Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.73K

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

1,594

Trades

3,180

lifetime

Volume

$5.88M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.85K

Open exposure

$99.7K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-28 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Other

48% 92% -$48,414

Crypto

29% 93% +$12,392

Politics

17% 88% +$10,252

Tech

3% 93% +$18,057

Sports

1% 81% -$11,815

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+56,180	$50,000	97¢	$54.6K	+$4,607	09-02 05:17
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	+10,348	$10,000	97¢	$10.0K	+$1	09-30 05:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+6,330	$5,500	88¢	$5.6K	+$102	09-30 15:18
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	+5,976	$5,000	92¢	$5.5K	+$528	09-29 11:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	+5,407	$5,000	97¢	$5.2K	+$242	09-30 14:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,618	$5,000	92¢	$5.1K	+$140	09-03 16:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,495	$5,000	84¢	$4.6K	-$357	10-06 15:14
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	+3,741	$3,500	98¢	$3.7K	+$151	09-04 08:50
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	+2,201	$2,000	99¢	$2.2K	+$174	09-30 14:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3,030	$1,000	36¢	$1.1K	+$76	09-30 15:24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	+1,109	$1,000	87¢	$960	-$40	10-26 12:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-4,962	-$943	18¢	$-868	+$74	05-30 08:42
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	+135	$100	95¢	$128	+$28	10-01 13:57
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	-32	-$31	98¢	$-31	-$1	09-29 10:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by february 28	14	$153.7K	149,587	10,000	+139,587	Yes	+$4,846	02-28 17:34
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	102	$130.0K	131,931	0	+131,931	Yes	+$1,931	02-08 07:18
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	59	$81.4K	88,268	0	+88,268	Yes	+$6,869	02-25 14:17
spx up or down on march 6 2026	5	$77.0K	77,736	0	+77,736	Down	+$736	03-06 18:28
bitcoin up or down on march 3	7	$75.0K	76,252	0	+76,252	Down	+$1,252	03-03 15:05
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	25	$69.8K	70,850	36,062	+34,788	Up	-$68,201	03-10 14:09
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	10	$66.7K	67,682	0	+67,682	Down	+$982	03-02 13:36
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	6	$65.0K	65,719	0	+65,719	Yes	+$719	02-28 07:38
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	9	$60.5K	61,814	0	+61,814	Down	+$1,314	03-03 12:55
spx up or down on february 27 2026	3	$58.3K	59,173	0	+59,173	Down	+$844	02-27 17:53
spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	9	$50.5K	51,096	0	+51,096	Down	+$596	03-09 11:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	7	$50.0K	56,180	0	+56,180	open	—	09-02 05:17
bitcoin up or down on march 4	2	$50.0K	50,569	0	+50,569	Up	+$569	03-04 15:07
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	7	$46.2K	23,265	23,265	+0	No	+$242	02-28 08:50
spx up or down on march 4 2026	5	$46.0K	53,365	0	+53,365	Up	+$7,365	03-04 16:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$45.0K	57,680	0	+57,680	Yes	+$12,680	10-28 04:19
spx up or down on march 5 2026	6	$40.0K	42,184	0	+42,184	Down	+$2,184	03-05 18:00
bitcoin up or down on march 10	4	$38.0K	39,470	0	+39,470	Up	+$1,470	03-10 12:55
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	2	$35.0K	35,059	0	+35,059	Yes	+$59	03-08 11:52
bitcoin up or down on march 2	3	$34.0K	34,523	0	+34,523	Up	+$503	03-02 15:38
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	6	$33.0K	33,581	0	+33,581	No	+$581	03-09 02:44
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$32.0K	32,605	0	+32,605	No	+$605	02-23 15:07
bitcoin up or down on march 1	5	$30.5K	31,623	0	+31,623	Up	+$1,123	03-01 09:17
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	3	$30.0K	30,332	0	+30,332	Yes	+$332	03-02 11:28
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	4	$30.0K	30,235	0	+30,235	No	+$235	02-28 07:33
bitcoin up or down on february 25	10	$30.0K	30,508	0	+30,508	Up	+$508	02-25 15:12
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	7	$29.0K	34,008	0	+34,008	No	+$5,008	03-31 13:24
will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	5	$29.0K	29,284	0	+29,284	No	+$284	03-01 12:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$28.0K	36,513	0	+36,513	Yes	+$8,513	09-14 03:49
