Noteworthy-Vintner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

4,077

Trades

36,369

lifetime

Volume

$401.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 27% +$16,219

Other

7% 38% -$3,014

Politics

2% 57% +$1,221

Tech

1% 50% -$1,333

Sports

0% 20% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2900 on january 21	56	$11.5K	52,350	42,701	+9,649	Yes	+$11,566	01-21 17:51
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	50	$6.9K	7,759	7,354	+405	No	+$4,818	04-24 20:02
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	85	$6.4K	45,018	14,781	+30,237	Yes	+$4,218	01-23 17:00
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	74	$4.6K	90,049	20,635	+69,414	Yes	+$2,899	03-03 17:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	60	$4.5K	23,143	21,037	+2,106	No	+$3,918	01-29 18:33
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	40	$4.2K	14,500	4,983	+9,517	No	+$162	02-01 16:46
ethereum above 2000 on march 27	21	$3.6K	4,010	3,994	+16	No	+$352	03-27 15:51
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	50	$3.4K	14,922	12,922	+2,000	No	+$921	01-31 17:38
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	107	$3.4K	115,760	75,582	+40,178	Yes	+$1,205	03-27 16:54
bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	29	$3.2K	7,250	6,056	+1,194	No	+$1,946	07-07 16:00
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	16	$3.1K	7,289	4,557	+2,733	Yes	-$674	02-01 15:18
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	12	$3.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$387	01-03 19:54
bitcoin above 66k on february 12	44	$2.6K	14,271	4,312	+9,959	No	+$1,775	02-12 16:59
ethereum above 2700 on january 30	38	$2.3K	14,689	3,044	+11,646	Yes	-$557	01-30 19:23
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	24	$2.1K	2,639	2,380	+259	Yes	+$610	01-31 14:17
ethereum above 2000 on march 6	40	$1.9K	8,505	1,000	+7,505	No	+$3,222	03-06 16:25
ethereum above 2000 on february 26	55	$1.8K	5,971	3,076	+2,895	No	+$2,119	02-26 16:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 17:00 UTC	5	$1.8K	3,000	2,494	+506	Down	+$231	01-21 17:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	31	$1.7K	4,996	2,996	+2,000	Yes	+$3,563	03-02 15:42
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	29	$1.7K	4,180	4,180	+0	Up	+$1,254	07-06 15:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	04-29 11:44
will ethereum dip to 2200 january 26 1	12	$1.6K	3,332	1,618	+1,714	Yes	+$556	02-02 03:24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	7	$1.6K	3,866	2,000	+1,866	Yes	+$2,848	05-04 02:00
bitcoin above 66k on february 11	34	$1.6K	80,778	1,904	+78,874	Yes	+$820	02-11 17:01
bitcoin up or down january 30 2am et	37	$1.6K	2,257	1,957	+300	Up	+$120	01-30 07:55
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 8pm et	73	$1.6K	4,492	3,500	+992	Up	+$1,321	07-13 00:52
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	8	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$407	02-28 16:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	35	$1.5K	90,054	30,310	+59,744	Yes	+$640	03-01 17:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 2	71	$1.5K	46,218	7,000	+39,218	No	+$1,413	03-02 16:59
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	41	$1.5K	157,095	57,095	+100,000	No	-$271	01-03 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xef30a8…
10-21 09:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xbf1285…
10-21 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc71333…
10-21 08:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x82c3b1…
10-21 08:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x880b84…
10-21 08:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7da32b…
10-21 08:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x55e6dd…
10-21 08:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x599a28…
10-21 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc3b532…
10-21 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x94d3c8…
10-21 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x5a7b5f…
10-21 08:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x00ae66…
10-20 15:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Down	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0x7af7a5…
10-20 15:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xeac5e1…
10-20 15:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x60cafc…
10-20 15:38:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x52e7f7…
10-20 15:31:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xbe10dd…
10-20 15:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	150	9¢	$14	0x984ce2…
10-20 15:30:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6554a2…
10-20 15:25:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x49bec5…
10-20 15:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3df49f…
10-20 14:27:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd57d24…
10-20 14:07:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x71eebe…
10-20 13:37:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbc995c…
10-20 06:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x1457c9…
10-20 06:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6dd7b1…
10-19 22:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8c2b41…
10-19 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xebf985…
10-19 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x52daaa…
10-19 21:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x52e4b7…
10-19 21:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x519130…
10-19 21:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x866c50…
10-19 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x340109…
10-19 21:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeadcf6…
10-19 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x112b7a…
10-19 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9713cc…
10-19 21:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x551e88…
10-19 21:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x3858d9…
10-19 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc522be…
10-19 16:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x31d1e7…
10-19 16:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xe6d851…
10-19 16:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xab3a20…
10-19 16:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xd55fc9…
10-19 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x345e66…
10-19 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x044b2a…
10-19 16:03:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1a642…
10-19 15:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x09f27f…
10-19 14:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb26190…
10-19 14:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xce10d6…
10-19 14:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9656d1…
10-19 14:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xcfef53…
10-19 14:45:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x0cf8ae…
10-19 14:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1dc68d…
10-19 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd15f15…
10-19 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x66c206…
10-19 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x23a29d…
10-19 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x01905e…
10-19 14:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2fd288…
10-19 14:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa79d49…
10-19 14:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x15191f…
10-19 14:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x06c2b2…
10-19 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf6db6b…
10-19 14:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd511c3…
10-19 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x964ae2…
10-19 14:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8bdb6c…
10-19 14:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x36722e…
10-19 14:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb0cd54…
10-19 14:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x07c505…
10-19 14:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x13674f…
10-19 14:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x96147e…
10-19 14:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfb6479…
10-19 14:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x5994f9…
10-19 14:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x10c322…
10-19 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x286a41…
10-19 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0x063040…
10-19 14:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe8c3fd…
10-19 14:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x3d7bb8…
10-19 14:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x71856b…
10-19 14:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x9eb587…
10-19 14:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4da829…
10-19 14:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1439c0…
10-19 13:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x4fbb90…
10-19 13:59:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xce1f53…
10-19 13:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb4c100…
10-19 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xdf5ac3…
10-19 13:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x0ba817…
10-19 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdacbbe…
10-19 13:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf30252…
10-19 13:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xa5dff1…
10-19 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3a2aa2…
10-19 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2eca0c…
10-19 13:11:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x0543e1…
10-19 12:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8c12f8…
10-19 12:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x07f3bd…
10-19 12:25:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$8	0xee0808…
10-19 11:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xbf6bc5…
10-19 10:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x545a31…
10-19 10:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xeca6de…
10-19 10:36:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	No	SELL	1,420	0¢	$7	0x51debd…
10-19 10:36:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	No	SELL	111	24¢	$27	0x732273…