Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?
open
Total volume
$14,458
$6,695 in 24h
Trades
193
Unique wallets
180
Liquidity
$130,213
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-15 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 180 | $20 | $12.3K | $12.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 15 | — | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $225 | $223 |
| unranked | 156 | $18 | $9.6K | $9.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overlooked-Summit 0x9b6b…9a8a | Yes | +2,550 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 09:35 |
| Both-Flint 0x8722…bc35 | No | +2,209 | $2,200 | $2,200 | 1 | 05-10 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2255…c5ff | Yes | +2,042 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 11:17 |
| Cold-Harmony 0xb77f…8b69 | No | +2,000 | $1,993 | $1,993 | 2 | 05-11 03:28 |
| Clear-Temporary 0x43e9…7d27 | No | +679 | $678 | $678 | 1 | 05-05 13:11 |
| Meaty-Bandolier 0xe297…393b | No | +601 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 05-14 03:34 |
| Wide-Eyed-Loop 0x18c3…21a0 | Yes | +550 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 11:22 |
| Triangular-Dune 0x076c…7ffb | No | +522 | $520 | $520 | 1 | 05-07 10:43 |
| Advanced-Cello 0x43de…0e7f | No | +431 | $430 | $430 | 1 | 05-14 12:14 |
| Whispered-Rambler 0x6977…936f | No | +400 | $399 | $399 | 1 | 05-11 03:39 |
| Rapid-Force 0x47ba…a7d2 | No | +386 | $385 | $385 | 1 | 05-13 09:54 |
| Grown-Appreciation 0x22ae…538d | No | +379 | $378 | $378 | 1 | 05-14 12:57 |
| Big-Hearted-Incident 0x6f53…8910 | No | +301 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-10 01:24 |
| Near-Lane 0x2c66…01d9 | No | +300 | $299 | $299 | 1 | 05-08 05:32 |
| Knowledgeable-Newsprint 0x72c3…62e4 | No | +300 | $299 | $299 | 1 | 05-11 03:23 |
| Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | +250 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:37 |
| Prudent-Energy 0xbc46…899a | Yes | +223 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:07 |
| Mealy-East 0x2594…bacd | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-09 09:14 |
| Massive-Graft 0xbd09…8edb | No | +160 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 05-14 07:33 |
| Witty-Coach 0xe224…a981 | No | +141 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 05-12 05:39 |
| Dry-Astrolabe 0x45cb…a93b | No | +133 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 05-11 16:50 |
| Unfortunate-Secretariat 0x94db…2e58 | No | +111 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Aching-External 0x6ef5…20c5 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-06 08:14 |
| Rusty-Worm 0x0ecf…1e6c | No | +75 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-15 10:26 |
| Twin-Flatboat 0x40d7…9bea | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-08 04:33 |
| Separate-Translation 0x8939…3466 | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-08 04:52 |
| Different-Envy 0x2844…9481 | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Intentional-Indicator 0x9499…e4a1 | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-06 08:41 |
| Harmless-Prostanoid 0x5a34…b931 | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-14 14:56 |
| Obvious-Male 0xa18c…6c57 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-07 09:16 |
| Spherical-Cummerbund 0xe0b6…ebbe | No | +44 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-14 17:52 |
| Judicious-Headphones 0xae3e…e668 | No | +43 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-05 11:11 |
| Ajar-Road 0x7464…5690 | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-05 15:14 |
| Selfish-Fishmonger 0x56ff…2014 | No | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-05 15:47 |
| Closed-Reflection 0x6d66…c479 | No | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-05 15:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:04:40 | Frightening-Respite 0xd412…2a25 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcd43a6… |
| 05-15 11:21:20 | Basic-Scheduling 0x0630…3fcd | No | SELL | 900 | 100¢ | $897 | 0xe4ee42… |
| 05-15 11:20:52 | Vigorous-Geek 0x98f7…e2a4 | No | SELL | 400 | 100¢ | $399 | 0x7e9d10… |
| 05-15 10:26:15 | Rusty-Worm 0x0ecf…1e6c | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0x5adbf0… |
| 05-15 09:35:14 | Overlooked-Summit 0x9b6b…9a8a | Yes | BUY | 2,550 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xf81290… |
| 05-14 20:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xf08a…9e49 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x84cac4… |
| 05-14 20:52:09 | (anonymous) 0x92da…8137 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb68e4c… |
| 05-14 20:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8723e2… |
| 05-14 20:52:02 | Shimmering-Suspenders 0x639d…6c74 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x47db54… |
| 05-14 20:52:00 | Classic-Labour 0x7471…cdac | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x511ede… |
| 05-14 20:52:00 | Shimmering-Suspenders 0x639d…6c74 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x279f7c… |
| 05-14 19:07:35 | Prudent-Energy 0xbc46…899a | Yes | BUY | 223 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x33a935… |
| 05-14 17:52:02 | Spherical-Cummerbund 0xe0b6…ebbe | No | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x51b421… |
| 05-14 17:34:39 | Loving-Button 0xda1a…d1cd | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x3b260e… |
| 05-14 16:36:49 | Unfortunate-Secretariat 0x94db…2e58 | No | BUY | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xd443bf… |
| 05-14 15:53:13 | Striped-Date 0x2acc…cfed | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x6da873… |
| 05-14 14:56:33 | Harmless-Prostanoid 0x5a34…b931 | No | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0xbe6f79… |
| 05-14 12:57:26 | Grown-Appreciation 0x22ae…538d | No | BUY | 379 | 100¢ | $378 | 0xc1a462… |
| 05-14 12:19:03 | Excitable-Savings 0xb39c…c3e7 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x498f39… |
| 05-14 12:14:26 | Advanced-Cello 0x43de…0e7f | No | BUY | 431 | 100¢ | $430 | 0x07d761… |
| 05-14 11:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x2255…c5ff | Yes | BUY | 2,042 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xf42147… |
| 05-14 07:33:56 | Massive-Graft 0xbd09…8edb | No | BUY | 160 | 100¢ | $160 | 0x4843cc… |
