Plain-Alteration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$326

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

3,360

Trades

5,043

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 296 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 52% -$41

Other

6% 44% -$114

Sports

5% 47% -$111

Politics

1% 14% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	+10	$5	98¢	$10	+$5	10-29 16:00
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	+42	$5	7¢	$3	-$2	06-20 16:29
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	3¢	$1	$0	06-19 16:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	06-19 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	+10	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-29 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	5	$120	180	80	+100	Up	+$38	10-23 03:39
bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	5	$120	240	0	+240	Down	-$120	08-30 16:10
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	6	$116	112	112	+0	Up	+$96	06-04 03:54
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	14	$115	96	96	+0	Down	+$73	08-12 15:58
bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	16	$101	283	82	+201	Down	+$8	08-11 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	4	$87	440	0	+440	Up	+$73	08-24 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	6	$81	161	61	+100	Down	+$19	10-24 14:20
bitcoin up or down on september 26 2026	2	$81	360	0	+360	Up	-$81	09-26 15:55
bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	4	$81	60	60	+0	Down	+$37	08-13 16:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	5	$76	96	56	+40	Up	-$21	08-02 19:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 07:00 UTC	1	$64	128	0	+128	Up	+$64	03-01 07:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	4	$63	101	41	+59	Up	-$23	08-02 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?	4	$61	110	40	+70	Up	+$17	09-18 13:36
bitcoin up or down on august 30 2026	6	$61	420	0	+420	Up	-$61	08-30 15:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	11	$61	140	40	+100	Down	+$18	07-31 23:53
bitcoin up or down on september 13 2026	3	$60	60	40	+20	Down	+$18	09-13 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	8	$59	90	40	+50	Down	+$19	10-28 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	2	$59	40	40	+0	Down	+$19	10-26 15:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	5	$49	60	40	+20	Up	+$10	07-13 04:03
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	4	$49	62	39	+23	Down	-$16	08-13 16:29
bitcoin up or down on september 22 2026	3	$43	170	0	+170	Up	+$37	09-22 15:42
bitcoin up or down on august 17 2026	5	$43	100	0	+100	Up	+$37	08-17 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?	8	$42	280	0	+280	Down	+$38	09-07 15:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC	7	$42	73	22	+51	Up	+$15	08-01 02:28
bitcoin up or down on august 23 2026	4	$40	80	0	+80	Up	-$40	08-22 16:17
bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	1	$40	80	0	+80	Down	-$40	09-24 16:05
bitcoin up or down february 24 3am et	7	$36	42	42	+0	Up	-$3	02-24 08:10
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	3	$36	180	0	+180	Down	-$36	09-22 19:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC	3	$35	43	22	+22	Down	-$10	08-07 03:37
bitcoin up or down on july 4 2026	5	$33	220	220	+0	Up	+$9	07-04 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6d3bce…
10-29 16:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xb74ad1…
10-29 16:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x8a850f…
10-29 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x37a7a8…
10-29 15:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4241e0…
10-29 14:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x3a48cf…
10-29 14:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd8b41d…
10-29 14:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x85407b…
10-29 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc5e8d8…
10-29 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x7c0215…
10-29 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x7c0215…
10-29 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x59144f…
10-29 07:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x5d2d32…
10-29 07:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x2b291b…
10-29 07:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x831d45…
10-29 04:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1af52…
10-29 02:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8fab03…
10-29 00:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x68bc2a…
10-28 16:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x923e6f…
10-28 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf0898c…
10-28 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7cc4dc…
10-28 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x7cc4dc…
10-28 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x07fee9…
10-28 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c7d0c…
10-28 15:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe82d93…
10-27 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x180a50…
10-27 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaab7f3…
10-27 15:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xabf44a…
10-27 15:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xd6f969…
10-27 15:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0d272f…
10-27 05:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3bbcaf…
10-27 05:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x057313…
10-26 19:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x05dc5e…
10-26 17:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xabc1b0…
10-26 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xce97ed…
10-26 15:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x43be48…
10-26 15:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1b0602…
10-26 07:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe1afda…
10-26 07:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf5d9e6…
10-26 00:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x97f2fa…
10-25 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x389feb…
10-25 20:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc09b51…
10-25 15:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x64f0eb…
10-25 15:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9f51c5…
10-25 14:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x10e5f8…
10-25 08:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x88bfec…
10-25 07:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x4f0c22…
10-25 05:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11af55…
10-25 00:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x35d37e…
10-25 00:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2d416…
10-24 20:55:30	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8743c0…
10-24 20:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x16ad8b…
10-24 19:59:26	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x98e67e…
10-24 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaa2450…
10-24 17:41:20	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x902062…
10-24 17:00:39	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x45a600…
10-24 16:19:00	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x74d1d3…
10-24 16:13:45	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5b6d1b…
10-24 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6b3673…
10-24 15:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4e8b6c…
10-24 15:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x26cd3a…
10-24 14:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa8988…
10-24 12:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Down	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xee24ce…
10-24 04:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0869e5…
10-24 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe5f86b…
10-24 00:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf44468…
10-23 23:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xd1791f…
10-23 23:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x980c93…
10-23 22:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26805a…
10-23 16:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x966144…
10-23 16:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xfdb11a…
10-23 16:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1a944b…
10-23 15:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x717f80…
10-23 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa68649…
10-23 15:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x183c28…
10-23 04:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x062522…
10-23 03:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x03a060…
10-23 03:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe7e8b5…
10-23 03:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x22c8e2…
10-23 03:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x22c8e2…
10-23 00:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x9397e2…
10-22 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd6b50c…
10-22 20:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4249fc…
10-22 16:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x01de9f…
10-22 15:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x414615…
10-22 15:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb89c5f…
10-22 06:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x130d0e…
10-22 04:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd9a57f…
10-22 04:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x848918…
10-22 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa07dbf…
10-21 22:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa5a7f9…
10-21 20:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa450ab…
10-21 20:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x412fdc…
10-21 20:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x017778…
10-21 20:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9b200a…
10-21 16:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1373ab…
10-21 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc7ec40…
10-21 03:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51debc…
10-21 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0af471…
10-21 00:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4c7864…