Winding-Scarecrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,923

lifetime

Volume

$7.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 06-02 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 75% +$6

Other

18% — —

Politics

18% 50% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp vachero nakashi 2026 02 26	4	$193	101	101	+0	open	—	02-27 06:14
cs2 eye mouzn 2026 02 26	3	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	02-26 14:03
btc updown 5m 1772215800	6	$131	153	151	+2	open	—	02-27 18:13
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	12	$109	88	86	+2	open	—	04-13 16:00
will axiom be accused of insider trading	22	$91	60	80	-20	open	—	02-26 07:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	03-26 14:29
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	26	$75	75	85	-10	open	—	02-26 11:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	21	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-01 01:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	14	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 07:33
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	11	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	02-26 11:13
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	4	$49	30	29	+0	open	—	04-09 15:59
will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 11	4	$49	27	27	+0	open	—	04-12 03:52
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	10	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	02-24 16:47
btc updown 5m 1772610300	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	03-04 07:48
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$43	30	25	+5	open	—	02-28 06:33
will company b be accused of insider trading	14	$40	40	35	+5	open	—	02-25 19:52
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	12	$40	35	34	+1	open	—	04-06 16:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	15	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	03-26 14:29
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	15	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	02-26 11:12
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-19 14:25
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	10	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	02-25 20:30
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	6	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 10:12
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	18	$38	41	41	+0	open	—	03-26 14:29
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	10	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	02-25 19:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	12	$38	50	14	+36	open	—	04-25 00:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	03-26 14:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	6	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 07:15
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	10	$31	30	25	+5	open	—	04-14 14:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 13:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	4	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 09:04:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x8f2875…
06-01 14:28:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8c367c…
06-01 13:58:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdcc2ac…
06-01 13:30:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbcc1a6…
06-01 13:17:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbaedcf…
06-01 08:42:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xada529…
06-01 01:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9365a5…
05-31 19:35:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x83d928…
05-31 19:23:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9b3044…
05-31 12:15:43	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9158d2…
05-31 12:06:39	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa0b6c3…
05-31 12:04:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x89bd44…
05-31 09:58:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5e9cbf…
05-31 08:29:41	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4c695f…
05-31 07:13:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x903387…
05-30 15:21:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe2a2e1…
05-30 15:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe9d376…
05-30 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb8925a…
05-30 07:16:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1d4435…
05-30 07:15:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x37fccd…
05-30 07:15:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbfe486…
05-30 07:15:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0ec7d5…
05-30 07:15:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9cff2f…
05-30 07:14:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb6e91c…
05-30 07:14:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf4f530…
05-30 07:14:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc53977…
05-30 06:46:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x786100…
05-29 16:33:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeacaa5…
05-29 05:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xeaab7c…
05-29 05:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xd7059e…
05-28 06:44:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x33ef79…
05-28 04:30:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf32aa5…
05-27 18:19:15	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37dfd7…
05-27 13:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3d7f09…
05-27 11:36:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8c503a…
05-26 21:20:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x874b6b…
05-26 18:37:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1ff33a…
05-26 12:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x536d55…
05-26 12:43:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcdbafa…
05-26 10:40:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0c1781…
05-25 19:38:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9518aa…
05-25 15:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd839a8…
05-25 14:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x84b771…
05-25 11:00:41	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd27451…
05-25 08:38:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf0c31b…
05-24 06:39:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x47d1af…
05-24 06:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa328ab…
05-23 19:18:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaddf80…
05-23 08:21:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc8c57e…
05-23 08:21:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa9cc89…
05-23 05:20:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe55f8b…
05-23 04:06:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x03dc16…
05-23 01:42:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x23a8c6…
05-22 19:55:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb0cf39…
05-22 19:35:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe1301c…
05-22 18:09:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8fa404…
05-22 17:56:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfe2b6b…
05-22 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbdb279…
05-22 13:44:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x493e04…
05-22 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa5c9aa…
05-22 12:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdf0288…
05-22 07:52:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x729ff9…
05-21 18:03:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x53bd57…
05-21 17:46:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x472fb1…
05-21 17:23:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb1b40b…
05-21 17:10:11	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa5d48…
05-21 17:03:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1c267e…
05-21 16:38:29	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x29bc65…
05-21 16:26:00	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6ad00e…
05-21 16:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xde2138…
05-21 16:25:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3e518a…
05-21 16:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x14efcf…
05-21 08:13:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcd43e3…
05-20 23:14:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc12c2a…
05-20 22:00:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4dd19…
05-20 18:50:16	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xddb393…
05-20 18:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x154bed…
05-20 16:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4d4775…
05-20 16:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6bd385…
05-20 16:12:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x3d3603…
05-20 16:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x373f6c…
05-20 16:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x05061a…
05-20 16:11:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2e7d95…
05-20 15:03:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x410000…
05-20 14:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x892510…
05-20 11:32:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x42cc7b…
05-20 11:32:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x144668…
05-20 11:32:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x13d06b…
05-20 11:32:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x97da25…
05-20 11:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x877b28…
05-20 07:23:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa91926…
05-19 09:34:29	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xda8d4d…
05-19 07:18:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2403bd…
05-19 07:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x098318…
05-19 05:53:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x908472…
05-19 04:28:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x048762…
05-19 04:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2be00…
05-18 18:43:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9ca990…
05-18 18:25:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8eee19…
05-18 10:23:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc5d40e…