Uncomfortable-Tusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$553

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

171

Trades

2,325

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-08 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 58% +$552

Other

8% 17% $-4

Politics

2% 100% +$4

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	8	$673	120	748	-627	open	—	05-18 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	31	$479	936	0	+936	open	—	05-17 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	22	$472	909	0	+909	open	—	05-17 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	11	$383	749	0	+749	open	—	05-17 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	19	$336	661	0	+661	open	—	05-17 14:25
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-16 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$258	502	0	+502	open	—	05-17 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	7	$256	509	0	+509	open	—	05-17 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	8	$249	474	0	+474	open	—	05-17 14:20
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$212	132	132	+0	open	—	05-18 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	27	$198	417	0	+417	open	—	05-17 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	17	$163	327	0	+327	open	—	05-15 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	8	$161	322	0	+322	open	—	05-15 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$160	320	0	+320	open	—	05-15 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$159	322	0	+322	open	—	05-15 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	12	$155	312	0	+312	open	—	05-15 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	17	$155	310	0	+310	open	—	05-15 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$153	156	156	+0	open	—	05-26 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	10	$151	337	0	+337	open	—	05-17 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$150	310	0	+310	open	—	05-17 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$150	303	0	+303	open	—	05-15 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$149	300	0	+300	open	—	05-17 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	16	$142	284	0	+284	open	—	05-15 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	11	$141	284	0	+284	open	—	05-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	11	$132	264	0	+264	Up	+$31	05-14 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$128	255	0	+255	open	—	05-15 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$127	254	0	+254	open	—	05-15 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	8	$120	241	0	+241	open	—	05-15 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	24	$120	244	0	+244	open	—	05-15 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	13	$116	232	0	+232	open	—	05-15 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:44:46	will victor wembanyama score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421898	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5b764b…
06-08 07:30:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x213c6e…
06-04 07:06:12	will scary movie score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x33c65a…
06-03 23:16:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xe38575…
06-03 22:56:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf049d2…
06-03 22:56:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x09b53f…
06-03 22:30:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xbc4ab1…
06-03 22:08:34	will spy reach 775 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xa594bd…
06-03 21:53:30	will scary movie score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xdb4629…
06-02 12:41:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd0b54d…
06-02 10:51:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9d25bb…
06-02 08:39:59	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x2cc4c4…
05-30 05:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd11625…
05-30 05:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1fded…
05-30 05:25:53	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdfc6da…
05-30 05:24:54	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x14b9eb…
05-30 05:24:10	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x941474…
05-29 20:46:29	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x578311…
05-29 19:12:46	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $440?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x76a6c4…
05-29 06:09:04	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $440?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x43822a…
05-29 04:44:53	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x432bf2…
05-29 04:44:52	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xf3c699…
05-29 04:44:50	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xa409d7…
05-29 04:44:48	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xebda44…
05-29 04:44:46	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xa12186…
05-28 20:34:57	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,320	0¢	$1	0xb1e4d3…
05-28 20:34:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6,680	0¢	$7	0x950b72…
05-28 19:15:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0x3e15f2…
05-28 19:03:22	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x2f4822…
05-28 19:03:15	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0xb50f8d…
05-28 18:58:28	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	87	8¢	$7	0x862efe…
05-28 18:53:29	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x5539d6…
05-28 18:53:27	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	101	6¢	$6	0x0c90de…
05-28 18:47:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6d5637…
05-28 18:47:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	461	1¢	$6	0xca00c9…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xbb2ad7…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaf2026…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x86a7c5…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x806225…
05-28 05:02:49	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x22e7ea…
05-28 04:09:09	Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Mayar Sherif	Coco Gauff	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1a86bc…
05-27 22:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x9c96ae…
05-27 22:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xe3cfef…
05-27 21:31:26	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc26796…
05-27 21:29:28	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x921cca…
05-27 21:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7fe3e9…
05-27 21:07:52	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xbe3a90…
05-27 21:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe2396e…
05-27 21:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x37b376…
05-27 21:02:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x0be625…
05-27 20:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x05bf8f…
05-27 20:53:31	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x5bf6fa…
05-27 20:22:22	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7ae338…
05-27 20:21:34	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x23c74b…
05-27 20:21:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x252c27…
05-27 20:21:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xba1242…
05-27 20:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7b7923…
05-27 20:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xbb0c97…
05-27 20:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x19c968…
05-27 20:14:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaae2be…
05-27 06:20:44	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf4434a…
05-27 03:33:45	Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x32a58b…
05-26 14:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x680ce7…
05-26 14:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x140d39…
05-26 14:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf08829…
05-26 14:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x5c3c50…
05-26 14:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x45ae09…
05-26 14:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x2c6dbd…
05-26 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x103853…
05-26 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x0974d6…
05-26 14:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x5d20dc…
05-26 14:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$51	0x5744da…
05-26 14:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	156	49¢	$76	0xcbd220…
05-26 14:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	156	49¢	$77	0xeb5f74…
05-26 13:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	74	87¢	$65	0xeb0951…
05-26 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0xd2a251…
05-26 13:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	50¢	$37	0x123653…
05-26 13:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	134	51¢	$68	0xae4130…
05-26 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde7ba0…
05-26 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xd640e9…
05-26 13:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfd43a4…
05-26 13:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3ca5e5…
05-26 13:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeade5a…
05-26 13:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x084d80…
05-26 13:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc57cfd…
05-26 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc36853…
05-26 13:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8e06b7…
05-26 12:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x23adad…
05-26 12:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcd9f56…
05-26 12:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xece10f…
05-26 12:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe3b746…
05-26 11:12:52	Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xb34873…
05-24 19:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6d0b7…
05-24 18:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9e1a6d…
05-24 18:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x00dc56…
05-24 18:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7a4d24…
05-24 18:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc4c69f…
05-24 18:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3c2f57…
05-24 18:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61fe47…
05-24 18:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b1129…