Tepid-Testimony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

107

Trades

642

lifetime

Volume

$276.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$431

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-25 03:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

53% 73% -$10,602

Crypto

43% 78% +$2,664

Other

3% 100% +$177

Sports

1% 50% -$2,535

Tech

0% 0% -$969

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	61	$30.1K	17,261	16,482	+779	No	+$447	04-22 03:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	7	$27.4K	14,276	14,276	+0	No	+$1,062	06-08 02:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$13.0K	13,840	13,840	+0	Yes	-$10,705	06-15 13:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	4	$13.0K	6,637	6,637	+0	No	+$103	04-24 08:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	27	$12.0K	6,197	6,186	+12	No	+$344	04-30 03:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	27	$10.9K	6,025	6,025	+0	No	+$1,080	05-28 02:02
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	12	$9.6K	6,876	6,876	+0	Yes	-$3,069	06-15 22:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$7.8K	9,587	0	+9,587	No	+$1,787	05-30 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$6.3K	3,245	3,245	+0	No	+$159	05-27 05:58
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	17	$6.0K	3,498	3,498	+0	No	+$956	06-30 23:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$5.9K	3,790	3,790	+0	No	+$1,467	06-24 10:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$5.9K	5,915	0	+5,915	Yes	+$15	05-04 09:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	4	$5.5K	5,523	0	+5,523	No	+$40	05-01 12:29
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	5	$5.0K	2,760	2,760	+0	No	+$14	06-18 09:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$4.9K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$123	05-11 01:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	10	$4.9K	2,889	2,889	+0	No	+$844	05-26 02:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$4.2K	2,532	2,532	+0	Yes	+$27	07-07 07:58
will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	3	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$70	08-08 06:03
ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	30	$3.7K	2,021	2,021	+0	No	+$262	08-05 15:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	6	$3.6K	1,939	1,939	+0	No	+$264	05-30 01:15
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	16	$3.6K	2,365	2,365	+0	No	+$1,109	06-27 23:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$3.5K	3,724	0	+3,724	No	+$176	05-21 10:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	11	$3.5K	3,624	0	+3,624	No	+$110	05-08 08:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	3	$3.5K	3,531	0	+3,531	Yes	+$45	05-05 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$3.0K	3,015	0	+3,015	Yes	+$15	05-13 12:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$64	04-30 08:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2.9K	2,215	1,000	+1,215	No	+$148	07-29 18:00
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	20	$2.7K	4,179	0	+4,179	No	+$1,441	06-30 14:25
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$2.7K	3,265	0	+3,265	Yes	-$2,732	07-07 08:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	10	$2.3K	1,237	1,237	+0	No	+$118	05-26 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 03:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	SELL	732	99¢	$727	0x1e6b88…
08-18 03:25:04	will bitcoin reach 66k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	404	65¢	$262	0xa78919…
08-14 12:45:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	91	43¢	$39	0xac9a32…
08-14 12:45:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xb403ad…
08-14 02:10:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x67ab9a…
08-13 05:15:43	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	776	63¢	$489	0x0148b6…
08-13 05:10:21	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xc9ce2d…
08-13 05:09:25	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc12578…
08-13 05:07:36	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb66ce3…
08-12 14:38:52	bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	No	SELL	336	90¢	$303	0xe55d6c…
08-12 09:58:39	bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xd0d6eb…
08-12 09:28:18	bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	550	55¢	$300	0xa7e25a…
08-12 03:32:06	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	732	82¢	$600	0xf01d56…
08-08 06:03:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	1,900	100¢	$1,894	0x4cbee4…
08-06 17:01:26	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xa715f8…
08-06 14:32:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xedf360…
08-06 14:32:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	1,823	96¢	$1,750	0x3569bf…
08-06 14:18:15	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x31170d…
08-06 11:16:24	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	90	38¢	$34	0x6aff0e…
08-06 11:16:18	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7203b1…
08-06 11:16:17	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4b9fbb…
08-06 09:14:12	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xf28719…
08-06 08:53:06	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe568de…
08-05 15:16:26	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xfac92b…
08-05 15:16:24	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	234	98¢	$230	0x97d395…
08-05 15:16:24	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0x90a773…
08-05 15:16:21	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	234	98¢	$230	0x880ac8…
08-05 15:16:17	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	234	98¢	$230	0x9ced7c…
08-05 15:16:17	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0x0b7b27…
