Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$39,076
$83,332 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$30,397
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-14 10:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $29.4K | — | +$29.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $9.7K | $2 | +$9.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $29.4K | — | +$29.4K |
| Median | 11 | $1.2K | — | +$1.2K |
| Below median | 2 | $52 | — | +$52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 19 | $8.4K | — | +$8.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alarmed-Viola 0x7ec5…b9ac | Yes | +15,000 | $14,985 | $14,985 | 1 | 05-14 00:51 |
| Appropriate-Taco 0x1b1a…3852 | Yes | +14,425 | $14,411 | $14,411 | 1 | 05-13 07:06 |
| Wrathful-Kick 0xb9a4…8c04 | Yes | +4,210 | $4,202 | $4,202 | 1 | 05-13 04:43 |
| Natural-Impostor 0x1d88…0d16 | Yes | +1,001 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-14 02:55 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | +800 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 12:03 |
| Gripping-Financing 0xf8b1…2282 | Yes | +581 | $580 | $580 | 1 | 05-13 05:11 |
| Agreeable-Facet 0x5639…bb0e | Yes | +563 | $562 | $562 | 1 | 05-13 05:07 |
| Thunderous-Statue 0x46c9…f9cf | Yes | +515 | $514 | $514 | 1 | 05-13 13:38 |
| Lumbering-Visual 0xfb76…6597 | Yes | +265 | $264 | $264 | 1 | 05-13 05:09 |
| Pitiful-Trail 0xfdff…246f | Yes | +210 | $209 | $209 | 1 | 05-14 00:39 |
| Dense-Saloon 0x0e85…c230 | Yes | +195 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 05-14 04:45 |
| Gaseous-Mate 0xc1f3…3e83 | Yes | +186 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 05-14 05:16 |
| Victorious-Flume 0x245b…0168 | Yes | +177 | $177 | $177 | 1 | 05-14 00:59 |
| Detailed-Classmate 0xbc34…3ff4 | Yes | +164 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Great-Polarization 0x4659…345f | Yes | +159 | $158 | $158 | 1 | 05-14 02:47 |
| Remorseful-Behalf 0xa7e9…2707 | Yes | +157 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 05-14 04:16 |
| Pointless-Privilege 0x512b…9156 | Yes | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-13 00:43 |
| Improbable-Appropriation 0x8b63…cb93 | Yes | +142 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 05-13 10:43 |
| Ripe-Living 0xff2f…4019 | Yes | +139 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 05-14 04:35 |
| Joyous-Shoehorn 0x8c7e…e759 | Yes | +135 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Damaged-Bracelet 0x5a4b…87d8 | Yes | +119 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 05-14 03:54 |
| Strict-Ligula 0xf0d9…1e11 | Yes | +114 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-13 23:34 |
| Tragic-Havoc 0x429b…2b36 | Yes | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Grateful-Army 0x3690…bd56 | Yes | +108 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 05-14 04:11 |
| Buttery-Dime 0x2718…13b9 | Yes | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-14 10:40 |
| Hot-Nail 0xa2ff…4f66 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 03:08 |
| Jagged-Tragedy 0x3c86…fd36 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 05:15 |
| Expensive-Bumper 0x0ce6…3f56 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 03:21 |
| Black-And-White-Plywood 0xef58…b722 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 05:23 |
| Exalted-Communion 0x9855…ae8a | Yes | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-13 20:52 |
| Double-Shirt 0x80a5…13f2 | Yes | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:40:19 | Buttery-Dime 0x2718…13b9 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $84 | 0x217c72… |
| 05-14 08:34:10 | Limping-Colorlessness 0xab01…a875 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xaa20dc… |
