Uncomfortable-Tusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$764

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

636

Trades

2,751

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-23 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 51% -$212

Other

19% 23% -$394

Politics

2% 33% -$122

Sports

1% 11% -$25

Tech

0% 0% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	8	$673	120	748	-627	Yes	-$132	05-18 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	31	$479	936	0	+936	Down	-$96	05-17 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	22	$472	909	0	+909	Up	+$147	05-17 14:41
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	9	$405	430	0	+430	Yes	+$25	05-16 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	15	$402	402	0	+402	Yes	+$1	05-13 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	11	$383	749	0	+749	Down	-$23	05-17 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	19	$336	661	0	+661	Up	-$86	05-17 14:25
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$300	303	0	+303	Yes	+$3	05-16 02:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	9	$293	297	0	+297	Yes	+$4	05-14 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$258	502	0	+502	Up	-$169	05-17 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	7	$256	509	0	+509	Down	+$48	05-17 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	8	$249	474	0	+474	Up	-$78	05-17 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?	8	$241	256	0	+256	Yes	+$14	05-16 05:22
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$212	132	132	+0	Yes	+$12	05-18 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	27	$198	417	0	+417	Up	-$64	05-17 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	17	$163	327	0	+327	Up	+$28	05-15 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	8	$161	322	0	+322	Up	-$82	05-15 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$160	320	0	+320	Down	+$2	05-15 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$159	322	0	+322	Up	-$80	05-15 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	12	$155	312	0	+312	Up	+$76	05-15 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	17	$155	310	0	+310	Down	-$74	05-15 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$153	156	156	+0	Up	-$1	05-26 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	10	$151	337	0	+337	Up	-$151	05-17 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$150	310	0	+310	Down	+$160	05-17 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	13	$150	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	05-13 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$150	303	0	+303	Up	+$72	05-15 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$149	300	0	+300	Up	-$134	05-17 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	16	$142	284	0	+284	Up	-$81	05-15 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	11	$141	284	0	+284	Down	-$60	05-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	11	$132	264	0	+264	Up	+$31	05-14 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 12:48:11	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x630ce0…
06-19 18:05:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xae006d…
06-17 22:21:23	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	46	3¢	$2	0x9600b2…
06-17 22:21:19	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x479cff…
06-17 22:18:19	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x399a26…
06-17 22:11:20	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x31c825…
06-17 22:06:25	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	9¢	$5	0x3b2806…
06-17 19:51:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdcfaa8…
06-17 19:51:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x09f332…
06-17 18:04:10	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x020840…
06-16 22:25:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55cfe3…
06-16 22:25:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d3ea7…
06-16 22:24:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x94ae50…
06-16 22:14:55	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x67fd6e…
06-16 21:13:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4,770	0¢	$5	0x6b33e5…
06-16 21:13:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7,050	0¢	$7	0x4d6e4e…
06-16 21:12:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10,400	0¢	$10	0x94a98b…
06-16 21:12:04	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xdec4db…
06-16 21:12:04	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x051f05…
06-16 21:12:02	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xff10a0…
06-16 21:12:02	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf8c575…
06-16 21:12:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf48dac…
06-16 21:12:01	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa355e8…
06-16 21:12:01	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x03c32b…
06-16 20:46:04	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5547fe…
06-16 20:45:59	dota2 lgd lindor 2026 06 16 game2	Lindorfitos	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x840214…
06-16 20:45:08	dota2 lgd lindor 2026 06 16 game2	Lindorfitos	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8e9296…
06-16 20:44:05	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xfa3768…
06-16 20:42:02	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4865d8…
06-16 20:41:32	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x63f7b1…
06-16 20:39:35	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xeb58da…
06-16 20:04:13	Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe6af51…
06-16 19:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?	No	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0x22c639…
06-16 19:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd1d972…
06-16 19:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x957017…
06-16 19:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x678b81…
06-16 19:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x573f46…
06-16 19:00:11	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x941847…
06-16 18:33:07	will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x2aa2c2…
06-16 18:31:56	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x1e6d5b…
06-16 18:18:49	bitcoin above 58k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	3,282	0¢	$3	0xd90c3e…
06-16 18:16:01	bitcoin above 58k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	248	0¢	$0	0x1dce3e…
06-16 18:13:44	Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5afd43…
06-16 18:10:28	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	13¢	$7	0x5835b5…
06-16 17:42:32	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd94fe3…
06-16 17:42:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xafb59a…
06-16 17:42:32	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x3c8c76…
06-16 17:42:31	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?	No	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0x84d281…
06-16 17:42:31	Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0x717825…
06-16 10:55:52	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa494ee…
06-16 10:10:01	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe8b434…
06-16 08:59:13	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd402dd…
06-16 08:53:42	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4b3af…
06-16 08:53:42	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b7194…
06-16 08:53:30	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe59be…
06-16 08:52:55	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?	No	SELL	600	5¢	$30	0x5fc036…
06-13 21:53:01	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?	No	BUY	126	6¢	$8	0x0c3525…
06-13 21:52:25	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xb4687b…
06-13 21:52:25	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x146a41…
06-13 21:47:01	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	455	1¢	$4	0x4d95f8…
06-13 21:46:42	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	455	1¢	$4	0x81ac33…
06-13 21:44:00	Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x7dde0c…
06-13 21:43:58	Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x565360…
06-13 21:43:37	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?	No	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0x57f918…
06-13 21:42:34	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	175	0¢	$0	0x7fe817…
06-13 21:42:24	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?	No	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x7ee1ef…
06-13 21:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?	No	BUY	978	0¢	$4	0x561f2e…
06-13 21:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?	No	BUY	771	0¢	$1	0x102984…
06-13 21:41:58	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?	No	BUY	109	6¢	$7	0x5895a3…
06-13 21:41:37	dota2 nawedw the 2026 06 11 game handicap home 1pt5	NA, we'd win	BUY	227	1¢	$2	0x1c24d5…
06-13 21:41:27	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?	No	BUY	196	6¢	$12	0x4ebff5…
06-13 21:41:24	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	2,967	0¢	$3	0x2c50f9…
06-13 21:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x7ca44b…
06-13 12:19:49	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x8741ea…
06-13 09:39:07	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd0ff77…
06-13 08:49:43	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd170f4…
06-13 08:21:34	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa26507…
06-13 08:21:30	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xcab6bd…
06-13 08:21:04	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x75880e…
06-13 08:21:00	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x176c89…
06-13 08:20:37	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x2ede93…
06-13 08:20:34	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xac8612…
06-13 08:20:04	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x06f7be…
06-13 08:20:00	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xfc4943…
06-13 08:19:33	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x68991b…
06-13 08:19:30	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xc200eb…
06-13 08:18:34	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa974cf…
06-13 07:20:28	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x613d95…
06-13 07:18:30	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x68a24b…
06-13 07:16:58	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x47bad2…
06-13 07:16:57	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x859df1…
06-13 07:16:31	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc39a11…
06-13 07:16:31	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x69bdb8…
06-13 07:16:30	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x954e98…
06-13 07:16:28	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb5e23b…
06-13 07:16:28	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6ce0de…
06-13 07:16:27	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xcc873e…
06-13 07:16:04	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc5b4f7…
06-13 07:16:03	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xd705fb…
06-13 07:02:54	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x97a1b8…