Joyful-Glutamate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$666

Unrealized P&L

-$80

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

611

Trades

4,251

lifetime

Volume

$770.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

$5.13K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-03 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

51% 52% -$6,165

Politics

21% 53% +$2,050

Crypto

14% 72% -$422

Sports

9% 63% +$5,280

Tech

5% 73% +$122

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No		+1,894	$1,751	94¢	$1.8K	+$39	10-08 13:45
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No		+1,748	$1,521	86¢	$1.5K	-$26	09-23 03:44
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+660	$422	90¢	$591	+$168	09-25 13:43
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+426	$420	96¢	$410	-$10	06-03 22:02
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	—	+620	$366	62¢	$381	+$16	10-21 11:38
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	No		-198	-$181	96¢	$-191	-$10	06-25 12:21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+1,722	$384	11¢	$181	-$203	09-30 20:36
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+100	$94	88¢	$88	-$6	06-04 18:06
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes		+75	$13	1¢	$1	-$12	10-01 06:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+0	$35	2¢	$0	-$35	09-15 21:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	42	$22.1K	22,420	17,529	+4,892	No	+$98	05-10 07:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	19	$21.9K	13,907	8,026	+5,881	Up	+$34	05-13 19:34
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	12	$20.1K	11,024	9,134	+1,890	No	+$40	05-26 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	32	$14.9K	15,389	15,389	+0	No	-$125	05-13 07:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	41	$12.2K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	09-15 21:21
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 5	5	$12.1K	6,129	6,129	+0	No	+$129	06-06 02:23
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	9	$11.8K	6,208	6,208	+0	No	+$97	05-15 15:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$10.0K	5,030	5,030	+0	No	+$20	05-16 02:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	5	$10.0K	5,016	5,016	+0	Up	+$11	05-14 19:41
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	3	$10.0K	5,034	5,034	+0	Yes	+$5	05-13 11:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$10.0K	5,010	5,010	+0	No	+$5	05-17 05:01
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	143	$10.0K	5,010	5,009	+1	No	+$5	05-28 11:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	9	$10.0K	5,016	5,005	+11	No	+$11	05-13 18:55
GTA VI released before June 2026?	8	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$10	05-22 03:24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$25	05-13 09:27
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	21	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$27	05-14 07:06
spy up or down on june 10 2026	41	$9.4K	13,046	3,067	+9,980	Down	+$360	06-10 19:55
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	35	$9.4K	12,612	0	+12,612	Argentina	+$1,638	07-12 02:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$9.3K	16,045	12,045	+4,000	No	+$1,421	05-08 07:51
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	84	$9.1K	14,660	0	+14,660	Spain	-$3,970	07-14 20:38
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	6	$9.0K	5,000	4,000	+1,000	No	+$5	05-15 14:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	71	$8.7K	6,623	6,549	+74	Yes	-$31	08-01 19:29
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	43	$8.4K	14,522	470	+14,052	No	+$4,624	07-19 22:00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	2	$8.0K	4,010	4,010	+0	No	+$6	05-14 02:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	6	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	Down	+$20	05-15 12:59
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	45	$8.0K	8,072	3,826	+4,246	Yes	+$75	06-24 03:02
spy up or down on july 2 2026	90	$7.9K	5,643	5,638	+5	Down	-$181	07-02 20:00
bitcoin above 66k on june 22 2026	4	$7.7K	4,266	3,503	+763	No	+$59	06-22 15:18
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?	5	$6.8K	3,405	3,405	+0	Yes	+$2	05-17 09:41
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	1	$6.0K	6,042	0	+6,042	No	+$42	06-25 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:28:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	610	23¢	$140	0x49e9e6…
10-29 00:11:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,361	3¢	$34	0x4ebe4b…
10-28 23:40:46	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	367	2¢	$8	0x2caf75…
10-28 23:38:46	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x9ea199…
10-28 23:36:49	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xae4337…
10-28 23:36:07	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	484	2¢	$11	0x141576…
10-28 23:05:55	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,361	2¢	$30	0x389bcf…
10-21 11:38:57	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	BUY	620	59¢	$366	0x44f00a…
10-16 00:28:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	610	41¢	$250	0xbaa9f9…
10-13 19:04:01	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	310	82¢	$254	0xc335b8…
10-11 08:56:57	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	476	41¢	$195	0x6cd2e6…
10-10 11:58:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x2ebf62…
10-10 11:52:00	Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	BUY	614	90¢	$553	0x8dff70…
10-10 11:51:13	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x21aac0…
10-08 23:05:42	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	600	90¢	$540	0xf6a5c2…
10-08 13:45:33	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0xe6d693…
10-08 13:18:29	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	129	93¢	$120	0x2fd191…
10-05 12:03:20	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	No	SELL	110	33¢	$36	0x4adec3…
10-05 11:52:26	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	110	46¢	$51	0x2c9669…
10-05 00:06:25	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	2,033	92¢	$1,880	0x511878…
10-04 19:13:14	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	450	11¢	$50	0x09fa18…
10-04 18:13:07	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	450	14¢	$63	0x3d72d0…
10-04 14:12:20	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0xc04e8d…
10-04 10:29:16	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	39¢	$54	0xb4eeca…
