Plain-Alteration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

4,167

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-13 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 39% $-62

Sports

6% 100% +$20

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1780531200	6	$116	112	112	+0	open	—	06-04 03:54
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	14	$115	96	96	+0	open	—	08-12 15:58
bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	16	$101	283	82	+201	open	—	08-11 15:15
btc updown 4h 1785700800	5	$76	96	56	+40	open	—	08-02 19:49
btc updown 15m 1772348400	1	$64	128	0	+128	open	—	03-01 07:02
btc updown 4h 1785686400	4	$63	101	41	+59	open	—	08-02 18:14
btc updown 4h 1785528000	11	$61	140	40	+100	open	—	07-31 23:53
btc updown 4h 1783915200	5	$49	60	40	+20	open	—	07-13 04:03
btc updown 4h 1785542400	7	$42	73	22	+51	open	—	08-01 02:28
bitcoin up or down february 24 3am et	7	$36	42	42	+0	open	—	02-24 08:10
btc updown 4h 1786060800	3	$35	43	22	+22	open	—	08-07 03:37
bitcoin up or down on july 4 2026	5	$33	220	220	+0	open	—	07-04 15:08
btc updown 15m 1772347500	1	$32	64	0	+64	open	—	03-01 06:45
btc updown 15m 1772924400	4	$32	37	32	+5	open	—	03-07 23:02
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	4	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	06-29 15:49
btc updown 4h 1785888000	5	$32	59	20	+40	open	—	08-05 03:51
btc updown 4h 1785873600	4	$32	42	21	+22	open	—	08-04 20:36
bitcoin up or down on july 7 2026	4	$31	130	20	+110	open	—	07-07 15:45
bitcoin up or down february 28 4pm et	2	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	02-28 21:00
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	5	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	07-06 14:52
btc updown 4h 1783051200	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	07-03 07:22
btc updown 4h 1782187200	4	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 06:12
bitcoin up or down on july 2 2026	4	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	07-02 13:32
btc updown 4h 1786291200	3	$29	41	22	+20	open	—	08-09 16:01
bitcoin up or down on july 3 2026	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	07-03 15:41
btc updown 4h 1785470400	6	$28	1,444	0	+1,444	open	—	07-31 07:50
btc updown 4h 1785600000	6	$26	163	0	+163	open	—	08-01 18:17
btc updown 4h 1782360000	2	$25	20	15	+5	open	—	06-25 06:15
bitcoin up or down february 28 3pm et	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	02-28 20:10
bitcoin up or down february 28 5pm et	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	02-28 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 03:57:31	btc updown 4h 1786593600	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x84d95c…
08-13 03:11:45	aapl up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7817d5…
08-13 00:00:12	btc updown 4h 1786579200	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2314df…
08-12 22:33:46	btc updown 4h 1786564800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa02062…
08-12 22:00:04	amzn up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xab0437…
08-12 21:18:25	googl up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf3288a…
08-12 21:02:48	tsla up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2cf728…
08-12 20:44:21	nflx up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x23275e…
08-12 20:41:49	amzn up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x43dd88…
08-12 19:58:04	btc updown 4h 1786550400	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x587a2d…
08-12 18:27:48	tsla up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xaf448f…
08-12 17:41:03	tsla up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x9f18b3…
08-12 17:37:43	tsla up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x544af9…
08-12 17:29:28	tsla up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbc846d…
08-12 17:18:03	tsla up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x87045e…
08-12 16:01:03	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8a1449…
08-12 15:58:34	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xedd748…
08-12 15:58:33	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8def4f…
08-12 15:58:31	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xef7ccf…
08-12 15:58:31	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xd57fc0…
08-12 15:58:31	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6a1c12…
08-12 15:58:31	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5a0264…
08-12 15:58:31	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x357b0a…
08-12 15:58:31	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2d865d…
08-12 15:58:31	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x24fec3…
08-12 15:52:30	btc updown 4h 1786550400	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x30209f…
08-12 13:31:46	tsla up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x370209…
08-12 12:30:04	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xf0783d…
08-12 12:30:03	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1747b0…
08-12 09:30:57	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x5a3910…
08-12 09:30:52	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xf36743…
08-12 06:30:39	btc updown 4h 1786507200	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6d98d9…
08-12 03:57:37	btc updown 4h 1786507200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2cd9cb…
08-11 23:59:42	btc updown 4h 1786492800	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7e079d…
08-11 23:00:07	nflx up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x63a9e9…
