Uncomfortable-Tusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$553

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

171

Trades

2,383

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-23 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 58% +$552

Other

8% 17% $-4

Politics

2% 100% +$4

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No		+22	$3	15¢	$3	+$0	06-16 22:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	8	$673	120	748	-627	open	—	05-18 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	31	$479	936	0	+936	open	—	05-17 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	22	$472	909	0	+909	open	—	05-17 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	11	$383	749	0	+749	open	—	05-17 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	19	$336	661	0	+661	open	—	05-17 14:25
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-16 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$258	502	0	+502	open	—	05-17 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	7	$256	509	0	+509	open	—	05-17 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	8	$249	474	0	+474	open	—	05-17 14:20
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$212	132	132	+0	open	—	05-18 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	27	$198	417	0	+417	open	—	05-17 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	17	$163	327	0	+327	open	—	05-15 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	8	$161	322	0	+322	open	—	05-15 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$160	320	0	+320	open	—	05-15 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$159	322	0	+322	open	—	05-15 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	12	$155	312	0	+312	open	—	05-15 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	17	$155	310	0	+310	open	—	05-15 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$153	156	156	+0	open	—	05-26 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	10	$151	337	0	+337	open	—	05-17 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$150	310	0	+310	open	—	05-17 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$150	303	0	+303	open	—	05-15 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$149	300	0	+300	open	—	05-17 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	16	$142	284	0	+284	open	—	05-15 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	11	$141	284	0	+284	open	—	05-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	11	$132	264	0	+264	Up	+$31	05-14 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$128	255	0	+255	open	—	05-15 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$127	254	0	+254	open	—	05-15 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	8	$120	241	0	+241	open	—	05-15 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	24	$120	244	0	+244	open	—	05-15 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	13	$116	232	0	+232	open	—	05-15 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 12:48:11	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x630ce0…
06-19 18:05:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xae006d…
06-17 22:21:23	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	46	3¢	$2	0x9600b2…
06-17 22:21:19	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x479cff…
06-17 22:18:19	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x399a26…
06-17 22:11:20	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x31c825…
06-17 22:06:25	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	9¢	$5	0x3b2806…
06-17 19:51:19	eth updown 5m 1781725500	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdcfaa8…
06-17 19:51:17	eth updown 5m 1781725500	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x09f332…
06-17 18:04:10	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x020840…
06-16 22:25:53	eth updown 5m 1781648100	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55cfe3…
06-16 22:25:25	eth updown 5m 1781648100	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d3ea7…
06-16 22:24:55	eth updown 5m 1781648100	Down	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x94ae50…
06-16 22:14:55	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x67fd6e…
06-16 21:13:40	xrp updown 5m 1781643000	Down	BUY	4,770	0¢	$5	0x6b33e5…
06-16 21:13:04	xrp updown 5m 1781643000	Down	BUY	7,050	0¢	$7	0x4d6e4e…
06-16 21:12:41	xrp updown 5m 1781643000	Down	BUY	10,400	0¢	$10	0x94a98b…
06-16 21:12:04	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xdec4db…
06-16 21:12:02	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xff10a0…
06-16 21:12:01	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa355e8…
06-16 20:46:04	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5547fe…
06-16 20:45:59	dota2 lgd lindor 2026 06 16 game2	Lindorfitos	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x840214…
06-16 20:45:08	dota2 lgd lindor 2026 06 16 game2	Lindorfitos	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8e9296…
06-16 20:44:05	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xfa3768…
06-16 20:42:02	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4865d8…
06-16 20:41:32	atp kicker coria 2026 06 15	Federico Coria	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x63f7b1…
06-16 20:39:35	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xeb58da…
06-16 18:33:07	will 3 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228788	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x2aa2c2…
06-16 18:31:56	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x1e6d5b…
06-16 18:18:49	bitcoin above 58k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	3,282	0¢	$3	0xd90c3e…
06-16 18:16:01	bitcoin above 58k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	248	0¢	$0	0x1dce3e…
06-16 18:10:28	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	13¢	$7	0x5835b5…
06-16 17:42:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xafb59a…
06-16 08:59:13	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd402dd…
06-16 08:53:42	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4b3af…
06-16 08:53:42	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b7194…
06-13 21:47:01	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	455	1¢	$4	0x4d95f8…
06-13 21:46:42	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	455	1¢	$4	0x81ac33…
06-13 21:42:34	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	175	0¢	$0	0x7fe817…
06-13 21:41:37	dota2 nawedw the 2026 06 11 game handicap home 1pt5	NA, we'd win	BUY	227	1¢	$2	0x1c24d5…
06-13 21:41:24	dota2 balu sb5 2026 06 13 game2	summer bear	BUY	2,967	0¢	$3	0x2c50f9…
06-13 07:16:57	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x859df1…
06-13 07:16:31	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc39a11…
06-13 07:16:30	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x954e98…
06-13 07:16:28	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb5e23b…
06-13 07:16:27	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xcc873e…
06-12 21:25:18	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfbb8c3…
06-12 21:23:49	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3a6ac9…
06-12 21:16:00	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xff468f…
06-10 14:27:52	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x11a3c7…
06-10 14:27:51	will dr congo reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120778	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x49646a…
06-10 14:23:18	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xffd9b7…
06-10 13:37:13	will trump praise dana white by june 30	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x51e3ab…
06-10 13:36:39	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x459d4d…
06-10 09:18:36	will dr congo reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120778	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xddc4b7…
06-10 09:09:27	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x063d7e…
06-08 22:44:46	will victor wembanyama score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421898	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5b764b…
06-08 07:30:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x213c6e…
06-04 07:06:12	will scary movie score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x33c65a…
06-03 23:16:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xe38575…
06-03 22:56:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf049d2…
06-03 22:56:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x09b53f…
06-03 22:30:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xbc4ab1…
06-03 22:08:34	will spy reach 775 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xa594bd…
06-03 21:53:30	will scary movie score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xdb4629…
06-02 12:41:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd0b54d…
06-02 10:51:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9d25bb…
06-02 08:39:59	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x2cc4c4…
05-30 05:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd11625…
05-30 05:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1fded…
05-30 05:25:53	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdfc6da…
05-30 05:24:54	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x14b9eb…
05-30 05:24:10	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x941474…
05-29 20:46:29	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x578311…
05-29 19:12:46	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $440?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x76a6c4…
05-29 06:09:04	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $440?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x43822a…
05-29 04:44:53	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x432bf2…
05-29 04:44:52	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xf3c699…
05-29 04:44:50	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xa409d7…
05-29 04:44:48	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xebda44…
05-29 04:44:46	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xa12186…
05-28 20:34:57	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,320	0¢	$1	0xb1e4d3…
05-28 20:34:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6,680	0¢	$7	0x950b72…
05-28 19:15:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0x3e15f2…
05-28 19:03:22	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x2f4822…
05-28 19:03:15	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0xb50f8d…
05-28 18:58:28	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	87	8¢	$7	0x862efe…
05-28 18:53:29	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x5539d6…
05-28 18:53:27	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	101	6¢	$6	0x0c90de…
05-28 18:47:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6d5637…
05-28 18:47:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	461	1¢	$6	0xca00c9…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xbb2ad7…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaf2026…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x86a7c5…
05-28 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x806225…
05-28 05:02:49	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x22e7ea…
05-28 04:09:09	Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Mayar Sherif	Coco Gauff	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1a86bc…
05-27 22:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x9c96ae…
05-27 22:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xe3cfef…
05-27 21:31:26	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc26796…