Fancy-Timbale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$2.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-26 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Crypto

36% 56% $-0

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will boeings commercial airplane deliveries in q1 2026 be above 145	6	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	04-22 01:27
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$-0	04-17 21:44
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	06-26 17:30
highest temperature in panama city on april 18 2026 29c	4	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 14:14
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 00:15
will gerb sds win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by any margin	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 10:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 29?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 18:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 08:16
will googl dip to 300 by april 13 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 21:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	2	$38	19	19	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 07:36
highest temperature in warsaw on april 18 2026 13c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 11:45
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on April 26?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-26 07:13
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 17:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 62 63f	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 05:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-04 00:07
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 00:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 11:06
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 11:26
highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 62 63f	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 19:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 12?	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	$-0	05-12 14:25
highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 62 63f	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 18:45
highest temperature in jakarta on april 19 2026 38corhigher	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 10:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 25?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-26 07:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	3	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 06:33
Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	06-02 02:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 14:37
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 08:07
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 16:27
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 13c	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 17:30:23	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x38fcba…
06-26 12:59:47	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x11615c…
06-05 01:36:31	will wti dip to 60 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7f8c3f…
06-02 02:56:48	Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc831fe…
06-01 15:35:34	Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb39f07…
06-01 00:15:11	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6322d7…
05-30 15:28:19	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5666b4…
05-30 06:27:15	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x503cdc…
05-30 05:21:11	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5efd44…
05-29 23:28:04	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fd2b6…
05-29 21:06:44	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa5a672…
05-29 20:20:44	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e179d…
05-29 15:16:52	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcc0101…
05-29 00:47:51	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 29?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6024b2…
05-28 20:31:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x22c84a…
05-28 18:08:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xc252eb…
05-28 13:12:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xbda393…
05-27 03:22:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb70a1d…
05-27 02:55:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6521c8…
05-27 02:34:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x806246…
05-26 19:37:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xac9ac1…
05-26 00:12:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf00dd4…
05-26 00:06:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5a94fc…
05-25 20:09:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x333ad7…
05-25 12:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbbf2a6…
05-19 19:56:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ba2d0…
05-19 11:09:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf9e46d…
05-19 02:55:08	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5bc80…
05-17 09:58:36	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50bdd9…
05-16 06:33:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x20a0e5…
05-16 06:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xed3f71…
05-16 04:57:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6de26d…
05-14 16:57:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0d70df…
05-14 14:37:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x91ef67…
05-14 13:48:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a6980…
05-14 11:06:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1d4b28…
05-14 10:35:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcfa54d…
05-14 00:14:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9a318d…
05-12 14:25:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4b2745…
05-12 14:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8513f5…
05-12 07:36:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x36c7ad…
05-11 22:23:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0c1a31…
05-10 17:50:52	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x26abf3…
05-10 14:53:49	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa59751…
05-10 14:37:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9848da…
05-10 14:35:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6fd2d9…
05-10 08:35:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e3357…
05-10 04:19:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6bce4c…
05-09 17:00:55	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xaf4045…
05-09 04:38:43	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1e45e1…
05-09 01:59:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf73310…
05-08 22:00:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1a034d…
05-08 21:38:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x97dbeb…
05-08 21:16:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xca36ad…
05-08 12:53:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x49a32f…
05-08 00:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4302eb…
05-07 22:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbe39e0…
05-04 00:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x64b65b…
05-04 00:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd31d43…
05-03 14:24:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x52e286…
05-03 12:39:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b59bd…
05-02 08:16:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x98e496…
05-02 06:33:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x10619c…
04-30 18:06:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9cc7c4…
04-30 10:17:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x45475d…
04-30 00:02:38	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x653b27…
04-29 09:56:54	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x17b387…
04-27 15:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe58abc…
04-27 12:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x892557…
04-27 05:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd5b046…
04-26 11:49:10	Will "SWAG - Justin Bieber" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x63b6ac…
04-26 09:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2cd6dd…
04-26 07:15:48	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x14f383…
04-26 07:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x84ca74…
04-26 07:13:02	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on April 26?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7b9438…
04-26 06:56:08	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on April 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9c7a73…
04-25 01:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x032b6e…
04-24 20:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfe9a7d…
04-24 18:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x604c31…
04-24 18:08:12	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 90 91f	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1cb280…
04-24 14:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaee8ce…
04-24 11:26:28	highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd22124…
04-24 10:42:34	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x290d52…
04-24 09:31:48	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x099e29…
04-24 00:20:52	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0cc715…
04-23 20:02:26	will claude opus 4 7 be the best ai model on april 24 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8eb0ba…
04-23 20:01:16	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 32c	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x4e5cfe…
04-23 19:57:34	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2088b4…
04-23 17:04:48	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf01852…
04-23 14:51:32	highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c5de2…
04-23 04:00:44	highest temperature in chengdu on april 23 2026 24c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd83674…
04-23 02:04:58	highest temperature in istanbul on april 23 2026 9c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2d66c7…
04-23 00:41:20	highest temperature in warsaw on april 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8f2a9c…
04-22 21:50:30	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2062fb…
04-22 19:41:30	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 32c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xa4f314…
04-22 18:45:16	highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf47ecc…
04-22 17:09:18	highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcf49f9…
04-22 16:28:22	highest temperature in panama city on april 22 2026 29c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf6cecd…
04-22 16:27:02	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7c81eb…
04-22 16:06:42	will claude opus 4 7 be the best ai model on april 24 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xdc1c3a…