Cheerful-Parade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$6.26K

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

1,231

Trades

9,470

lifetime

Volume

$961.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$958

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 269 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 32% -$34,204

Other

37% 39% -$16,611

Sports

4% 46% -$5,663

Politics

2% 48% -$1,262

Tech

0% 100% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+4,387	$353	7¢	$294	-$59	10-28 14:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+250	-$5,003	90¢	$226	+$5,229	10-27 04:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+4,175	$152	3¢	$142	-$10	10-28 14:07
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	+190	-$163	62¢	$117	+$280	10-28 11:41
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+1,523	$110	3¢	$47	-$62	10-05 12:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	+60	$32	78¢	$47	+$15	10-27 04:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+185	$34	16¢	$30	-$3	10-26 16:04
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+580	$20	4¢	$25	+$6	10-20 22:57
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+106	-$866	20¢	$21	+$887	10-26 16:29
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+940	$33	1¢	$8	-$25	07-03 06:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	209	$27.5K	71,629	65,466	+6,163	Yes	+$4,238	03-30 15:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	71	$27.3K	26,844	26,127	+716	No	+$12,823	04-11 20:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	143	$25.7K	41,853	41,853	+0	open	—	09-21 16:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	78	$14.9K	22,223	21,822	+401	No	+$4,420	05-29 17:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	50	$14.5K	62,919	8,673	+54,245	Yes	-$11,322	04-14 17:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	100	$13.3K	25,723	23,429	+2,295	Yes	+$4,569	05-22 17:22
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	42	$11.3K	18,007	6,626	+11,381	No	+$3,825	03-26 18:32
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	109	$10.1K	16,612	16,612	+0	No	+$4,663	03-31 17:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	79	$9.9K	20,645	13,806	+6,839	Yes	-$67	06-12 18:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	52	$9.8K	29,897	5,792	+24,105	Yes	+$53	04-17 19:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 24	19	$9.6K	11,235	10,146	+1,089	Yes	+$2,381	01-24 10:59
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	46	$9.3K	9,685	9,074	+611	No	+$4,659	07-30 13:46
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	13	$9.0K	10,574	10,574	+0	Yes	+$968	01-09 02:41
will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	21	$8.9K	7,358	6,177	+1,181	No	+$2,198	08-09 18:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	42	$8.7K	32,217	4,807	+27,410	Yes	-$5,633	04-17 12:50
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	102	$8.6K	24,565	15,146	+9,418	No	-$181	06-13 23:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	34	$8.3K	43,008	18,771	+24,237	No	+$662	06-02 11:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	38	$7.8K	38,877	4,422	+34,455	Yes	-$6,585	04-14 05:29
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	49	$7.4K	10,520	1,951	+8,568	No	-$101	01-26 16:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	17	$7.3K	9,133	8,883	+250	open	—	10-27 04:49
will bitcoin reach 68k august 17 23 2026	10	$7.2K	11,980	0	+11,980	Yes	-$7,239	08-19 15:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 15	7	$7.2K	5,777	5,777	+0	Yes	+$2,113	02-15 14:37
will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	16	$7.1K	6,327	5,992	+335	No	+$4,171	06-21 20:22
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	18	$7.1K	11,327	11,327	+0	No	+$3,744	08-19 14:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 3	31	$7.0K	8,938	6,511	+2,428	No	-$2,183	01-03 16:24
will bitcoin reach 82k august 24 30 2026	30	$7.0K	5,659	5,632	+28	No	+$2,895	08-30 19:57
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in september 2026	22	$6.3K	11,104	6,607	+4,497	Yes	+$2,599	09-18 04:37
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	22	$5.9K	4,914	4,934	-20	No	+$2,826	01-16 19:44
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in october 2026	32	$5.7K	11,400	11,400	+0	open	—	10-14 12:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	18	$5.7K	21,580	0	+21,580	Yes	-$5,704	04-02 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:36:35	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,328	6¢	$84	0x077261…
10-28 14:07:07	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,019	3¢	$26	0xb41ab3…
10-28 13:52:25	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,076	12¢	$128	0x7ce0ec…
10-28 13:46:05	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	Yes	BUY	660	65¢	$429	0xd6b931…
10-28 12:27:31	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	Yes	BUY	220	65¢	$143	0x17c546…
10-28 11:44:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x3779de…
10-28 11:41:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	437	65¢	$284	0x01e666…
10-28 11:41:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	82	34¢	$28	0x4854c5…
10-28 11:12:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	1,448	19¢	$271	0x4fd1fe…
10-28 11:11:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	106	78¢	$83	0x989212…
10-28 11:11:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	252	78¢	$197	0x5476a6…
10-28 06:38:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x7b4605…
10-28 05:16:50	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	636	3¢	$17	0x1e8d0c…
10-28 05:16:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,037	6¢	$66	0xca9022…
10-28 04:55:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x78c442…
10-28 04:25:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	1,376	28¢	$385	0x1b5d3d…
10-28 04:23:52	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	132	9¢	$12	0x2fd043…
10-28 04:23:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	108	45¢	$49	0xb0a939…
10-28 04:22:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	1,513	66¢	$998	0x2bca85…
10-28 01:21:21	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,792	9¢	$251	0x5b6149…
10-27 20:11:03	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x698454…
10-27 19:07:42	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	Yes	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0xdd99d2…
10-27 15:48:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	566	93¢	$526	0xb1b906…
