Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,599

lifetime

Volume

$42.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$441

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-04 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Crypto

27% 100% +$4

Sports

10% — —

Politics

9% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+300	$293	99¢	$296	+$4	06-02 23:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+106	$67	55¢	$58	$-10	06-04 00:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$46	88¢	$44	$-1	06-01 22:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$44	86¢	$43	$-1	06-01 22:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb murst indst 2026 02 12 total 163pt5	6	$943	486	486	+0	open	—	02-13 03:49
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	13	$798	502	328	+175	open	—	01-26 15:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$795	563	279	+283	open	—	01-26 23:04
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$714	655	100	+555	open	—	03-08 13:32
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	14	$687	721	0	+721	open	—	02-16 12:10
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$668	600	100	+500	open	—	03-02 09:35
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	1	$558	560	0	+560	open	—	04-08 12:43
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	4	$540	277	277	+0	open	—	02-09 15:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	11	$528	555	0	+555	open	—	04-13 02:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$525	544	0	+544	open	—	03-18 21:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$510	526	0	+526	open	—	03-18 21:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	1	$494	500	0	+500	open	—	04-08 12:41
epl wes sun 2026 01 24 wes	5	$453	306	153	+153	open	—	01-24 14:36
cbb mstm rider 2026 02 13 total 140pt5	9	$430	217	217	+0	open	—	02-14 02:10
cbb mstm rider 2026 02 13 total 138pt5	8	$429	217	217	+0	open	—	02-14 04:08
cbb depaul butl 2026 01 20	5	$418	213	213	+0	open	—	01-21 04:01
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	2	$412	210	210	+0	open	—	01-16 06:17
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	3	$409	212	212	+0	open	—	01-19 04:22
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	4	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	04-09 08:37
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$399	400	0	+400	open	—	05-14 22:29
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	02-14 01:39
bkcba sha3 gua2 2026 01 27	17	$393	781	378	+403	open	—	01-27 12:00
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	01-19 02:59
bl2 ber h96 2026 02 14 h96	3	$364	368	0	+368	open	—	02-14 13:58
nba mia uta 2026 01 24	13	$350	369	0	+369	open	—	01-25 04:30
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 total 3pt5	8	$348	360	0	+360	open	—	02-12 21:46
cbb njit maine 2026 02 14 total 136pt5	3	$304	153	153	+0	open	—	02-15 00:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	4	$303	158	158	+0	open	—	02-12 02:33
will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 8	1	$300	301	0	+301	open	—	04-08 22:34
cbb unlv boise 2026 02 13 total 155pt5	7	$297	390	0	+390	open	—	02-14 04:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:25:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xd32164…
06-03 20:50:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0x3fa2c2…
06-02 23:02:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xe1bb29…
06-02 22:41:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe9fbfe…
06-02 01:49:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xe7c434…
06-01 22:49:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x2c7928…
06-01 22:48:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x2da89b…
05-21 07:49:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x72671b…
05-18 04:23:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x1d74c5…
05-18 04:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	107	84¢	$90	0x6d5bab…
05-18 04:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd1a241…
05-14 22:29:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x222ebf…
05-11 11:33:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x38930a…
05-06 13:07:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x888ba0…
05-06 12:56:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfb791b…
05-05 11:39:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x568ab8…
05-05 02:43:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf161ac…
05-05 01:22:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9abcf2…
05-04 14:00:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x995da3…
05-04 01:58:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x306bf7…
05-04 01:58:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x47a890…
05-04 01:34:24	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4cbd0a…
05-03 08:24:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x69b839…
04-17 09:28:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x79817a…
04-17 05:40:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd285cf…
04-16 09:07:02	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xc8bb43…
04-16 08:42:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdc51d6…
04-15 22:57:26	will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 15	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xd1819d…
04-15 06:38:52	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x8f7b51…
04-14 23:28:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd22f6f…
04-14 22:42:38	will bitcoin dip to 69k on april 14	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf5258e…
04-14 07:48:49	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x3f6f1d…
04-14 07:39:51	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x2245e3…
04-13 22:39:37	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 13	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xc7ad97…
04-13 07:58:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xc6760d…
04-13 02:22:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	81	97¢	$78	0x7d669f…
04-13 02:21:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$3	0xa7a849…
04-13 01:30:51	will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 12	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x81fc9c…
04-13 00:21:33	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 12	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfae55b…
04-12 23:24:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x197622…
04-11 22:11:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xde79c7…
04-11 21:29:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc40275…
04-11 21:27:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4a71ee…
04-11 21:27:03	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe79ab9…
04-11 21:26:57	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xac8548…
04-11 11:27:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4ef667…
04-10 23:22:27	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1fae00…
04-10 21:55:19	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x61d209…
04-10 11:26:41	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x88edad…
04-10 11:24:23	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3c177d…
04-09 23:34:23	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb85b61…
04-09 23:12:33	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 9	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xf1ca41…
04-09 23:01:05	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc7dc13…
04-09 22:57:33	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x5d28d3…
04-09 22:56:31	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xd1780c…
04-09 08:59:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x828a61…
04-09 08:37:07	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x63d7c6…
04-09 06:58:49	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x747eae…
04-09 06:34:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x264ded…
04-09 06:26:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa2b669…
04-09 06:24:51	bitcoin above 72k on april 9	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xb140b7…
04-08 22:35:19	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 8	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0xaf610b…
04-08 22:35:03	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 8	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x299e94…
04-08 22:34:23	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 8	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x7a54f8…
04-08 12:43:21	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	Yes	BUY	560	100¢	$558	0x5cda22…
04-08 12:41:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x544c7b…
04-02 22:03:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	106	98¢	$103	0x5e9306…
04-02 22:03:01	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0xe41475…
04-02 02:12:53	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xc686f9…
04-02 01:34:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0x15aa77…
04-01 23:31:41	bitcoin above 66k on april 2	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5443ce…
04-01 23:15:57	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xb653bf…
04-01 23:07:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x883391…
04-01 23:05:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0413f0…
04-01 23:05:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0xe3b35e…
04-01 23:03:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x058acb…
04-01 23:00:05	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xf86881…
04-01 13:53:29	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xad980a…
04-01 13:48:03	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x288626…
04-01 13:42:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xda3dce…
04-01 13:39:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x64b5df…
04-01 13:39:05	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xf44726…
03-31 22:44:25	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x212839…
03-31 01:18:01	bitcoin above 70k on march 31	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xd7e287…
03-26 11:48:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x753081…
03-26 11:47:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd226db…
03-26 10:25:21	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xab7e9d…
03-26 10:20:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0xd72bfb…
03-25 10:08:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x2d323a…
03-25 10:08:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 25	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3c399…
03-25 10:07:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd67aea…
03-25 10:06:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x50a8a9…
03-24 22:43:43	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 24	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xec38b3…
03-24 22:24:21	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 24	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc9def7…
03-24 22:23:21	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 24	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x41751b…
03-24 22:22:45	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 24	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc2bdda…
03-24 13:07:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 24	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb1c31b…
03-24 13:06:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 24	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4eba5d…
03-24 13:05:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x633f36…
03-24 13:05:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 24	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xabec7e…