bitcoin above 68k on march 13	5	$28.0K	28,386	0	+28,386	Yes	+$386	03-13 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:19:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,212	96¢	$5,000	0xf68bcd…
10-26 12:19:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	1,109	90¢	$1,000	0x5a69b4…
10-26 12:14:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,291	94¢	$5,000	0x68228b…
10-14 14:53:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,016	62¢	$10,000	0x30ca29…
10-06 15:14:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,495	91¢	$5,000	0xdec649…
10-06 15:13:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	2,928	68¢	$2,000	0x83b249…
10-06 15:12:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	3,488	86¢	$3,000	0x3d6210…
10-06 15:11:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x5c2f51…
10-05 11:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	2,232	90¢	$2,000	0xd28f6a…
10-05 11:33:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2,028	99¢	$2,000	0x69b9fa…
10-05 02:13:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,048	83¢	$10,000	0xa0799a…
10-03 08:55:59	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2,030	98¢	$2,000	0xdd6d55…
10-03 07:56:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	5,435	92¢	$5,000	0x0296ab…
10-02 14:06:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	3,371	89¢	$3,000	0x872713…
10-02 12:34:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,456	87¢	$10,000	0x0d44c5…
10-02 09:08:11	wti closes above 92 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	1,094	91¢	$1,000	0x29e229…
10-02 08:59:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 2?	No	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x310520…
10-01 14:34:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	5,376	93¢	$5,000	0x640e16…
10-01 13:57:08	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x0309dd…
09-30 15:24:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0x43d258…
09-30 15:18:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,747	91¢	$2,500	0xb82237…
09-30 14:55:17	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	2,175	92¢	$2,000	0xe09aee…
09-30 14:13:48	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	BUY	2,201	91¢	$2,000	0x4ec5d8…
09-30 13:39:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,658	65¢	$5,000	0xac268e…
09-30 05:22:05	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	10,348	97¢	$10,000	0x99389d…
09-29 11:43:00	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,976	84¢	$5,000	0x220732…
09-29 11:32:11	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0xa473d0…
09-29 11:31:32	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,327	75¢	$1,000	0x3e19c3…
09-29 10:11:08	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	3,232	93¢	$3,000	0x44249a…
09-29 10:00:02	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x57d20a…
09-21 16:00:13	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	1,051	95¢	$1,000	0xb94670…
09-16 23:26:33	bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	3,968	63¢	$2,500	0xbbd64e…
09-14 03:49:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,500	80¢	$10,000	0x57e4d0…
09-14 01:51:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18,750	80¢	$15,000	0x0abc18…
09-10 11:53:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	3,010	50¢	$1,500	0x76f32b…
09-09 12:50:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	1,068	94¢	$1,000	0x832d53…
09-09 12:49:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	1,104	91¢	$1,000	0xbb58cc…
09-09 12:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	2,072	97¢	$2,000	0x24993a…
09-09 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	2,788	90¢	$2,500	0x095ba8…
09-09 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	2,992	84¢	$2,500	0xdf5555…
09-09 07:33:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	2,160	93¢	$2,000	0x29b69d…
09-09 07:32:33	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	3,246	92¢	$3,000	0x426db6…
09-08 15:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Up	SELL	3,562	28¢	$994	0x1e0138…
09-08 09:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	1,700	29¢	$500	0x9f66e0…
09-08 03:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	1,862	54¢	$1,000	0x3a799d…
09-08 01:06:31	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 7?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xf4d638…
09-08 01:06:10	will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 7 2026	No	BUY	2,039	98¢	$2,000	0xe3f225…
09-07 14:48:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2,308	0¢	$5	0x5cf1a2…
09-07 11:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2,308	13¢	$300	0xbfcb9f…
