Winding-Scarecrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	+5	$4	96¢	$5	+$1	05-13 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	+5	$4	78¢	$4	$-0	05-14 06:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	+5	$1	15¢	$1	$-0	05-07 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x462117…
05-13 22:23:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7ec9f6…
05-10 16:10:09	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x37ac8b…
05-10 14:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x63237f…
05-07 15:46:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x72ca0d…
05-07 00:38:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9b3fcf…
05-06 16:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1ee882…
05-06 15:32:48	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf53ecf…
05-06 15:02:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfc0856…
05-06 14:02:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb22150…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	10	$30.6K	177	05-14 05:51
Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5	10	$592	66	05-14 06:25
Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7	9	$1.06K	30	05-13 23:01
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	7	$1.58K	42	05-14 09:54
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	6	$1.44K	29	05-14 04:56
Famous-Allowance 0xec8f…8df8	4	$3.75K	42	05-10 15:05
Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7	4	$3.68K	25	05-14 03:28
Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00	4	$1.01K	35	05-14 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-06 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 14:47
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$-0	05-10 16:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 22:23
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-06 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 06:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	$-1	05-07 00:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	$-1	05-06 14:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-07 15:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	$-1	05-06 15:02