Tepid-Testimony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$658

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$182.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$630

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-09 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$233

Crypto

38% 100% +$425

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	61	$30.1K	17,261	16,482	+779	open	—	04-22 03:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$25.2K	11,537	14,276	-2,739	open	—	06-08 02:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	4	$13.0K	6,637	6,637	+0	open	—	04-24 08:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	27	$12.0K	6,197	6,186	+12	open	—	04-30 03:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	27	$10.9K	6,025	6,025	+0	open	—	05-28 02:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$10.8K	11,443	0	+11,443	open	—	06-09 14:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$7.8K	9,587	0	+9,587	open	—	05-30 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$6.3K	3,245	3,245	+0	open	—	05-27 05:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$5.9K	5,915	0	+5,915	open	—	05-04 09:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	4	$5.5K	5,523	0	+5,523	open	—	05-01 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$4.9K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$123	05-11 01:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$3.5K	3,724	0	+3,724	open	—	05-21 10:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	11	$3.5K	3,624	0	+3,624	No	+$110	05-08 08:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	3	$3.5K	3,531	0	+3,531	Yes	+$45	05-05 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$3.0K	3,015	0	+3,015	Yes	+$15	05-13 12:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-30 08:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$2.9K	0	2,889	-2,889	open	—	05-26 02:10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	10	$2.3K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	05-26 13:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$2.3K	2,388	0	+2,388	Yes	+$88	05-05 13:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	7	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$24	05-09 10:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	5	$2.1K	2,104	0	+2,104	No	+$22	05-13 14:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	1	$2.0K	2,018	0	+2,018	No	+$18	05-06 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	open	—	05-16 05:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,804	0	+1,804	Yes	+$4	05-07 07:45
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	2	$1.5K	1,661	0	+1,661	open	—	06-09 05:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	5	$1.4K	1,526	0	+1,526	No	+$86	05-12 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	3	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	No	+$18	05-08 05:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	4	$1.2K	1,340	0	+1,340	open	—	05-26 02:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	4	$1.1K	1,281	154	+1,127	open	—	05-15 13:51
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	open	—	05-14 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:13:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	860	93¢	$800	0xeb869d…
06-09 05:26:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,263	95¢	$5,000	0x755caa…
06-09 05:23:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xf8b918…
06-08 04:33:46	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xbb718f…
06-08 04:33:21	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xe52ba3…
06-08 04:32:45	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	555	72¢	$400	0xf06c87…
06-08 02:24:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,319	94¢	$5,000	0x5a8cd4…
06-08 02:23:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	14,010	100¢	$13,982	0x90eccd…
06-03 07:55:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	96¢	$970	0x342aaf…
06-03 01:25:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x7ae956…
06-02 11:56:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xe83fdd…
06-02 11:44:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$36	0x51d8ab…
06-02 11:29:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x9646ef…
06-02 11:27:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	265	94¢	$249	0x26a6c8…
06-02 11:22:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,828	1¢	$37	0x864096…
06-02 03:22:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10,526	95¢	$10,000	0x826ebd…
05-31 01:58:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x2b288b…
05-30 05:43:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	938	96¢	$900	0xa9a171…
05-28 14:57:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xd7f570…
05-28 02:24:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x94007a…
05-28 02:02:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	4,025	100¢	$4,004	0x2aae60…
05-27 10:33:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0xe673e5…
05-27 10:32:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x37ff30…
05-27 10:32:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,139	79¢	$900	0x89020f…
05-27 10:32:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0xb1404a…
05-27 06:46:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0xd97533…
05-27 06:00:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0x2e53ba…
05-27 05:59:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0x5c33c9…
05-27 05:58:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	3,245	100¢	$3,242	0xe974ce…
05-26 13:42:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,474	95¢	$1,400	0x58f56c…
05-26 13:05:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,237	100¢	$1,231	0xaf2b7a…
05-26 13:05:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xe506b4…
05-26 02:53:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	193	95¢	$183	0xda2587…
