Amused-Blessing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$60.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$992

Open exposure

$94

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-02 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$11

Politics

8% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+96	$94	99¢	$94	+$0	07-02 08:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	1	$4.1K	4,075	0	+4,075	open	—	05-27 18:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	1	$4.1K	4,070	0	+4,070	Yes	+$4	05-11 13:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	2	$4.1K	4,064	0	+4,064	open	—	05-13 14:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$4.0K	4,053	0	+4,053	open	—	05-23 17:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	1	$4.0K	4,050	0	+4,050	open	—	05-25 23:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?	3	$4.0K	4,050	0	+4,050	open	—	05-03 19:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$4.0K	4,049	0	+4,049	open	—	05-21 21:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	2	$4.0K	4,046	0	+4,046	open	—	05-18 13:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$4.0K	4,039	0	+4,039	Yes	+$4	05-04 19:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	1	$3.8K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	04-26 18:57
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$3.8K	3,776	0	+3,776	open	—	04-29 06:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26?	1	$3.7K	3,752	0	+3,752	open	—	04-26 12:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	1	$2.2K	2,176	0	+2,176	open	—	05-15 18:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	6	$2.1K	2,076	0	+2,076	open	—	05-27 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	05-27 08:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	1	$1.6K	1,596	0	+1,596	Yes	+$2	05-10 14:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 10?	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$2	05-10 10:36
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-26 18:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$979	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-26 18:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	1	$288	288	0	+288	open	—	05-01 18:32
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$254	255	0	+255	open	—	04-12 17:07
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	06-01 13:38
will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-07 15:18
will gold gc settle over 4000 on the final trading day of march 2026	4	$96	51	51	+0	open	—	03-23 14:25
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$94	96	0	+96	open	—	07-02 08:37
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	5	$81	83	0	+83	open	—	03-28 13:39
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	05-28 19:00
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	2	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	06-01 13:47
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	03-07 15:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	3	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	05-13 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:37:08	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x51ea14…
06-01 13:47:00	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x77820b…
06-01 13:39:43	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe4b695…
06-01 13:38:20	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x79ced4…
05-28 19:00:25	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4a48ec…
05-28 19:00:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x065425…
05-27 18:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	4,075	100¢	$4,071	0x59bc3e…
05-27 08:00:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0x9baf95…
05-27 02:48:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	461	100¢	$460	0xce269c…
05-27 00:43:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	381	100¢	$380	0x047af6…
05-26 22:12:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x0735b0…
05-26 22:08:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3ab35…
05-26 22:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x795555…
05-26 19:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,180	100¢	$1,179	0x1781e5…
05-26 18:32:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$979	0x43223d…
05-26 18:30:53	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfc0611…
05-25 23:37:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4,050	100¢	$4,046	0xe7c31c…
05-23 17:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	4,053	100¢	$4,049	0x10f573…
05-21 21:25:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	4,049	100¢	$4,045	0x84fbdb…
05-18 13:09:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3,046	100¢	$3,043	0x3829da…
05-18 10:42:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd9f13b…
05-18 10:41:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x962524…
05-15 18:03:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,176	100¢	$2,174	0x5e35a8…
05-14 20:00:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5b65c3…
05-13 14:12:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,772	100¢	$1,770	0xd0c879…
05-13 07:21:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2,292	100¢	$2,290	0xad25a9…
05-13 07:19:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86329f…
05-11 13:05:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4,070	100¢	$4,066	0x55e7a1…
05-10 20:24:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bba17…
05-10 14:06:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,596	100¢	$1,595	0x6a5b80…
05-10 10:36:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x283d09…
05-05 19:17:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x943ace…
05-04 19:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4,039	100¢	$4,035	0x410a5b…
05-04 19:36:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0a8037…
05-03 19:08:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1786dc…
05-03 18:15:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xb0132e…
05-03 18:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x00edcb…
05-02 19:39:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcd3fef…
05-01 18:32:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0xeee8f5…
04-29 06:34:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3,776	100¢	$3,772	0x241c65…
04-27 19:26:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x098d7c…
04-26 18:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3,786	100¢	$3,782	0xbc9511…
04-26 18:56:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08360b…
04-26 12:39:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3,752	100¢	$3,748	0xbe199b…
04-25 20:54:26	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e4505…
04-12 17:07:23	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xa83d1f…
03-28 13:39:57	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a82f3…
03-28 13:39:35	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaa7684…
03-23 14:26:21	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x5e5007…
03-23 14:25:49	will gold gc settle over 4000 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0xb89d44…
03-21 08:20:19	will gold gc settle over 6000 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x34f5a5…
03-21 08:19:43	will gold gc settle over 4000 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbe5bc5…
03-21 08:19:33	will gold gc settle over 4000 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xd64505…
03-14 08:35:05	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x5cd2a7…
03-07 15:20:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb899ba…
03-07 15:18:51	will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xda18a1…
03-07 15:17:27	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d3f6b…
03-07 15:15:17	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4c9594…
03-07 15:14:23	will gold gc settle over 4000 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x521d47…
03-07 15:13:43	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfaa506…
02-14 14:59:19	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb37785…