Impartial-Connection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

9.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-06 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

61% 3% -$22

Sports

22% 33% -$18

Politics

10% 0% -$18

Crypto

8% 25% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+56	$5	17¢	$10	+$5	05-22 10:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+20	$5	12¢	$2	-$3	05-22 10:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+69	$6	2¢	$1	-$5	05-11 17:22
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-22 10:10
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-22 10:09
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+67	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-22 10:09
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-22 10:09
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-22 10:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	1	$100	169	0	+169	No	-$100	05-19 17:32
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	3	$30	132	26	+105	No	-$20	05-19 17:56
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$27	573	0	+573	No	-$27	07-06 12:53
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$20	40	0	+40	Canadiens	+$20	05-18 12:20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$17	26	0	+26	paiN	-$17	05-11 15:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	05-12 11:17
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$10	32	0	+32	Knicks	-$10	05-19 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	182	0	+182	Down	-$10	05-14 18:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	2	$10	22	22	+0	No	$0	05-20 04:46
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$6	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$6	05-13 07:37
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$6	17	0	+17	Spurs	-$6	05-13 14:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$6	69	0	+69	open	—	05-11 17:22
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$5	9	0	+9	Thunder	-$5	05-22 10:07
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	1	$5	62	0	+62	No	-$5	05-20 04:51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-22 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-19 12:55
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	89	0	+89	No	-$5	05-13 07:35
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$5	15	0	+15	Spurs	+$10	05-18 09:56
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	24	0	+24	No	-$5	05-13 09:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-22 10:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$4	108	0	+108	No	-$4	05-19 07:33
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	111	0	+111	No	-$2	05-11 14:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	1	$2	25	0	+25	No	-$2	05-13 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 20?	1	$2	66	0	+66	No	-$2	05-20 10:52
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?	1	$1	153	0	+153	No	-$1	06-09 12:18
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-13 07:37
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-13 07:36
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	05-22 10:10
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-13 07:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	05-14 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 12:53:53	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	148	5¢	$7	0xab74ff…
07-06 12:53:31	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x685834…
07-06 12:53:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x9e7b4f…
06-09 12:18:54	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x585797…
06-09 12:18:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0xcc3396…
06-09 12:18:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0x6d4bbe…
06-09 12:18:30	Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x534816…
06-09 12:18:04	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0x64c778…
05-22 10:11:27	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x33a3b2…
05-22 10:10:51	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xaa2459…
05-22 10:09:51	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x1d1ef2…
05-22 10:09:30	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4442f3…
05-22 10:09:25	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x057d81…
05-22 10:09:21	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9b5183…
05-22 10:09:13	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6dd1c7…
05-22 10:07:38	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x15e9d0…
05-20 10:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x80256f…
05-20 07:48:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xac916e…
05-20 07:47:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf1e726…
05-20 07:47:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xad3ddd…
05-20 04:51:35	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4946eb…
05-20 04:46:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x6ae95b…
05-20 04:45:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x22c9e8…
05-19 17:56:11	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x40b833…
05-19 17:32:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x7856f6…
05-19 16:06:50	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x3aa0df…
05-19 16:04:18	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x225315…
05-19 12:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x831758…
05-19 12:51:27	Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	539	0¢	$1	0x7e7466…
05-19 07:33:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0x469ecb…
05-19 07:31:47	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc2a59e…
05-18 12:20:52	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc4e513…
05-18 09:56:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x98a222…
05-14 18:54:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3fc7c5…
05-14 18:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x600e19…
05-14 18:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x44b5cd…
05-14 11:53:12	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xeefd3c…
05-14 11:53:02	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1b62ae…
05-14 11:52:42	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xdef15b…
05-13 14:03:34	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x0c12c6…
05-13 13:21:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x60816b…
05-13 10:54:55	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x11f41d…
05-13 10:54:48	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x33da0b…
05-13 10:54:21	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc72e80…
05-13 09:11:54	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa6261f…
05-13 07:37:27	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc45d5f…
05-13 07:37:24	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa1c9c7…
05-13 07:37:20	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x3da267…
05-13 07:37:17	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc3b37c…
05-13 07:37:11	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4c285a…
05-13 07:37:08	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1e10bb…
05-13 07:37:06	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2a91b2…
05-13 07:37:01	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfeeb3d…
05-13 07:36:57	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2c6c13…
05-13 07:36:52	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf4074b…
05-13 07:36:43	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x71185b…
05-13 07:36:38	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55dedf…
05-13 07:36:33	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4dfee9…
05-13 07:36:28	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3975f0…
05-13 07:36:19	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x16c1b3…
05-13 07:35:32	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x0f82e9…
05-12 11:17:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb1dc13…
05-11 17:22:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	9¢	$6	0xac87cb…
05-11 15:24:16	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x0752d9…
05-11 14:24:23	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xf12125…