Magnificent-Decrease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$7.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-10 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Crypto

37% 100% +$2

Sports

11% — —

Politics

8% 0% —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	7	$817	424	400	+24	No	+$1	05-08 13:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	2	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-07 11:53
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	13	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	04-13 05:19
Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	11	$232	129	104	+25	open	—	04-26 22:58
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	11	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	03-26 03:07
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$214	209	209	+0	open	—	03-30 13:20
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	2	$193	100	200	-100	open	—	06-02 01:19
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	8	$172	86	86	+0	open	—	03-26 03:13
italy nordio reform referendum passes	2	$166	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 08:11
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-30 07:35
will sophia chikirou win the paris mayor election	7	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-16 04:10
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	03-26 03:13
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$115	58	58	+0	open	—	03-07 15:10
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$111	400	400	+0	open	—	03-19 15:46
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	4	$107	54	54	+0	open	—	03-02 11:59
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	4	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	05-21 01:00
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	4	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	03-30 07:34
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	02-23 07:31
Will Fulham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	8	$101	60	41	+19	open	—	04-12 17:17
Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	4	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	04-21 09:27
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	4	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	04-24 07:58
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	03-16 12:34
will marty supreme win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	3	$86	30	56	-26	open	—	02-23 07:31
will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	5	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	02-27 04:41
Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	3	$80	54	26	+28	open	—	04-27 16:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$75	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 06:05
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	4	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-02 12:02
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	9	$60	80	80	+0	open	—	04-21 11:10
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	02-12 05:09
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	02-27 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 14:01:18	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$4	0xe99a14…
06-10 13:28:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	380	2¢	$8	0xf83a26…
06-10 13:28:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	2¢	$7	0x572d14…
06-09 11:48:10	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x4c04f8…
06-09 11:38:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	350	2¢	$7	0x81618f…
06-09 11:38:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0x76e208…
06-07 16:25:57	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xb8623a…
06-07 16:12:49	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x949232…
06-07 16:09:42	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xd3b3d3…
06-07 15:16:30	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x448868…
06-07 15:12:34	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x4cae41…
06-07 15:01:19	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x11e923…
06-07 14:43:58	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x4ca946…
06-07 14:32:21	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xbf399a…
06-07 13:05:33	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	2¢	$5	0xac37b0…
06-07 10:16:48	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xaf0cf7…
06-07 10:15:16	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xc423b9…
06-06 11:26:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xdbe5b9…
06-06 11:23:57	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x27e5e7…
06-02 01:19:22	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x009901…
06-02 01:17:37	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xaa4f37…
06-01 13:33:21	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	198	1¢	$3	0x6e94d5…
05-31 20:51:22	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xee6f9e…
05-31 20:51:20	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0786d1…
05-31 20:51:18	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd6ce1f…
05-29 16:55:17	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x62874b…
05-28 14:16:38	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0x9ea5e8…
05-28 06:31:09	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x3bc5b4…
05-28 04:34:17	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x85219a…
05-27 22:30:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xec350e…
05-22 09:52:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe4de01…
05-21 13:10:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa5bdea…
05-21 01:02:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x05132f…
05-21 01:00:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8ac247…
05-20 13:00:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x18d1ac…
05-20 10:17:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9959fe…
05-20 01:33:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x2f4e09…
05-19 16:42:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x62571e…
05-19 02:58:24	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x878de0…
05-18 20:38:14	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8dc37f…
05-16 11:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x19c2c8…
05-08 13:23:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x427814…
05-08 09:05:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xc841ab…
05-08 08:06:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x47718a…
05-08 07:58:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x909736…
05-08 04:45:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3ac101…
05-08 04:44:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0x23c4cf…
05-08 03:43:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5970f0…
05-07 11:53:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x28bfaa…
05-07 10:38:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x93d318…
05-07 02:08:29	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x23e99d…
05-06 10:44:04	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4e1d8f…
05-06 01:18:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfdc1f6…
05-05 12:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x19601f…
05-02 07:05:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5809d3…
05-02 03:40:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2b5160…
05-02 03:25:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa2adaa…
04-28 13:03:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x385d81…
04-27 16:21:58	Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xec3553…
04-27 11:35:46	Will Alex Baena be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x65c54c…
04-26 22:58:56	Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xce6b79…
04-26 16:44:44	Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31aebb…
04-26 14:17:24	Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20878d…
04-26 07:48:36	Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x842c4a…
04-25 05:46:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0eac54…
04-25 01:49:28	Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x29c9d0…
04-24 07:58:40	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xdd040e…
04-24 07:56:26	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x422ada…
04-24 07:55:20	Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5c3cb4…
04-24 06:13:16	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x0f680a…
04-24 06:00:46	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 26c	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9e2a49…
04-24 05:59:06	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 26c	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xa42131…
04-24 05:54:20	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 26c	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x9a716d…
04-24 05:16:34	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x68e022…
04-24 05:11:18	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x5f0f3c…
04-22 01:37:46	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1888de…
04-21 12:12:38	Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdc84a8…
04-21 11:10:18	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xe615de…
04-21 10:59:56	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	62	19¢	$12	0x06fd66…
04-21 10:53:20	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x2185c6…
04-21 10:27:58	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x378805…
04-21 10:25:50	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfa49d6…
04-21 10:25:50	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf891b3…
04-21 10:25:50	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x71a9cb…
04-21 10:25:50	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x47b389…
04-21 10:25:50	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1948f7…
04-21 10:25:50	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0f3104…
04-21 09:27:30	Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7d7de7…
04-21 09:26:50	Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x39e94d…
04-21 09:26:24	Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4c8add…
04-21 08:25:20	Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x347044…
04-17 05:11:08	highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc25d07…
04-16 15:02:28	Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x51e601…
04-16 11:36:18	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x5f5672…
04-16 10:57:56	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe0c601…
04-16 10:56:24	Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xdb55bb…
04-13 13:17:53	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb88c3b…
04-13 10:56:13	ethereum above 2400 on april 13	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x49eb0f…
04-13 06:36:35	Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6b607f…
04-13 06:24:45	solana above 90 on april 13	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9a4251…