08-05 15:16:14	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	559	98¢	$548	0xfc1af8…
08-05 15:16:14	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	234	98¢	$230	0x6c580a…
08-05 15:15:24	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6cb2a5…
08-05 15:15:23	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0ad356…
08-05 15:15:21	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x74a7f1…
08-05 15:00:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6758f2…
08-05 15:00:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xb0d0cc…
08-05 15:00:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x16b0ef…
08-05 15:00:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x476613…
08-05 15:00:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x95e0fa…
08-05 15:00:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbe5554…
08-05 15:00:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5a5fd4…
08-05 15:00:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x832163…
08-05 15:00:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7942a1…
08-05 15:00:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x963e2b…
08-05 15:00:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7ee785…
08-05 11:25:51	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	724	96¢	$695	0x75784a…
08-05 09:54:18	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	No	BUY	95	70¢	$66	0x3aea48…
08-05 07:00:18	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xed5ad0…
08-05 06:40:50	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4cc976…
08-05 02:04:06	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x73d50e…
08-05 02:04:06	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5b32f4…
08-05 02:04:03	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9c78da…
08-05 02:04:03	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7c17f3…
08-04 22:28:32	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x9a7208…
08-04 22:27:59	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	1,013	79¢	$800	0x8020f8…
08-04 13:52:53	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	118	81¢	$96	0x89270f…
08-04 13:36:09	ethereum above 1900 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xaf03d9…
08-04 13:33:51	ethereum above 1900 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x462465…
08-04 13:26:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,002	20¢	$204	0xe9bd94…
08-04 13:21:38	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	22¢	$44	0x9aaf2e…
08-04 13:00:11	ethereum above 1900 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	1,648	91¢	$1,500	0x6214a7…
08-04 10:20:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x229d85…
08-04 10:20:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xbca7eb…
08-04 05:18:00	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	19¢	$27	0x3ce847…
08-03 14:28:47	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	74	75¢	$55	0xd89500…
08-03 14:25:14	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x74bfa1…
08-03 04:03:33	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xdfb4cb…
08-03 03:27:02	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	116	75¢	$87	0x402d38…
07-31 08:59:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x1b5e42…
07-31 00:57:12	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x5f77bc…
07-31 00:55:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	457	75¢	$343	0x6065b0…
07-30 13:44:32	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3b8edd…
07-30 11:38:12	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	600	60¢	$360	0xb88f4c…
07-30 11:34:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x490b15…
07-30 11:30:05	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdc979b…
07-30 11:29:00	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x8d3154…
07-30 10:56:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x90117d…
07-30 09:54:18	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x1ad35b…
07-29 18:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$933	0x873420…
07-28 01:22:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7028b1…
07-27 01:35:10	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	1,000	68¢	$685	0x0fe070…
07-27 01:28:19	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	739	100¢	$738	0xdc6512…
07-23 13:03:46	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	476	84¢	$400	0x26b874…
07-23 02:27:13	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x682962…
07-22 06:29:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	586	100¢	$585	0x890678…
07-20 14:07:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x79d3eb…
07-20 13:59:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xc905f6…
07-20 08:57:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x4bc099…
07-20 08:38:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xfcecee…
07-20 08:37:57	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	154	70¢	$108	0x14ca28…
07-20 08:37:39	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	656	70¢	$459	0x5dda7f…
07-20 08:37:37	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	81	70¢	$57	0x69c303…
07-20 07:25:39	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6554a7…
07-20 06:57:52	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	78	70¢	$55	0xbd8da3…
07-20 06:53:28	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x8dc793…
07-20 06:36:10	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x884c7e…
07-18 22:24:16	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,233	84¢	$1,035	0xce0f54…
07-18 22:20:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	1,085	96¢	$1,046	0x0ca7ed…
07-14 15:39:26	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xc6c492…
07-09 00:23:26	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	56	77¢	$43	0xafb4d5…