 22:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:45 UTC	260	$46.5K	25,635	25,539	+96	Up	+$1,416	01-29 23:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:00 UTC	474	$38.6K	28,173	14,592	+13,580	Down	+$1,550	01-29 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:45 UTC	373	$26.0K	25,423	6,183	+19,240	Down	-$15,113	01-29 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 10:45 UTC	129	$24.1K	16,538	8,286	+8,251	Down	+$374	02-01 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:30 UTC	38	$18.4K	12,336	6,171	+6,165	Down	+$68	01-31 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:15 UTC	3	$17.6K	17,860	0	+17,860	Up	+$272	01-29 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:45 UTC	2	$17.1K	17,438	0	+17,438	Up	+$348	01-29 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 12:15 UTC	11	$16.9K	8,462	8,462	+0	Down	+$1	02-01 12:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:30 UTC	2	$16.2K	17,102	0	+17,102	Up	+$915	01-29 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:00 UTC	31	$16.0K	16,006	0	+16,006	Up	+$17	01-29 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 20:15 UTC	5	$16.0K	15,990	0	+15,990	Up	+$16	01-29 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:15 UTC	54	$15.9K	16,023	0	+16,023	Down	+$164	01-29 21:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 20:00 UTC	3	$15.7K	15,991	0	+15,991	Down	+$285	01-29 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:00 UTC	48	$15.1K	15,254	0	+15,254	Down	+$153	01-29 22:15
bitcoin up or down february 1 3am et	10	$15.1K	7,628	7,628	+0	Up	+$142	02-01 09:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:30 UTC	122	$14.5K	15,207	0	+15,207	Up	+$700	01-29 23:44
bitcoin up or down february 1 6am et	8	$13.8K	6,930	6,930	+0	Up	+$19	02-01 12:03
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	17	$12.6K	6,559	6,559	+0	Down	+$480	01-31 20:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:45 UTC	96	$12.4K	6,356	6,355	+1	Up	+$67	01-31 19:56
bitcoin up or down january 31 1pm et	14	$11.9K	5,982	5,982	+0	Down	+$44	01-31 19:05
bitcoin up or down january 31 12pm et	6	$11.6K	5,821	5,821	+0	Down	+$17	01-31 18:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 19:45 UTC	2	$11.2K	5,824	5,817	+6	Down	+$406	01-29 20:01
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	4	$10.1K	10,100	0	+10,100	Yes	+$10	01-29 09:50
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	8	$8.7K	4,380	4,380	+0	Down	+$53	01-31 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 12:30 UTC	1	$8.4K	8,539	0	+8,539	Down	-$8,444	02-01 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 12:00 UTC	35	$8.4K	8,453	0	+8,453	Down	+$11	02-01 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 11:30 UTC	15	$8.4K	8,407	0	+8,407	Up	+$17	02-01 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 14:30 UTC	5	$8.2K	4,336	4,326	+9	Down	+$453	01-31 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 11:15 UTC	1	$8.2K	8,329	0	+8,329	Down	+$145	02-01 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 10:30 UTC	38	$7.8K	6,501	1,373	+5,129	Down	+$52	02-01 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:01:04	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	2,019	100¢	$2,017	0xc2e794…
11-05 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd86ed0…
11-05 21:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc46095…
11-05 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3cb878…
11-05 21:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdcc028…
11-05 21:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x151b1c…
11-05 21:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b59b9…
11-05 20:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc27470…
11-05 20:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbbe33a…
11-05 20:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x1c6721…
11-05 19:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x318260…
11-05 19:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xef1749…
11-05 19:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x22f5ff…
11-05 19:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc7c4c8…
11-05 19:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xd45b36…
11-05 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x947443…
11-05 19:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x624652…
11-05 19:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0xf980d7…
11-05 19:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x50d07c…
11-05 19:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x474843…
11-05 19:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,001	0xbaa48d…
11-05 19:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f2702…
11-05 19:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81f903…
11-05 18:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x415238…
11-05 18:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1232e1…
11-05 18:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc67d5…
11-05 18:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x3c6e75…
11-05 18:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x231426…
11-05 18:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b4b05…
11-05 18:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x89f161…
11-05 18:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x82acc0…
11-05 18:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x286a2e…
11-05 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x554cb6…
11-05 18:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x770a52…
11-05 18:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a3b5d…
11-05 18:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffb339…
11-05 18:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea3c9d…
11-05 18:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8ac903…
11-05 18:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x359b8a…
11-05 10:28:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	2,009	99¢	$1,997	0xbdd7ff…
11-04 22:35:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,646	100¢	$1,643	0x23ba99…
11-04 22:02:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0xc1b462…
11-04 21:46:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8e6ac…
11-04 21:33:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8e8e5c…
11-04 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x259078…
11-04 21:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,806	100¢	$1,805	0xc617ce…
11-04 21:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b1b69…
11-04 21:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec6afd…
11-04 21:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf79f01…
11-04 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x514eb3…
11-04 20:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1d876…
11-04 20:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x812e31…
11-04 20:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe131bc…
11-04 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x49da48…
11-04 20:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe218c…
11-04 20:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0xc60dd5…
11-04 20:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x696b73…
11-04 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0e22f3…
11-04 20:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,993	100¢	$1,990	0xf196e1…
11-04 19:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37e143…
11-04 19:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc6303d…
11-04 19:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x952355…
11-04 19:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc4fcac…
11-04 19:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2b3b2c…
11-04 19:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5c14ea…
11-04 19:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8ea0e…
11-04 19:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc889c2…
11-04 19:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd586cf…
11-04 19:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3da942…
11-04 19:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xda50aa…
11-04 18:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,940	100¢	$1,938	0x6f36fb…
11-04 18:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfdc44d…
11-04 18:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd4bc9d…
11-04 18:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x043724…
11-04 18:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x495a7a…
11-04 18:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d36c4…
11-04 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11df94…
11-04 17:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2490f4…
11-04 17:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe368d0…
11-04 17:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1,975	98¢	$1,944	0x334aa4…
11-04 17:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe07387…
11-04 16:37:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	616	100¢	$615	0x5226cd…
11-04 16:36:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4a33b9…
11-04 16:36:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x630a89…
11-04 16:35:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,010	0xca9b19…
11-04 16:35:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3932a1…
11-04 16:35:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x97450c…
11-04 16:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb4fe0…
11-04 16:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x426352…
11-04 16:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1aed55…
11-04 16:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb3fdae…
11-04 16:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd238a6…
11-04 16:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ef219…
11-04 16:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x792987…
11-04 16:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xd679a6…
11-04 16:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xfed18b…
11-04 16:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb06055…
11-04 16:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x29667b…
11-04 16:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3a2cfe…
11-04 16:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x26273b…