Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$251
$747 in 24h
Trades
156
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$22,110
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 06:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $102 | $140 | $38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $23 | $29 | $6 |
| Median | 18 | $49 | $85 | $36 |
| Below median | 7 | $21 | $14 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | No | +48 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | Yes | +47 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | +38 | $22 | $22 | 22 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | +32 | $15 | $15 | 15 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | +26 | $15 | $15 | 15 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +26 | $12 | $12 | 12 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | +19 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0178…cfa6 | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | +13 | $8 | $10 | 18 | 05-10 22:42 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 05-10 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4102…f45a | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf34e…a87b | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x49e9…c1d7 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Fuzzy-Discrimination 0xab1d…faaa | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4102…f45a | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Little-Ottoman 0xf3fe…e7f8 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Fuzzy-Discrimination 0xab1d…faaa | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2833…a01d | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Winged-Badger-Watermelon 0xdf0f…3cb3 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Admired-Waiting 0x36f1…f89d | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa3c…bd7a | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5288…7971 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Winged-Badger-Watermelon 0xdf0f…3cb3 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Ethical-Exploration 0xbcee…4531 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3748…48d0 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 20:51 |
| Shocked-Birthday 0x3d35…8b0e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Little-Ottoman 0xf3fe…e7f8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Runny-Cub 0x9c70…eaf8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Adolescent-Tissue 0x5e5f…b005 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2833…a01d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x49e9…c1d7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1870…87cf | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbee…6b7a | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3603…b9b3 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 06:04 |
| Adolescent-Tissue 0x5e5f…b005 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d01…ee95 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f27…1f31 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Admired-Waiting 0x36f1…f89d | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1870…87cf | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa3c…bd7a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 06:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 06:04:37 | (anonymous) 0xfd79…8fa2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xc8c80c… |
| 05-11 06:04:37 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x9d50d4… |
| 05-11 06:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x3603…b9b3 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x2a4bec… |
| 05-11 06:04:37 | (anonymous) 0xfd79…8fa2 | No | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x1e030f… |
| 05-11 01:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x0d01…ee95 | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xe86fe3… |
| 05-10 23:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x6e0c83… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe4816e… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x48588f… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x474692… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6a6d45… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x215661… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5d8ca3… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x5d51ed… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xdd8e7a… |
| 05-10 22:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x87e8ea… |
| 05-10 20:51:56 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x24a0f5… |
| 05-10 20:07:06 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xd8d7e8… |
| 05-10 20:07:06 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xc417de… |
| 05-10 20:07:04 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x3e1877… |
| 05-10 20:07:04 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x26816d… |
| 05-10 20:07:04 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xbddb61… |
| 05-10 20:07:04 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xa2733f… |
| 05-10 19:44:26 | Ethical-Exploration 0xbcee…4531 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xa1a176… |
| 05-10 19:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | No | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x48bf06… |
| 05-10 19:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x1d2a9f… |
| 05-10 19:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x89169e… |
| 05-10 19:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x6b1001… |
| 05-10 19:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x49e9…c1d7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x6807a7… |
| 05-10 19:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | No | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xc15ab1… |
| 05-10 19:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xa75365… |
| 05-10 19:44:21 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x6d19d8… |
| 05-10 19:44:21 | (anonymous) 0x49e9…c1d7 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xb95634… |
| 05-10 19:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xa4e418… |
| 05-10 19:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…2086 | No | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xdf758c… |
| 05-10 19:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x49e9…c1d7 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x0f16ae… |
| 05-10 19:44:18 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x8e9a23… |
| 05-10 19:44:18 | Winged-Badger-Watermelon 0xdf0f…3cb3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x88d86b… |
| 05-10 19:44:18 | (anonymous) 0x2833…a01d | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x12a9f6… |
| 05-10 19:44:18 | Fuzzy-Discrimination 0xab1d…faaa | No | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x7c92fa… |
| 05-10 19:44:18 | Fuzzy-Discrimination 0xab1d…faaa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x58d559… |
| 05-10 19:44:18 | (anonymous) 0x4f27…1f31 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xb3971e… |
| 05-10 19:44:18 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x855d44… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x2b3497… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xc0de07… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x3accd3… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x7a015a… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x401d7c… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xe4ccc1… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x6a31e0… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | Winged-Badger-Watermelon 0xdf0f…3cb3 | No | BUY | 4 | 58¢ | $2 | 0xecd249… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x18d3a1… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x0178…cfa6 | No | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x5bcae5… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xd6aaa5… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xa24b70… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xedd3dd… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x76bdc3… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x720384… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x995405… |
| 05-10 19:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xa5971a… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xadf6a0… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x5288…7971 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xe9cda3… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xb6edb4… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x8375d0… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x8a9d21… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x643baf… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x2833…a01d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x22de9b… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xe66a4b… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x5288…7971 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x84197f… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x4f5bd9… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x300da8… |
| 05-10 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x0178…cfa6 | No | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xb53c7b… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 47¢ | $22 | 0x9123cf… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xf34e…a87b | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x8bc758… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x3ab558… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x5b80d6… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | Little-Ottoman 0xf3fe…e7f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x2e525e… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | No | BUY | 10 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x33586a… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x0dd497… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x9dae56… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x82999e… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x1c2ee5… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | Runny-Cub 0x9c70…eaf8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xe1d136… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xe5cbcb… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x2833…a01d | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x3d67e4… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | Adolescent-Tissue 0x5e5f…b005 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xa70eef… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x60ddcb… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xeba17d… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xd3eaf0… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x5f78fe… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x26567b… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x7dbf4a… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x0637cb… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x7bcd9f… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x4102…f45a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x219d07… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xfde5a5… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | Admired-Waiting 0x36f1…f89d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xec5e5a… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xaa3c…bd7a | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xe6c1b0… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x0050f2… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x218702… |
| 05-10 19:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x200f…dd4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x6b7c42… |