Hot-Cut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$742

Unrealized P&L

-$1.18K

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

318

lifetime

Volume

$47.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$1.32K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-17 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 0% $-727

Sports

9% 0% $-15

Politics

7% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+8,000	$2,499	16¢	$1.3K	$-1,179	06-28 02:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$4.0K	3,263	3,150	+113	open	—	04-27 02:33
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	3	$3.3K	3,912	3,912	+0	open	—	06-13 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$3.3K	9,406	1,406	+8,000	open	—	06-28 02:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$3.1K	3,767	3,767	+0	open	—	04-07 23:08
solana above 110 on february 1	2	$2.1K	2,586	2,586	+0	open	—	01-31 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	5	$1.6K	1,562	1,562	+0	open	—	05-26 14:48
Will Solana reach $90 in April?	3	$1.5K	1,627	1,566	+61	open	—	04-09 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	5	$1.1K	984	984	+0	open	—	05-21 16:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	2	$942	706	690	+16	open	—	04-27 15:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$854	631	631	+0	open	—	05-04 12:52
will solana reach 90 on april 17	3	$848	459	455	+4	open	—	04-17 13:21
will solana reach 90 april 13 19	2	$818	1,615	1,529	+86	open	—	04-15 20:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	8	$816	2,096	1,584	+512	open	—	05-18 15:41
solana above 110 on february 2	2	$701	829	829	+0	open	—	01-31 22:01
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	4	$687	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	07-17 15:28
solana up or down on april 9 2026	2	$625	500	475	+25	open	—	04-09 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	3	$549	735	735	+0	open	—	05-29 18:21
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	2	$534	1,160	1,084	+76	open	—	04-02 13:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	2	$532	1,062	998	+64	open	—	04-27 14:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	4	$522	3,871	3,871	+0	open	—	05-30 04:38
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28 pyfer win by ko tko	2	$506	404	404	+0	open	—	03-29 03:14
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	2	$472	384	384	+0	open	—	05-21 03:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	3	$464	1,744	0	+1,744	No	$-464	05-09 04:31
solana above 80 on march 31	5	$440	3,910	0	+3,910	open	—	03-31 03:27
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$430	3,881	0	+3,881	open	—	05-10 14:01
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	4	$421	4,363	4,072	+291	open	—	04-02 03:06
will solana reach 130 in february 2026	2	$420	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	02-25 19:36
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	2	$410	3,400	0	+3,400	open	—	05-27 14:54
solana up or down on april 16 2026	1	$410	2,158	0	+2,158	open	—	04-16 05:55
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	4	$402	3,821	3,821	+0	open	—	07-17 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:01:25	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 17	Yes	BUY	286	9¢	$26	0x048ca8…
07-17 16:00:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1,290	2¢	$29	0x923150…
07-17 15:29:22	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1,290	5¢	$65	0xde1b4f…
07-17 15:28:24	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	271	27¢	$73	0x89d46f…
07-17 14:48:43	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	271	30¢	$81	0x13494f…
07-17 14:47:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	Yes	SELL	2,530	3¢	$88	0x6e309c…
07-17 02:03:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	2,530	9¢	$220	0x9e6d3d…
07-17 01:59:52	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	774	32¢	$247	0xc5a9e7…
07-13 03:42:41	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	774	37¢	$286	0xaad3d2…
07-11 17:49:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	423	35¢	$150	0x91bd5d…
07-11 02:54:44	powerslap 21 hassanin kanekoa 2026 07 10	Ke'ali Kanekoa	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x423bd3…
07-11 02:39:46	powerslap 21 hager singh 2026 07 10	Amanpreet Singh	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x6a9328…
07-11 02:38:32	powerslap 21 marshall quinones 2026 07 10	Stunt Marshall	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x490ff2…
07-11 02:37:17	powerslap 21 hager singh 2026 07 10	Amanpreet Singh	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x43bb66…
07-11 02:17:14	powerslap 21 scambler defrank 2026 07 10	Anthony Defrank	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x0cbbba…
07-10 19:13:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	58	25¢	$15	0x8cf26b…
07-09 19:40:13	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	102	22¢	$23	0x860767…
07-01 20:53:32	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	66	42¢	$28	0x6ff6ec…
06-28 02:52:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	28¢	$104	0xe244e1…
06-27 18:48:47	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	93	50¢	$47	0x2fdef5…
06-27 17:03:40	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 magomedov win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	79	50¢	$40	0xeb7570…
06-27 17:02:34	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 magomedov win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x7bbc3e…
06-27 17:01:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	29¢	$116	0x99cd18…
06-26 21:20:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,453	35¢	$1,200	0x9a5688…
06-26 18:59:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	29¢	$102	0xa73c2d…
06-24 21:41:04	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	1,855	5¢	$100	0x03335d…
06-23 22:23:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x11b958…
06-23 22:21:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,334	30¢	$400	0x8a44a4…
06-23 18:37:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	28¢	$80	0xf77972…