10-04 09:29:10	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	60¢	$82	0xd0fbe5…
10-03 21:20:25	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	350	72¢	$252	0xd25cf6…
10-03 20:13:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	206	72¢	$148	0xb2d455…
10-03 19:38:24	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	136	72¢	$98	0xceedde…
10-03 13:34:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x4c8141…
10-03 03:35:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	93	71¢	$66	0x1ac6be…
10-03 02:18:41	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	59	35¢	$21	0x85ae00…
10-03 01:48:02	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	59	36¢	$21	0x4e8ebb…
10-02 22:16:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x7b4abd…
10-02 21:35:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	86	67¢	$58	0x585d95…
10-02 20:38:00	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	93	69¢	$64	0xe943ae…
10-02 20:00:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	57	37¢	$21	0xb34522…
10-02 19:12:20	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xd00c1e…
10-02 18:57:20	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	174	66¢	$115	0x3a5073…
10-02 18:02:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	89	74¢	$66	0xca8262…
10-02 18:00:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xcc8897…
10-02 17:44:02	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	70	35¢	$24	0x19a02d…
10-02 17:39:41	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	137	34¢	$47	0x2a236e…
10-02 17:35:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	66	72¢	$48	0x04f40c…
10-02 17:14:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	122	76¢	$93	0x18d6e0…
10-02 16:51:39	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x15fbf1…
10-02 16:35:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x831552…
10-02 09:26:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	27¢	$15	0xb3f6d8…
10-02 09:26:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	126	46¢	$58	0xb22103…
10-02 09:02:00	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	397	86¢	$341	0xeb12ae…
10-02 08:45:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x8f81a8…
10-02 02:59:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x07e4aa…
10-01 22:55:23	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe08afb…
10-01 22:47:23	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0xd3041e…
10-01 22:43:23	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0x3c03f6…
10-01 22:37:02	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0x37dd2e…
10-01 22:00:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	114	73¢	$83	0xb61b52…
10-01 20:25:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x568d23…
10-01 20:20:51	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	98	36¢	$35	0x8aa96c…
10-01 20:17:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	95	36¢	$34	0x64a0fc…
10-01 19:59:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0xb0c239…
10-01 19:59:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	96	36¢	$35	0x77832f…
10-01 19:56:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdfc8fe…
10-01 19:56:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	94	35¢	$33	0x96f40c…
10-01 19:24:35	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	47	35¢	$16	0x496b19…
10-01 19:20:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0xc5f0ea…
10-01 18:50:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	59	75¢	$44	0x51916a…
10-01 18:48:33	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	238	75¢	$178	0x2ffb88…
10-01 06:49:48	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	BUY	75	17¢	$13	0xbd5ab8…
09-30 20:36:39	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0xfc8ce8…
09-30 20:22:06	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	869	100¢	$868	0xaa385c…
09-30 13:25:53	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	308	11¢	$34	0xafc320…
09-29 15:46:12	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	105	41¢	$43	0xab9723…
09-29 15:45:26	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	315	41¢	$129	0x387b68…
09-29 15:42:42	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	89	25¢	$22	0x4a7cbf…
09-29 14:27:45	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xe090c2…
09-29 14:27:38	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x90e7b8…
09-29 03:37:18	Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	128	19¢	$24	0xce0f6a…
09-28 17:43:59	Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x8b1a2a…
09-28 14:59:12	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	1,780	85¢	$1,513	0x8c57f9…
09-27 10:21:53	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	285	22¢	$63	0x4539bc…
09-27 08:43:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	1,334	87¢	$1,161	0x9d7ceb…
09-27 07:50:51	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	337	22¢	$74	0x636b17…
09-27 04:34:53	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	333	21¢	$70	0x5d0019…
09-27 02:04:54	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xa120a5…
09-27 01:28:32	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	420	41¢	$172	0xe56772…
09-26 09:18:51	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	341	23¢	$78	0x5ccf57…
09-26 04:47:20	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	294	23¢	$68	0x8b0550…
09-25 13:43:21	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	660	64¢	$422	0x0eaaac…
09-24 13:39:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	90	60¢	$54	0x5fb306…
09-24 13:22:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x1f9c4b…
09-24 13:17:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xf5eb64…
09-24 13:14:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xbe27da…
09-24 11:35:09	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	1,780	86¢	$1,531	0xeee5a9…
09-24 09:08:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	SELL	339	43¢	$146	0x643630…
09-24 08:37:11	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	BUY	222	43¢	$95	0x61b256…
09-24 08:25:11	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x81b224…
09-24 08:24:15	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	390	60¢	$234	0xd2d747…
09-24 05:33:15	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	308	12¢	$37	0xf489c0…
09-24 03:35:58	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	117	67¢	$78	0xab9d47…
09-24 02:35:53	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0xbe14b1…