Flaky-Initialise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

200

Trades

795

lifetime

Volume

$399.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$502

Open exposure

$5.42K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% -$1,774

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4?	Yes	—	+5,436	$5,425	100¢	$5.4K	+$0	11-03 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4?	2	$5.4K	5,436	+5,436	open	—	11-03 19:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	3	$5.4K	5,425	+5,425	Yes	+$11	11-02 17:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2?	4	$5.4K	5,414	+5,414	Yes	+$11	11-01 18:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 1?	3	$5.4K	5,403	+5,403	Yes	+$11	10-31 18:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	11	$5.4K	5,382	+5,382	Yes	+$11	10-29 20:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	3	$5.4K	5,371	+5,371	Yes	+$11	10-27 23:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	1	$5.3K	5,360	+5,360	Yes	+$11	10-26 22:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	6	$5.3K	5,350	+5,350	Yes	+$11	10-25 20:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	1	$5.3K	5,322	+5,322	Yes	+$11	10-23 17:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	8	$5.3K	5,311	+5,311	Yes	+$11	10-22 16:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	3	$5.3K	5,301	+5,301	Yes	+$11	10-21 17:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?	3	$5.3K	5,291	+5,291	Yes	+$11	10-20 21:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?	2	$5.3K	5,280	+5,280	Yes	+$11	10-19 18:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	104	$5.3K	5,270	+5,270	Yes	+$11	10-19 02:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 18?	2	$5.2K	5,259	+5,259	Yes	+$11	10-17 20:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 17?	9	$5.2K	5,249	+5,249	Yes	+$10	10-16 17:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	108	$5.2K	5,237	+5,237	Yes	+$17	10-16 02:16
bitcoin above 74k on october 15 2026	1	$5.2K	5,222	+5,222	Yes	+$10	10-15 02:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	5	$5.2K	5,209	+5,209	Yes	+$23	10-13 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	4	$5.2K	5,189	+5,189	Yes	+$10	10-12 23:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	4	$5.2K	5,179	+5,179	Yes	+$10	10-11 20:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 11?	3	$5.2K	5,168	+5,168	Yes	+$10	10-10 20:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	1	$5.1K	5,159	+5,159	Yes	+$10	10-09 17:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	4	$5.1K	5,144	+5,144	Yes	+$10	10-07 23:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?	2	$5.1K	5,135	+5,135	Yes	+$10	10-06 18:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5?	86	$5.1K	5,125	+5,125	Yes	+$10	10-04 21:23
bitcoin above 78k on october 2 2026	1	$5.1K	5,102	+5,102	Yes	+$10	10-01 18:24
bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	5	$5.1K	5,091	+5,091	Yes	+$10	10-01 00:12
bitcoin above 78k on september 30 2026	2	$5.1K	5,081	+5,081	Yes	+$10	09-29 17:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29?	2	$5.1K	5,071	+5,071	Yes	+$10	09-28 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:06:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5,249	100¢	$5,239	0x74e588…
11-03 18:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x83ee18…
11-02 17:33:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4,325	100¢	$4,316	0x29d613…
11-02 17:31:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x1489e1…
11-02 17:30:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x73810c…
11-01 18:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,415	100¢	$2,410	0x93a693…
11-01 17:45:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4f6486…
11-01 17:40:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x8fec21…
11-01 17:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	987	100¢	$985	0x979a06…
10-31 18:41:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,936	100¢	$1,932	0x208741…
10-31 18:07:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x182b48…
10-31 16:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	968	100¢	$966	0x479aee…
10-30 18:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,006	100¢	$1,004	0xb8d7d7…
10-30 18:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1ea56c…
10-30 17:47:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb189b5…
10-30 17:44:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x2c3512…
10-30 16:31:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa1eb74…
10-30 16:28:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,383	100¢	$2,378	0x2d2f7e…
10-29 20:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x036d7b…
10-29 20:46:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xce4a8a…
10-29 20:46:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27bfca…
10-29 20:45:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc357fa…
10-29 20:43:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xe81ef7…
10-29 20:43:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x40ad8d…
10-29 20:43:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x789d25…
10-29 20:43:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe3abce…
10-29 20:42:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,864	100¢	$1,860	0xfdd38a…
10-29 20:30:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xdb025d…
10-29 20:28:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	797	100¢	$795	0x57c4e7…
10-27 23:42:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3,881	100¢	$3,873	0x394ccf…
10-27 20:16:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	930	100¢	$928	0x69d211…
10-27 20:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x5976f6…
10-26 22:15:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5,360	100¢	$5,350	0xefc2a2…
10-25 20:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,255	100¢	$1,252	0xa900ff…
10-25 19:38:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb28ef7…
10-25 17:34:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb79655…
10-25 17:32:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	790	100¢	$788	0x897287…
10-25 17:24:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0xe023cd…
10-25 17:19:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0x37a8e8…
10-24 22:43:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xa18f3c…
10-24 21:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	930	100¢	$928	0x23d4b0…
10-24 20:43:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	605	100¢	$604	0xaf2c8a…
10-24 20:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x2e9bf4…
10-24 20:36:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x41f4b5…
10-24 20:35:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0xd35485…
10-24 20:33:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x56f8ad…
10-24 17:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,490	0xa2fddd…
10-23 17:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5,322	100¢	$5,311	0x9c080d…
10-22 16:47:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xb83e4f…
10-22 16:46:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce3778…
10-22 16:46:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3ef117…
10-22 16:45:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdf1d50…
10-22 16:45:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x689237…
10-22 16:42:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9af125…
10-22 16:41:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d1461…
10-22 16:33:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x189059…
10-21 17:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	931	100¢	$929	0xd4a41b…
10-21 17:34:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x2d9f91…
10-21 17:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4,160	100¢	$4,151	0x0285eb…
10-20 21:55:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdc9e5a…
10-20 20:23:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	449	100¢	$448	0xeb46b9…
10-20 20:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4,811	100¢	$4,801	0xc9e94a…
10-19 18:33:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4,780	100¢	$4,771	0xce49dd…
10-19 18:27:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x55a417…
10-19 02:49:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xf10c91…
10-19 01:39:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5af38d…
10-18 20:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x242f0b…
10-18 20:45:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf44a8…
10-18 20:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x2f03fc…
10-18 20:37:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xae50f5…
10-18 20:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3,738	100¢	$3,731	0x9b06f1…
10-18 20:34:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x172c2c…
10-18 20:31:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3929f5…
10-18 20:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x554f66…
10-18 20:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf5ec0…
10-18 20:22:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc08a5e…
10-18 20:17:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x87e2f2…
10-18 20:13:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b1d97…
10-18 20:10:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6bbb4…
10-18 20:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd555b0…
10-18 20:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa796d…
10-18 20:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x26249f…
10-18 19:59:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9f16fa…
10-18 19:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5080eb…
10-18 19:53:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa9c0ba…
10-18 19:50:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x359378…
10-18 19:47:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x772bff…
10-18 19:43:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf2a13…
10-18 19:42:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc40916…
10-18 19:36:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74790a…
10-18 19:36:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c9dff…
10-18 19:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98f6e3…
10-18 19:35:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5de67…
10-18 19:35:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd8827e…
10-18 19:34:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x051d7c…
10-18 19:33:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x28d8c7…
10-18 19:32:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c351f…
10-18 19:32:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7c7d8…
10-18 19:32:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc26be7…
10-18 19:32:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ad4a5…