Tepid-Testimony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$658

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$236.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$458

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-20 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$233

Crypto

42% 100% +$425

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	61	$30.1K	17,261	16,482	+779	open	—	04-22 03:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$25.2K	11,537	14,276	-2,739	open	—	06-08 02:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	4	$13.0K	6,637	6,637	+0	open	—	04-24 08:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$12.4K	13,023	13,840	-817	open	—	06-15 13:57
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	27	$12.0K	6,197	6,186	+12	open	—	04-30 03:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	27	$10.9K	6,025	6,025	+0	open	—	05-28 02:02
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	10	$8.3K	5,619	6,876	-1,257	open	—	06-15 22:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$7.8K	9,587	0	+9,587	open	—	05-30 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$6.3K	3,245	3,245	+0	open	—	05-27 05:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$5.9K	3,790	3,790	+0	open	—	06-24 10:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$5.9K	5,915	0	+5,915	open	—	05-04 09:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	4	$5.5K	5,523	0	+5,523	open	—	05-01 12:29
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	16	$5.4K	3,498	2,868	+630	open	—	06-30 23:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$4.9K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$123	05-11 01:17
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	4	$4.0K	1,661	2,760	-1,099	open	—	06-18 09:17
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	16	$3.6K	2,365	2,365	+0	open	—	06-27 23:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$3.5K	3,724	0	+3,724	open	—	05-21 10:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	11	$3.5K	3,624	0	+3,624	No	+$110	05-08 08:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	3	$3.5K	3,531	0	+3,531	Yes	+$45	05-05 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$3.0K	3,015	0	+3,015	Yes	+$15	05-13 12:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-30 08:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$2.9K	0	2,889	-2,889	open	—	05-26 02:10
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	20	$2.7K	4,179	0	+4,179	open	—	06-30 14:25
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$2.7K	3,265	0	+3,265	open	—	07-07 08:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	10	$2.3K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	05-26 13:05
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	3	$2.3K	1,266	1,266	+0	open	—	06-29 12:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$2.3K	2,388	0	+2,388	Yes	+$88	05-05 13:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	7	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$24	05-09 10:25
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	11	$2.1K	1,215	1,215	+0	open	—	06-26 01:05
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	2	$2.1K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	06-19 00:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 14:07:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x79d3eb…
07-20 13:59:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xc905f6…
07-20 08:57:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x4bc099…
07-20 08:38:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xfcecee…
07-20 08:37:57	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	154	70¢	$108	0x14ca28…
07-20 08:37:39	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	656	70¢	$459	0x5dda7f…
07-20 08:37:37	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	81	70¢	$57	0x69c303…
07-20 07:25:39	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6554a7…
07-20 06:57:52	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	78	70¢	$55	0xbd8da3…
07-20 06:53:28	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x8dc793…
07-20 06:36:10	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x884c7e…
07-18 22:20:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	1,085	96¢	$1,046	0x0ca7ed…
07-14 15:39:26	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xc6c492…
07-09 00:23:26	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	56	77¢	$43	0xafb4d5…
07-07 08:04:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	465	86¢	$400	0xdd324f…
07-07 08:00:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	882	86¢	$758	0xa40060…
07-07 07:59:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,118	86¢	$962	0x493ce7…
07-07 06:49:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	195	78¢	$152	0x6c9549…
07-07 06:48:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3733ba…
07-07 06:46:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x7d5f54…
07-07 06:00:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0x542a02…
07-07 05:57:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	127	76¢	$97	0x698abe…
07-07 05:57:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	83	76¢	$63	0xfca0d0…
07-07 05:56:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	71	76¢	$54	0x579bb7…
07-07 05:56:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x5b6dd0…
07-07 05:56:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x36044e…
07-07 05:56:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	256	76¢	$195	0x991a8c…
07-07 05:56:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf2c186…
07-07 05:55:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xa48e98…
07-06 12:05:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x393676…
07-06 12:05:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0x331b86…
07-06 12:05:28	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xbda6e0…
07-06 12:05:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa0d5ca…
07-06 12:05:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1afbfe…
07-04 15:10:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	399	80¢	$319	0xee4d8f…
07-04 15:10:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xbb01ca…
07-04 15:10:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x98c348…
07-04 15:10:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x8c8d56…
07-04 15:10:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x828da4…
07-04 15:10:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x4b3fed…
07-04 15:10:08	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xa58bfe…
07-04 15:09:32	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x9c51de…
07-04 15:09:32	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2f309b…
07-04 01:28:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xdec3e4…
07-03 13:41:26	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	No	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0x16ead6…
07-03 09:47:13	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	No	BUY	800	90¢	$720	0xa00738…
07-03 09:28:17	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	361	99¢	$356	0x7b9468…
07-03 08:27:11	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf44827…
07-03 08:07:41	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6de073…
07-03 08:04:28	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	164	99¢	$162	0x1c194c…
07-03 06:54:01	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee1c00…
07-03 06:53:43	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x588143…
07-03 05:35:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xec0917…
07-03 05:35:29	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x1a7c4d…
07-03 03:22:52	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	418	99¢	$412	0x6d8330…
07-02 13:44:11	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xaca0c7…
07-02 13:41:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,029	68¢	$700	0x1e8858…
07-02 12:59:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	500	61¢	$304	0xce9e25…
07-02 12:31:14	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	474	20¢	$95	0x98e77a…
07-02 12:31:02	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xecbf51…
07-02 09:53:46	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	499	30¢	$150	0xa8eebf…
07-02 09:53:46	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3586f0…
07-02 09:36:55	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	460	80¢	$368	0x0b33fc…
07-02 09:31:44	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x22b452…
07-02 09:31:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa3b126…
07-02 09:31:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x845cd7…
07-02 09:31:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7b7b2e…
07-02 09:31:37	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe36cf8…
07-02 09:31:37	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x6cd82a…
07-02 09:31:35	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1a51c9…
07-02 09:31:35	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x10f933…
07-02 09:31:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x8225d0…
07-02 09:31:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x23a41d…
07-02 02:05:23	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	807	62¢	$500	0xa2cd16…
07-02 02:04:04	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xfa2239…
07-01 08:23:31	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	835	68¢	$568	0x875e8d…
07-01 08:22:22	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x4fc45c…
07-01 08:17:40	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xa252c2…
07-01 08:17:37	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa70adc…
07-01 08:17:37	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x879673…
07-01 08:17:37	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x12b516…
07-01 07:16:14	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe684b7…
07-01 07:06:49	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xa63df2…
07-01 04:47:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x17b7f7…
07-01 03:18:01	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xd39aab…
07-01 03:18:01	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x9493dd…
07-01 03:18:01	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	933	82¢	$765	0x68ec66…
07-01 03:17:04	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x4d5f02…
07-01 03:16:38	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x16c9e2…
06-30 23:47:02	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1,749	100¢	$1,741	0x433646…
06-30 14:53:59	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63ee6f…
06-30 14:25:14	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x00bf08…
06-30 13:43:52	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd2ae11…
06-30 13:39:35	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1,088	99¢	$1,077	0x593269…
06-30 01:47:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	No	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x93bd55…
06-29 12:36:56	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,206	83¢	$1,000	0xa200c6…
06-29 12:36:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	1,266	97¢	$1,227	0x25d2cd…
06-29 03:05:40	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x19bdc4…
06-29 03:05:38	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf35eef…
06-29 03:05:38	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	206	72¢	$148	0xef51de…