Realistic-Harmonise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$342

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

784

Trades

1,899

lifetime

Volume

$184.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$531

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 279 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 91% +$240

Other

4% 77% -$372

Politics

1% 80% -$68

Sports

0% 74% -$66

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 62% -$77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	+530	$528	100¢	$529	+$1	10-29 14:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	+5	$5	44¢	$2	-$3	08-08 11:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	05-13 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	7	$1.8K	890	890	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 19:04
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	6	$1.6K	817	817	+0	No	+$3	02-05 15:42
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	1	$1.5K	1,509	0	+1,509	No	+$2	02-04 15:52
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	2	$1.5K	1,507	0	+1,507	No	+$5	02-03 16:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$2	10-20 20:27
bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	13	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 04:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	7	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	+$3	10-07 02:17
bitcoin above 64k on february 27	8	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	10	$1.1K	1,087	0	+1,087	Yes	+$1	10-04 22:08
bitcoin above 94k on january 13	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	+$28	01-13 17:08
bitcoin above 94k on january 12	2	$1.0K	518	518	+0	No	+$2	01-12 17:30
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	2	$1.0K	596	596	+0	Yes	+$15	01-12 14:42
bitcoin up or down february 12 11am et	1	$1.0K	1,004	0	+1,004	Down	+$1	02-12 16:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 27?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	10-26 22:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	10-26 11:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	3	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	10-12 13:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18?	2	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	09-18 13:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$3	10-21 23:56
bitcoin above 92k on january 11	2	$993	498	498	+0	No	+$2	01-11 17:17
bitcoin above 90k on january 10	2	$990	496	496	+0	Yes	+$1	01-10 17:17
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	2	$954	495	495	+0	No	+$34	01-09 17:06
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	4	$915	560	360	+200	Yes	+$1	06-09 10:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	4	$904	905	0	+905	No	+$1	10-28 08:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	2	$888	458	458	+0	Yes	+$27	01-08 17:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	20	$881	443	443	+0	Yes	+$2	05-13 17:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	23	$853	456	400	+56	Yes	+$1	05-14 15:35
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	2	$845	434	434	+0	No	+$21	01-07 17:03
bitcoin above 94k on january 6	3	$818	413	412	+0	No	+$6	01-06 17:07
bitcoin above 64k on february 15	3	$800	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	02-15 13:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	2	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	09-03 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:42:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	435	100¢	$434	0xa8336c…
10-29 14:34:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xc8fc0b…
10-28 18:45:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0xd768a1…
10-28 18:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd70d53…
10-28 18:04:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6eeab6…
10-28 17:52:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xa51f4c…
10-28 17:48:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	470	100¢	$468	0x1e7eb5…
10-28 17:46:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5492aa…
10-28 08:37:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x176101…
10-28 08:30:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	799	100¢	$798	0xc886ad…
10-28 06:31:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc3ad0…
10-28 05:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9fed90…
10-26 22:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xffbef9…
10-26 11:42:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x72ef0d…
10-24 15:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x6433a1…
10-22 18:28:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xafd86d…
10-22 16:30:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0xb546f9…
10-21 23:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x988442…
10-20 20:27:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	610	100¢	$609	0xb7ed74…
10-20 17:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	890	100¢	$889	0x5cb44c…
10-20 12:35:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xd80bd1…
10-19 15:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x493158…
10-19 02:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0xb9065c…
10-19 00:42:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x18f3e3…
10-18 09:33:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x41b5c2…
10-18 03:51:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb46aac…
10-16 15:19:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	620	100¢	$619	0x234a66…
10-15 14:59:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x9e7d59…
10-15 14:02:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xcfeb5f…
10-15 08:59:04	bitcoin above 88k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xedbfaa…
10-13 16:49:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x911385…
10-13 13:37:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x07c475…
10-13 10:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xfeef92…
10-13 10:41:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x68a91e…
10-13 10:09:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb14a8d…
10-12 15:58:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf27e71…
10-12 13:05:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x196d53…
10-12 10:45:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1c167b…
10-12 10:38:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x9fa21b…
10-12 01:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x6a0451…
10-10 19:30:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x890758…
10-10 18:45:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf90fad…
10-09 13:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xd9b9f9…
10-08 15:40:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0xfa3301…
10-08 07:11:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0xc3aea7…
10-07 02:17:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x69bcf6…
10-07 02:04:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x50827e…
10-07 02:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x505adf…
10-06 22:20:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x62be35…
10-06 18:23:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xcd9f62…
10-06 17:02:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x556815…
10-06 16:46:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2fc40…
10-05 17:19:41	bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc7265…
10-05 17:19:35	bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e80f6…
10-05 17:19:29	bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa45651…
10-05 17:19:23	bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5c218a…
10-04 22:08:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xf9aa97…
10-04 19:52:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	399	100¢	$399	0x0dd867…
10-04 18:54:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x650ce0…
10-04 15:29:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x836161…
10-04 15:23:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb33fb…
10-04 15:13:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x82e303…
10-04 15:12:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2b7529…
10-04 15:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x135aec…
10-04 15:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x830ed5…
10-04 15:09:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbf1896…
10-03 22:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb976d3…
10-03 02:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x639fa5…
10-02 15:52:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x45da46…
10-02 12:01:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x2e2ff0…
10-01 15:33:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x55b432…
10-01 13:47:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0x27eafb…
10-01 00:12:27	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe846bc…
09-30 20:17:27	bitcoin above 76k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd39f2d…
09-30 05:16:06	bitcoin above 90k on september 30 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x6dec97…
09-28 20:38:44	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x177faf…
09-28 17:28:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x72e531…
09-28 15:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x559b35…
09-27 22:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xe9fe84…
09-25 17:25:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x9d2e86…
09-25 12:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4dac0f…
09-24 17:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x5e6027…
09-21 19:08:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	583	100¢	$582	0x2b651b…
09-21 18:48:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x986fc5…
09-21 11:21:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xbe9033…
09-19 14:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x308976…
09-19 09:49:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xf21320…
09-18 13:53:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x8c7d51…
09-16 18:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0b101a…
09-16 16:59:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x7160eb…
09-15 17:18:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x2076b8…
09-15 16:43:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xeecf7c…
09-14 19:35:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	476	100¢	$475	0x56c35b…
09-14 18:34:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9ee36e…
09-14 17:18:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xef3d56…
09-13 15:41:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0xdaed46…
09-13 13:39:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xba657c…
09-13 13:34:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd1f5c3…
09-11 22:57:00	Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xe07cb7…
09-11 12:55:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xfd5821…