08-11 20:39:19	googl up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbc0010…
08-11 20:00:28	btc updown 4h 1786478400	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6a0f28…
08-11 16:00:40	btc updown 4h 1786464000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x38ab6a…
08-11 16:00:12	btc updown 4h 1786464000	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8fc5b1…
08-11 15:56:16	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xaccf60…
08-11 15:15:46	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe2a505…
08-11 15:15:39	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xacd2c1…
08-11 15:15:37	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd1dd05…
08-11 15:15:24	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x00b5c4…
08-11 15:15:12	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb97e10…
08-11 15:15:10	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x682153…
08-11 15:15:04	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x11c9fd…
08-11 15:15:03	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x92d4f5…
08-11 15:15:03	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6fd933…
08-11 15:15:03	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1fcafa…
08-11 15:09:46	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8ea0d1…
08-11 09:43:04	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x97ad52…
08-11 09:42:43	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xb0bae5…
08-11 03:59:10	btc updown 4h 1786420800	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xba7bb9…
08-11 00:00:49	btc updown 4h 1786406400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf198e1…
08-11 00:00:27	btc updown 4h 1786406400	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x09c046…
08-10 22:24:28	nflx up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x72ee60…
08-10 22:22:15	nflx up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcfefa0…
08-10 22:04:01	tsla up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea3c3a…
08-10 22:02:00	googl up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9a3f49…
08-10 20:01:22	btc updown 4h 1786392000	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbbd813…
08-10 20:01:12	btc updown 4h 1786392000	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xffb202…
08-10 18:22:51	googl up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfe3d73…
08-10 18:18:49	tsla up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa90acd…
08-10 17:57:09	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x76a909…
08-10 17:56:16	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	82	35¢	$29	0x121da5…
08-10 16:00:37	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x92002a…
08-10 16:00:15	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2d5214…
08-10 15:58:51	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xb9fa1f…
08-10 15:15:46	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x6b1cb7…
08-10 15:02:30	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd5d5af…
08-10 15:02:28	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8859ff…
08-10 15:02:21	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb6d708…
08-10 15:02:21	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9e8546…
08-10 15:02:19	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x927071…
08-10 15:00:15	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xee09c2…
08-10 15:00:15	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x46bcfe…
08-10 15:00:10	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xd96bcd…
08-10 14:58:04	bitcoin up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x047ab6…
08-10 14:54:27	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe88dfb…
08-10 04:00:52	btc updown 4h 1786334400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7cc033…
08-10 04:00:13	btc updown 4h 1786334400	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1da0cc…
08-10 00:00:09	btc updown 4h 1786320000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x04aba0…
08-09 23:58:12	btc updown 4h 1786320000	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf42793…
08-09 23:10:07	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb56176…
08-09 20:02:21	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x96dca9…
08-09 20:00:31	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf3013b…
08-09 16:01:09	btc updown 4h 1786291200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x16c233…
08-09 15:59:18	bitcoin up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x9407b5…
08-09 15:58:46	btc updown 4h 1786291200	Up	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x7bcfea…
08-09 15:58:24	btc updown 4h 1786291200	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x507b7d…
08-09 06:33:57	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4a406f…
08-09 05:00:18	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9197ff…
08-09 04:55:33	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd74a00…
08-09 04:00:22	btc updown 4h 1786248000	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9c0211…
08-08 21:00:22	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe8f397…
08-08 20:02:03	btc updown 4h 1786219200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x943ec2…
08-08 20:01:21	btc updown 4h 1786219200	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2275e8…
08-08 20:00:52	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa6965d…
08-08 20:00:21	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x294669…