| 05-14 05:16:22 | Gaseous-Mate 0xc1f3…3e83 | Yes | BUY | 186 | 100¢ | $186 | 0x748f5e… |
| 05-14 05:15:36 | Jagged-Tragedy 0x3c86…fd36 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x828e55… |
| 05-14 05:10:14 | Detailed-Classmate 0xbc34…3ff4 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 100¢ | $164 | 0x497eb1… |
| 05-14 04:45:44 | Dense-Saloon 0x0e85…c230 | Yes | BUY | 195 | 100¢ | $195 | 0x5c02b2… |
| 05-14 04:35:25 | Ripe-Living 0xff2f…4019 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 100¢ | $139 | 0x6d4b33… |
| 05-14 04:16:04 | Remorseful-Behalf 0xa7e9…2707 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 100¢ | $157 | 0x7e6e6e… |
| 05-14 04:11:23 | Grateful-Army 0x3690…bd56 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $108 | 0x82ee36… |
| 05-14 03:54:08 | Damaged-Bracelet 0x5a4b…87d8 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 100¢ | $119 | 0xd124b1… |
| 05-14 03:21:06 | Expensive-Bumper 0x0ce6…3f56 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x981e8b… |
| 05-14 03:08:16 | Hot-Nail 0xa2ff…4f66 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xbcab9a… |
| 05-14 02:55:12 | Natural-Impostor 0x1d88…0d16 | Yes | BUY | 1,001 | 100¢ | $1,000 | 0xf17a8f… |
| 05-14 02:47:17 | Great-Polarization 0x4659…345f | Yes | BUY | 159 | 100¢ | $158 | 0x910faf… |
| 05-14 02:30:22 | Double-Shirt 0x80a5…13f2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xdb8482… |
| 05-14 02:02:14 | Joyous-Shoehorn 0x8c7e…e759 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 100¢ | $135 | 0x875b4a… |
| 05-14 01:09:00 | Tragic-Havoc 0x429b…2b36 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x4337c2… |
| 05-14 00:59:40 | Victorious-Flume 0x245b…0168 | Yes | BUY | 177 | 100¢ | $177 | 0xc29e4b… |
| 05-14 00:51:46 | Alarmed-Viola 0x7ec5…b9ac | Yes | BUY | 15,000 | 100¢ | $14,985 | 0xe57c23… |
| 05-14 00:39:53 | Pitiful-Trail 0xfdff…246f | Yes | BUY | 210 | 100¢ | $209 | 0xe56597… |
| 05-13 23:34:44 | Strict-Ligula 0xf0d9…1e11 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 100¢ | $114 | 0xf010d9… |
| 05-13 20:52:01 | Exalted-Communion 0x9855…ae8a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x01285f… |
| 05-13 13:38:32 | Thunderous-Statue 0x46c9…f9cf | Yes | BUY | 515 | 100¢ | $514 | 0x001fe9… |
| 05-13 12:03:24 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xc80f71… |
| 05-13 10:43:09 | Improbable-Appropriation 0x8b63…cb93 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 100¢ | $142 | 0x53fec9… |
| 05-13 09:10:05 | Squiggly-Classic 0x188a…263a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xea1f4f… |
| 05-13 07:06:30 | Appropriate-Taco 0x1b1a…3852 | Yes | BUY | 14,425 | 100¢ | $14,411 | 0x14661c… |
| 05-13 05:23:03 | Black-And-White-Plywood 0xef58…b722 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x66d68a… |
| 05-13 05:11:23 | Gripping-Financing 0xf8b1…2282 | Yes | BUY | 581 | 100¢ | $580 | 0x13333a… |
| 05-13 05:09:31 | Lumbering-Visual 0xfb76…6597 | Yes | BUY | 265 | 100¢ | $264 | 0xc45c89… |
| 05-13 05:07:36 | Agreeable-Facet 0x5639…bb0e | Yes | BUY | 563 | 100¢ | $562 | 0x448f72… |
| 05-13 04:43:37 | Wrathful-Kick 0xb9a4…8c04 | Yes | BUY | 4,210 | 100¢ | $4,202 | 0x8be462… |
| 05-13 00:43:35 | Pointless-Privilege 0x512b…9156 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x3fafae… |
| 05-12 22:12:52 | Roasted-Copywriter 0xae3f…9487 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x08b858… |
| 05-12 03:39:05 | Royal-Anagram 0x0a0d…8342 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3a3cfc… |
| 05-11 18:58:00 | Royal-Anagram 0x0a0d…8342 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0de803… |
| 05-11 06:49:00 | Royal-Anagram 0x0a0d…8342 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x40bbf9… |