Noteworthy-Vintner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$442

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

156

Trades

30,397

lifetime

Volume

$329.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 24% $-417

Other

7% 0% $-177

Politics

2% 50% +$153

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 476 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		-30	$-22	84¢	$-25	$-3	06-16 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2900 on january 21	56	$11.5K	52,350	42,701	+9,649	open	—	01-21 17:51
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	50	$6.9K	7,759	7,354	+405	open	—	04-24 20:02
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	85	$6.4K	45,018	14,781	+30,237	open	—	01-23 17:00
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	74	$4.6K	90,049	20,635	+69,414	open	—	03-03 17:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	60	$4.5K	23,143	21,037	+2,106	open	—	01-29 18:33
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	40	$4.2K	14,500	4,983	+9,517	open	—	02-01 16:46
ethereum above 2000 on march 27	21	$3.6K	4,010	3,994	+16	open	—	03-27 15:51
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	50	$3.4K	14,922	12,922	+2,000	open	—	01-31 17:38
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	107	$3.4K	115,760	75,582	+40,178	open	—	03-27 16:54
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	16	$3.1K	7,289	4,557	+2,733	open	—	02-01 15:18
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	12	$3.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-03 19:54
bitcoin above 66k on february 12	44	$2.6K	14,271	4,312	+9,959	open	—	02-12 16:59
ethereum above 2700 on january 30	38	$2.3K	14,689	3,044	+11,646	open	—	01-30 19:23
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	24	$2.1K	2,639	2,380	+259	open	—	01-31 14:17
ethereum above 2000 on march 6	40	$1.9K	8,505	1,000	+7,505	open	—	03-06 16:25
ethereum above 2000 on february 26	55	$1.8K	5,971	3,076	+2,895	open	—	02-26 16:57
eth updown 15m 1769014800	5	$1.8K	3,000	2,494	+506	open	—	01-21 17:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	31	$1.7K	4,996	2,996	+2,000	open	—	03-02 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-29 11:44
will ethereum dip to 2200 january 26 1	12	$1.6K	3,332	1,618	+1,714	open	—	02-02 03:24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	7	$1.6K	3,866	2,000	+1,866	open	—	05-04 02:00
bitcoin above 66k on february 11	34	$1.6K	80,778	1,904	+78,874	open	—	02-11 17:01
bitcoin up or down january 30 2am et	37	$1.6K	2,257	1,957	+300	open	—	01-30 07:55
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	8	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-28 16:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	35	$1.5K	90,054	30,310	+59,744	open	—	03-01 17:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 2	71	$1.5K	46,218	7,000	+39,218	open	—	03-02 16:59
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	41	$1.5K	157,095	57,095	+100,000	open	—	01-03 16:40
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	45	$1.5K	25,622	36,017	-10,394	open	—	03-30 14:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	54	$1.4K	10,697	7,627	+3,071	open	—	01-28 16:58
ethereum up or down on january 12	9	$1.3K	7,751	100	+7,651	open	—	01-12 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 18:01:38	btc updown 4h 1783180800	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x5342c1…
07-04 18:01:19	btc updown 4h 1783180800	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x406ee4…
07-04 17:59:26	btc updown 15m 1783187100	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf06ea4…
07-04 17:55:37	btc updown 15m 1783187100	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xa7ca80…
07-04 17:52:50	btc updown 15m 1783187100	Down	BUY	445	4¢	$16	0xe69e52…
07-04 17:52:50	btc updown 15m 1783187100	Down	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xc1bac9…
07-04 17:51:59	eth updown 15m 1783187100	Down	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x890dbc…
07-04 17:51:59	eth updown 15m 1783187100	Down	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x61de26…
07-04 17:42:16	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x59b4de…
07-04 17:42:14	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb6e056…
07-04 17:42:14	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xaef2f3…
07-04 17:42:14	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9d773e…
07-04 17:42:13	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9058cc…
07-04 17:42:13	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x19290c…
07-04 17:42:10	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x59306d…
07-04 17:42:08	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x4ea7c2…
07-04 17:42:07	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xc6258b…
07-04 17:42:07	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x885af7…
07-04 17:41:55	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x85ee2e…
07-04 17:41:55	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x32c4d9…
07-04 17:35:47	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x2f5819…
07-04 17:34:52	eth updown 15m 1783186200	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe879c2…
07-04 17:34:23	eth updown 5m 1783186200	Down	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x18881a…
07-04 17:34:22	eth updown 5m 1783186200	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcffec8…
07-04 17:34:22	eth updown 5m 1783186200	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xb60847…
07-04 16:21:11	eth updown 15m 1783181700	Down	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xfdb463…
07-04 16:19:44	eth updown 15m 1783181700	Down	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xfb3846…
07-04 16:19:17	eth updown 15m 1783181700	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4b438c…
07-04 16:04:55	eth updown 5m 1783180800	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2a416c…