10-27 15:29:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	754	90¢	$679	0xec3863…
10-27 15:28:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	478	91¢	$435	0x256490…
10-27 15:09:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	97	87¢	$84	0x2bcd0c…
10-27 14:01:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	582	41¢	$239	0x1e64e7…
10-27 12:11:32	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	130	72¢	$95	0xaf34f3…
10-27 12:01:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x920019…
10-27 11:40:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x9f3a1e…
10-27 11:18:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	259	58¢	$150	0x89c0a8…
10-27 11:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	776	41¢	$319	0x313bce…
10-27 11:15:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	130	44¢	$57	0x817563…
10-27 11:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x2b97c3…
10-27 06:20:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x6162f9…
10-27 05:30:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc4056b…
10-27 05:17:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	694	40¢	$278	0xd7cba2…
10-27 04:58:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xdc38c4…
10-27 04:49:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	750	86¢	$645	0x8f3026…
10-27 04:48:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	527	43¢	$226	0xc5b96e…
10-27 04:06:24	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 27 2026	No	BUY	1,050	50¢	$524	0x37dd05…
10-26 23:13:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	918	40¢	$367	0x92f19b…
10-26 21:53:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	366	92¢	$337	0x906be9…
10-26 18:13:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	305	47¢	$143	0x9f95d2…
10-26 16:29:35	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	106	27¢	$29	0x7fbd82…
10-26 16:28:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	209	10¢	$21	0xf024ec…
10-26 16:04:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,550	10¢	$163	0x834000…
10-26 16:04:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x13a17d…
10-26 16:04:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	173	6¢	$10	0xcced34…
10-26 16:04:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	185	18¢	$34	0x3c81d4…
10-26 14:01:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	150	45¢	$68	0xa0e144…
10-26 14:01:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x86a9ae…
10-26 13:38:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	288	55¢	$160	0x27cb7e…
10-26 13:07:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xffa36e…
10-26 13:07:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xab9a64…
10-26 13:06:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	277	56¢	$155	0xa65798…
10-26 13:06:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x95d0ca…
10-26 12:19:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xb74838…
10-26 12:19:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xb6c5e2…
10-26 11:39:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xd5a6c3…
10-26 04:11:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	348	2¢	$6	0x96b6b2…
10-26 03:57:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9cb8cc…
10-26 03:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xaf23c3…
10-26 03:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2e5389…
10-26 03:19:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc4aee1…
10-26 02:47:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	212	2¢	$4	0xb25719…
10-26 02:47:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	382	0¢	$2	0xf656bb…
10-26 01:08:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,249	2¢	$20	0xc0fa02…
10-25 23:53:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	999	79¢	$790	0x53b2f9…
10-25 23:00:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	140	56¢	$79	0xff3c12…
10-25 23:00:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	110	57¢	$63	0x7f9536…
10-25 21:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	244	59¢	$143	0x48ec10…
10-25 21:49:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x9aa6fd…
10-25 21:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	544	63¢	$343	0xf2b311…
10-25 19:20:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	476	65¢	$307	0x7e86d1…
10-25 01:27:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	278	67¢	$186	0x461add…
10-24 19:30:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	1,512	3¢	$39	0x4691f3…
10-24 19:30:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	1,046	2¢	$21	0x2a22b3…
10-24 14:45:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	418	16¢	$68	0xb0242e…
10-24 14:41:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,999	78¢	$1,559	0x0d4950…
10-24 13:48:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,787	2¢	$27	0x6caeea…
10-24 13:28:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	800	74¢	$592	0xd479e4…
10-24 12:17:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	251	7¢	$18	0x6b282c…
10-24 04:53:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	2,716	22¢	$598	0xed7fc1…
10-24 04:26:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	831	2¢	$12	0xbfc242…
10-24 04:22:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	3,330	2¢	$67	0x9acfef…
10-24 04:22:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	585	7¢	$43	0x1df1b2…
10-24 03:51:41	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	685	4¢	$30	0x00ecad…
10-24 03:50:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	495	55¢	$270	0xa13bb0…
10-24 03:50:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	590	55¢	$325	0x907279…
10-24 03:50:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x0f9e3d…
10-24 03:50:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	487	56¢	$274	0x406bc1…
10-24 02:17:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,205	24¢	$289	0xac2a74…
10-24 02:17:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	794	35¢	$277	0x7b37de…
10-23 20:09:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	794	27¢	$214	0x534a4b…
10-23 20:04:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,599	64¢	$1,024	0xd4d562…
10-23 20:03:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	149	28¢	$42	0x976d29…
10-23 19:58:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	422	46¢	$194	0xd2cbff…
10-23 19:46:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	191	52¢	$99	0x3fff11…
10-23 19:46:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x0c7d1e…