05-26 02:53:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,579	95¢	$1,500	0xcccce8…
05-26 02:16:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x6a9e0a…
05-26 02:10:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,689	99¢	$1,675	0xf1ae0a…
05-26 02:09:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	930	86¢	$800	0x1a42e7…
05-25 13:10:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	483	98¢	$476	0xd40647…
05-25 13:09:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0xc4bb47…
05-25 13:09:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x637a9f…
05-25 13:09:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9123ad…
05-25 13:09:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2e3050…
05-25 13:08:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x90bb26…
05-25 08:43:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	151	91¢	$137	0xe298a4…
05-25 08:43:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	249	91¢	$227	0x94e598…
05-25 07:17:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x4ecd4c…
05-23 03:40:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6b30eb…
05-23 03:37:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xf339de…
05-22 12:40:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x076ad3…
05-21 11:01:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,465	0¢	$15	0xb4c58a…
05-21 10:56:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x374e4e…
05-21 09:04:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc63111…
05-21 08:23:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x97b0f6…
05-21 05:34:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x458433…
05-21 05:25:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb8b077…
05-21 05:19:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	928	90¢	$835	0xee0704…
05-21 05:18:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x804d60…
05-21 05:13:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xd492f7…
05-21 05:09:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$67	0x7604d0…
05-21 04:59:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xfcb2af…
05-21 04:49:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf05c83…
05-21 04:14:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x095a75…
05-21 04:12:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x657e4a…
05-21 04:11:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd7d133…
05-21 04:04:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0x902d25…
05-21 04:02:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x363d89…
05-21 04:02:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6429c6…
05-21 04:01:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xb79c2e…
05-21 03:59:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	77	90¢	$69	0xe5cd97…
05-21 03:56:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	281	90¢	$253	0x2e3e1a…
05-21 02:48:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,893	98¢	$1,863	0xe28a8f…
05-21 02:42:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x4946cd…
05-21 02:01:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	420	98¢	$412	0x6dc22c…
05-20 12:30:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3eb000…
05-19 07:51:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x79c45f…
05-19 02:19:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,333	2¢	$20	0xa07a6c…
05-18 03:01:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	920	87¢	$800	0x2f4411…
05-17 16:27:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	431	64¢	$276	0x75f856…
05-17 16:27:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0x6a8660…
05-17 16:20:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	350	64¢	$224	0xcdca14…
05-17 16:13:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xb2c56f…
05-17 16:08:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x81e3e1…
05-17 16:04:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	57	64¢	$37	0xea17f2…
05-17 16:02:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xb7e9df…
05-17 16:00:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x41e35c…
05-17 12:32:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,200	89¢	$1,068	0x827098…
05-17 05:02:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	112	62¢	$70	0x6a029d…
05-16 08:22:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x01c928…
05-16 05:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0x5f5bc2…
05-15 13:51:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	154	5¢	$8	0xfc1aef…
05-15 13:46:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x22c5aa…
05-15 13:44:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	566	88¢	$500	0x29c21b…
05-15 13:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,018	98¢	$1,000	0x17bf5d…
05-15 13:06:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x911f3c…
05-15 12:48:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe7f9d2…
05-15 12:34:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x8b5960…
05-15 12:02:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x4e9c59…
05-15 11:36:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	87	90¢	$78	0xa311cd…
05-15 11:34:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5b9d5b…
05-15 11:29:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x8a6e45…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$306.0K	5,178	06-07 19:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	44	$182.4K	2,079	06-09 21:20
Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a	43	$18.4K	236	06-09 17:25
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	41	$6.08K	306	06-03 10:01
(anonymous) 0x4247…91c4	39	$27.3K	339	06-05 18:28
Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2	39	$1.06K	106	06-09 13:51
Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b	36	$5.11K	371	06-03 10:17
Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a	34	$99.8K	2,195	06-03 20:13