07-04 16:04:53	eth updown 5m 1783180800	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe49a86…
07-04 16:04:53	eth updown 5m 1783180800	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x94800a…
07-04 16:04:53	eth updown 5m 1783180800	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5bbc18…
07-04 16:04:53	eth updown 5m 1783180800	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4b01a3…
07-04 16:04:52	eth updown 5m 1783180800	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xaa7687…
07-04 16:04:52	eth updown 5m 1783180800	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9a0948…
07-04 16:04:26	btc updown 15m 1783180800	Up	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xf6f07b…
07-04 16:01:31	btc updown 15m 1783180800	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xcc653e…
07-04 15:56:11	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$2	0xe27648…
07-04 15:55:53	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	239	1¢	$2	0x884ca6…
07-04 15:51:53	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	288	2¢	$6	0x01eac2…
07-04 15:47:04	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	84	9¢	$7	0x0b301b…
07-04 15:43:53	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe7e7c3…
07-04 15:43:49	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xe21aff…
07-04 15:43:43	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x2a46a1…
07-04 15:24:56	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x179f9c…
07-04 15:24:26	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x9a9394…
07-04 15:24:26	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x464598…
07-04 15:24:26	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x0aad57…
07-04 15:24:07	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xc6bba7…
07-04 15:23:02	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	140	20¢	$28	0xccc38b…
07-04 15:00:53	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc7e10f…
07-04 15:00:53	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6934fd…
07-04 15:00:50	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9222ea…
07-04 15:00:50	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x44d070…
07-04 15:00:50	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x36de12…
07-04 15:00:34	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xabbe0b…
07-04 15:00:32	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfa37b9…
07-04 15:00:32	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x95e90f…
07-04 15:00:31	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd9fdec…
07-04 15:00:28	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3662a4…
07-04 15:00:26	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8d2c61…
07-04 15:00:23	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc714b2…
07-04 15:00:23	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4430bd…
07-04 15:00:23	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1aa5a6…
07-04 15:00:22	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe5356f…
07-04 15:00:19	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbbdd34…
07-04 15:00:02	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfaad7f…
07-04 14:50:32	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	673	1¢	$8	0x73a6d5…
07-04 08:38:19	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0x2babcc…
07-04 07:22:59	ethereum above 1800 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	137	3¢	$4	0xec1c31…
07-04 05:56:58	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xac5906…
07-04 05:56:58	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x52f38c…
07-04 05:56:58	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x414f76…
07-04 05:56:58	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x230e61…
07-04 05:56:56	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x30ad96…
07-04 05:56:53	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x231c5f…
07-04 05:56:53	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x08a2ce…
07-04 05:55:04	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xc0a54a…
07-04 05:54:55	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4973b0…
07-04 05:54:50	eth updown 15m 1783143900	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xda3d98…
07-04 05:53:04	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	430	2¢	$9	0x5e7fcf…
07-04 05:53:01	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdf0df2…
07-04 05:52:59	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xceab9e…
07-04 05:52:58	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x487a82…
07-04 05:52:58	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3d59a8…
07-04 05:52:52	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9fd8ca…
07-04 05:52:52	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x611ba1…
07-04 05:52:50	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf5fafd…
07-04 05:25:41	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x720c66…
07-04 05:24:49	eth updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x2ff4e5…
07-04 05:24:46	eth updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xce3a02…
07-04 05:24:46	eth updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x07e296…
07-04 05:23:08	eth updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x0bf213…
07-04 05:21:26	eth updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xc6aa9d…
07-04 05:21:14	eth updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xf9c1b4…
07-04 05:19:52	eth updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe3c7f6…
07-04 05:18:53	ethereum up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xac0980…
07-04 05:09:55	eth updown 15m 1783141200	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xbeda59…
07-04 05:08:40	eth updown 15m 1783141200	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xbb0306…
07-04 05:08:37	eth updown 15m 1783141200	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf805ec…