09-06 13:50:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x7b823a…
09-04 15:49:54	will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xb02363…
09-04 15:46:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	1,034	97¢	$1,000	0xca069f…
09-04 15:44:19	will bitcoin dip to 76k august 31 september 6 2026	No	BUY	1,060	94¢	$999	0xe65ac5…
09-04 14:56:40	bitcoin above 80k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x82ab83…
09-04 13:43:25	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	2,302	87¢	$2,000	0x91ba8b…
09-04 13:19:51	bitcoin above 82k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	2,033	98¢	$2,000	0xbbf48d…
09-04 13:18:42	bitcoin above 82k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	2,039	98¢	$2,000	0xbbccb8…
09-04 08:50:30	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	3,203	94¢	$3,000	0xafa1a4…
09-04 08:49:46	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xf7b08f…
09-04 08:13:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	3,593	83¢	$3,000	0x88b180…
09-03 16:38:07	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	3,520	85¢	$3,000	0x630c9f…
09-03 16:26:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,583	84¢	$3,000	0xeef5c7…
09-03 16:25:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x07487f…
09-02 05:25:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x4ad7a0…
09-02 05:17:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22,472	89¢	$20,000	0x80d9e5…
09-01 16:10:15	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x5ad0c6…
09-01 16:10:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x4a2c3c…
09-01 16:09:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x56d8d7…
09-01 16:09:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x3995f3…
09-01 16:03:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x430e87…
09-01 16:02:48	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x42305e…
09-01 16:02:09	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	4,104	49¢	$2,000	0xbb9074…
09-01 16:01:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	2,057	97¢	$2,000	0x9bf1e2…
09-01 15:59:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	Yes	BUY	2,386	84¢	$2,000	0x358112…
09-01 15:47:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2,535	99¢	$2,500	0x2f76a3…
09-01 12:47:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,263	57¢	$3,000	0x14ea23…
07-31 11:01:36	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	3,065	98¢	$3,000	0xcb34b6…
07-30 17:11:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	2,580	97¢	$2,500	0xaf8937…
07-30 17:04:35	spx up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0xf62393…
07-30 17:03:38	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,789	10¢	$281	0xb0c8fa…
07-29 15:01:05	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	2,982	43¢	$1,273	0x35c3db…
07-23 15:23:28	amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt61	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x206e87…
07-23 15:19:52	wti closes above 89 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0xd26ff7…
07-23 14:03:39	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	2,024	99¢	$2,000	0xe37c7e…
07-23 12:52:01	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	2,660	94¢	$2,500	0xc9a36e…
07-22 15:59:10	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 22	No	BUY	2,036	98¢	$2,000	0x828281…
07-21 16:14:33	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,789	72¢	$2,000	0x27672f…
07-21 09:34:13	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	2,344	85¢	$2,000	0xf873de…
07-21 09:31:03	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	3,531	85¢	$3,000	0x333dfc…
07-20 13:57:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	2,008	100¢	$2,000	0xb110ad…
07-20 11:36:33	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2,531	99¢	$2,500	0xcc9a7e…
07-19 21:46:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,316	8¢	$278	0x9a6c39…
07-19 21:28:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,316	30¢	$1,000	0x8d2420…
07-19 21:08:16	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,155	87¢	$1,000	0x4da5d9…
07-19 21:08:00	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,326	86¢	$2,000	0xffd477…
07-19 21:07:07	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8,477	0¢	$30	0x6b64b5…
07-17 13:57:48	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	2,789	96¢	$2,678	0x835156…
07-17 13:30:16	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0xaa114d…
07-17 13:30:03	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	2,060	97¢	$2,000	0xf29a93…
07-17 11:22:52	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	2,681	93¢	$2,500	0x7d3032…