Menacing-Recapitulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 75% $-2

Other

36% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 4	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-02 11:57
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-06 11:55
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-12 11:44
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 19	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-18 10:47
will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-13 11:04
will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be greater than 9m	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-16 13:35
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-20 10:45
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-24 10:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-27 13:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 20-26?	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-25 11:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-02 13:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 31	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-31 12:24
bitcoin above 70k on april 20	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-20 12:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	05-22 12:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-09 10:40
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	01-20 13:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	05-25 12:29
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	01-06 11:21
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 40 49	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	01-03 08:28
solana above 130 on january 11	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	01-11 06:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 15	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	01-14 13:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	1	$76	76	+76	Yes	+$0	05-06 13:48
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 16	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-16 13:55
ethereum above 1700 on april 8	1	$67	67	+67	open	—	04-07 14:01
lol dk drx 2026 02 07	1	$50	62	+62	open	—	02-07 06:16
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 420 439	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-09 12:58
ethereum above 3300 on january 27	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	01-26 13:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	03-09 12:40
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	1	$42	42	+42	open	—	01-26 13:56
5 days gov shutdown odds 50 monday night 12 1 am	1	$33	33	+33	open	—	02-03 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:58:55	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xf25217…
06-04 12:45:43	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x99af6e…
05-25 12:29:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xda5031…
05-25 12:10:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,261	0¢	$3	0xc78a09…
05-22 12:31:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x537edb…
05-09 10:40:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x44330f…
05-06 13:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x3ff190…
05-06 13:43:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x6bf7c2…
05-06 13:42:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6aebf7…
04-27 13:20:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xae82ef…
04-25 11:51:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6f4345…
04-20 12:05:52	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7fe5c6…
04-16 13:55:32	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 17	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x679b60…
04-16 13:55:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 16	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xe671d6…
04-12 11:44:29	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc8ba9e…
04-07 14:01:13	ethereum above 1700 on april 8	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xd311d3…
04-02 13:31:31	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x73ceb4…
03-31 12:24:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 31	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x2fe64b…
03-24 10:26:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7bc821…
03-24 10:19:29	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$1	0xf16535…
03-20 10:45:43	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x81c529…
03-19 12:59:59	ethereum above 1700 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e5fcc…
03-18 10:47:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 19	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4543a7…
03-16 13:35:39	will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be greater than 9m	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1b4a0c…
03-13 11:04:45	will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0f4c6d…
03-09 12:58:47	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 420 439	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x296753…
03-09 12:41:15	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0xee472d…
03-09 12:40:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x8a48dc…
03-07 06:06:45	will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x638068…
03-07 03:37:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4908fa…
03-06 11:55:57	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x8f1cc9…
03-02 11:57:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4b4ad6…
02-07 06:43:05	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa637b3…
02-07 06:16:25	lol dk drx 2026 02 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xb6cd41…
02-07 03:50:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,220	0¢	$2	0xd28e05…
02-07 03:48:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 7	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x9b1f15…
02-03 11:39:42	will annual inflation increase by 3pt2 in january	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5a3a1…
02-03 11:09:22	5 days gov shutdown odds 50 monday night 12 1 am	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb98fba…
01-26 13:56:27	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xcf50a7…
01-26 13:18:31	ethereum above 3300 on january 27	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x04089b…
01-20 13:50:44	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x03a7f6…
01-14 13:38:48	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 380 399	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xeaac5c…
01-14 13:32:22	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x760600…
01-14 13:32:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 15	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xa1b9c9…
01-11 06:41:02	solana above 130 on january 11	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0f103b…
01-06 11:21:51	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb374b2…
01-03 08:28:09	elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 40 49	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5ee331…
01-01 14:01:37	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2f6135…