06-17 12:06:59	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	532	13¢	$72	0xbb0e0a…
06-17 12:06:37	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0x49e552…
06-17 06:14:46	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5ec92e…
06-17 06:14:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	No	SELL	324	3¢	$11	0x1126d0…
06-17 06:14:14	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	63	53¢	$33	0x2826b6…
06-17 06:13:20	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	No	SELL	1,126	3¢	$37	0xe45ccc…
06-16 22:01:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x0095a1…
06-16 22:00:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	1,275	6¢	$71	0x4e8280…
06-16 03:44:10	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x0035de…
06-16 03:03:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	1,039	4¢	$39	0x756af6…
06-16 00:21:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x18592b…
06-16 00:20:57	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	778	18¢	$140	0x6a26cf…
06-15 17:04:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,786	28¢	$500	0x218f02…
06-15 17:04:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,786	28¢	$500	0xd41706…
06-15 07:10:52	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	1,644	3¢	$44	0xdc61cb…
06-15 06:39:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,598	3¢	$87	0xba72c2…
06-14 21:37:34	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	320	25¢	$80	0x29549e…
06-14 16:00:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0xa5cbd6…
06-14 15:44:13	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x77776d…
06-14 03:26:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x63eaed…
06-13 13:56:00	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	3,912	50¢	$1,953	0x7952fc…
06-09 18:02:57	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0x511e88…
06-09 18:02:39	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	3,871	35¢	$1,355	0x8294fe…
06-03 20:58:10	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	221	25¢	$55	0x572576…
05-31 03:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	431	56¢	$240	0x0c89ef…
05-30 04:38:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	2,926	7¢	$192	0xad9db7…
05-29 18:25:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	2,926	6¢	$182	0x3c9fa1…
05-29 18:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	1,502	3¢	$41	0x7938f1…
05-29 18:21:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	944	5¢	$48	0xbbace1…
05-29 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	SELL	735	42¢	$310	0xd64fd2…
05-29 17:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	126	30¢	$38	0xb51f4b…
05-29 17:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	609	33¢	$200	0xdfc9fc…
05-29 15:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	944	11¢	$100	0x03081f…
05-29 15:10:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	1,502	7¢	$100	0x8e2469…
05-29 14:04:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	288	26¢	$75	0x3b041c…
05-28 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	971	18¢	$178	0xfc5411…
05-28 02:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	696	14¢	$99	0x40d2e8…
05-28 02:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	193	14¢	$27	0xd9c5cd…
05-27 14:54:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	338	27¢	$91	0xc9b37d…
05-27 14:54:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x657701…
05-27 14:42:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0x332e55…
05-27 03:19:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,147	2¢	$41	0x614f2f…
05-27 03:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xfe0e97…
05-26 21:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	318	34¢	$108	0x390967…
05-26 18:30:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xec6fa1…
05-26 18:30:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	265	8¢	$20	0xe44b90…
05-26 18:29:33	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	2,400	15¢	$360	0x1cace2…
05-26 14:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	468	93¢	$437	0x913694…
05-26 14:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	468	32¢	$151	0x5261dc…
05-26 14:25:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	500	29¢	$145	0x10d08b…
05-26 14:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	1,094	70¢	$766	0x8ea807…
05-26 01:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	470	20¢	$94	0x8dfa8b…
05-26 01:31:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x7add8d…
05-26 01:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	624	20¢	$125	0xf33414…
05-25 02:38:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	420	20¢	$84	0x3f24e1…
05-24 23:47:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	440	25¢	$110	0x4d08be…
05-23 16:08:55	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	653	22¢	$147	0xa52833…
05-23 12:58:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	1,899	6¢	$122	0x724a75…
05-23 12:58:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	416	7¢	$30	0x871cd0…
05-23 12:57:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	1,483	7¢	$100	0x5a334a…
05-22 15:07:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	875	21¢	$183	0xf80358…
05-22 14:58:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	293	28¢	$82	0x1acd0b…
05-22 14:38:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	384	29¢	$112	0x088bb5…
05-22 01:35:11	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	115	20¢	$23	0x3bb774…
05-22 01:05:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	593	1¢	$5	0x51044b…
05-21 20:09:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	900	7¢	$63	0x94752f…
05-21 17:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1,609	12¢	$200	0xd37a00…
05-21 16:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x098032…
05-21 16:52:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	593	14¢	$83	0x3568ce…
05-21 13:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	313	83¢	$260	0xa67a7f…
05-21 13:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	595	82¢	$487	0x300740…