| 05-14 03:34:01 | Meaty-Bandolier 0xe297…393b | No | BUY | 601 | 100¢ | $600 | 0x68fa47… |
| 05-14 01:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x677fdd… |
| 05-14 01:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x74fb…c96c | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8566ed… |
| 05-14 01:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x17d3…d05c | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x46dcb1… |
| 05-13 13:48:17 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3be52b… |
| 05-13 13:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x3abd…a3d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe9413f… |
| 05-13 13:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x3abd…a3d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xaf3932… |
| 05-13 09:54:06 | Rapid-Force 0x47ba…a7d2 | No | BUY | 386 | 100¢ | $385 | 0xc3c32e… |
| 05-13 07:19:34 | Amused-Blessing 0x4468…e19f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x86329f… |
| 05-12 22:36:12 | Scaly-Scarecrow 0xa477…0641 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0xdbe8ba… |
| 05-12 10:07:39 | Regal-Prohibition 0x4fff…8c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d294b… |
| 05-12 05:39:36 | Witty-Coach 0xe224…a981 | No | BUY | 141 | 100¢ | $141 | 0xe0b6d8… |
| 05-12 00:27:49 | Naive-Normalisation 0x29ea…027b | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xea1d48… |
| 05-11 23:22:04 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x93a6c2… |
| 05-11 23:01:08 | Violent-Cascade 0x843c…cdd6 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x5c47a7… |
| 05-11 16:50:37 | Dry-Astrolabe 0x45cb…a93b | No | BUY | 133 | 100¢ | $133 | 0x662087… |
| 05-11 05:27:34 | Illustrious-Verdict 0xa2a7…5dc3 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8414ca… |
| 05-11 03:58:24 | Flaky-Maracas 0x83d5…884c | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xc0c699… |
| 05-11 03:39:13 | Whispered-Rambler 0x6977…936f | No | BUY | 400 | 100¢ | $399 | 0xe82154… |
| 05-11 03:28:11 | Cold-Harmony 0xb77f…8b69 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $997 | 0x02989e… |
| 05-11 03:23:10 | Knowledgeable-Newsprint 0x72c3…62e4 | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $299 | 0x45d162… |
| 05-11 01:30:30 | Jumpy-Pseudoscience 0x58f3…9032 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x1ef0f7… |
| 05-10 19:18:48 | Male-Creditor 0xd883…1d98 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x80bd40… |
| 05-10 16:30:25 | Insignificant-Grief 0xe2d5…8a7f | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1376ee… |
| 05-10 14:37:08 | (anonymous) 0xcdc6…31a5 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa9df10… |
| 05-10 14:37:08 | (anonymous) 0x8cd3…a72a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd91149… |
| 05-10 14:37:08 | (anonymous) 0x0751…c5ec | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4d17ce… |
| 05-10 14:37:08 | (anonymous) 0xc7a2…73e1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x765a70… |
| 05-10 14:37:07 | Impeccable-Segment 0x290f…4db2 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0f6e0b… |
| 05-10 14:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x42a4…9121 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7c384a… |
| 05-10 14:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xa01a…8215 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0071ca… |
| 05-10 14:37:07 | Miserable-Pseudoscience 0x0016…cfed | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x643cb0… |
| 05-10 14:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xf08a…9e49 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcddc47… |
| 05-10 14:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x453402… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Rare-Cooking 0x8dc1…c34a | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x979327… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Sudden-Tritone 0xc86c…2520 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x539589… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x1bc5…e623 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc3609f… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x7d99…da63 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8833de… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Thick-Calendar 0x2db9…846c | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb77b6a… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1b49aa… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Flat-Screw 0x77a9…6bb5 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x42039f… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Happy-Torso 0x23b4…8e7a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x917b9f… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Oddball-Carload 0x9070…b3df | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xba16ef… |
| 05-10 14:37:05 | Busy-Court 0x61bc…0e16 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3eb2d0… |
| 05-10 11:06:51 | (anonymous) 0x0751…c5ec | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa148a2… |
| 05-10 11:06:51 | (anonymous) 0x42a4…9121 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5d305f… |
| 05-10 11:06:51 | (anonymous) 0xf08a…9e49 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xddaf0b… |
| 05-10 09:47:19 | Deafening-Prosperity 0xb0b3…3fe8 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x354e93… |
| 05-10 09:13:25 | Both-Flint 0x8722…bc35 | No | BUY | 2,209 | 100¢ | $2,200 | 0xebafbb… |
| 05-10 08:08:44 | Worthwhile-Wholesale 0xc9f2…b0d2 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xf7cc7e… |
| 05-10 05:13:12 | Remorseful-Limb 0xfa44…3cd0 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x56e6da… |
| 05-10 03:35:45 | Threadbare-Radar 0xddf0…18d5 | No | SELL | 820 | 100¢ | $816 | 0xe6e26e… |
| 05-10 03:32:19 | Advanced-Perception 0xb02e…8ce2 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x754831… |
| 05-10 03:26:57 | Misguided-Stool 0x1643…d9b8 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xcdbbc3… |
| 05-10 03:18:57 | Deserted-Tutu 0x49b7…b58a | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xe2f34d… |
| 05-10 02:46:28 | Simplistic-Donut 0xa1a2…0c6f | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x714c94… |
| 05-10 02:31:06 | Acrobatic-Gelatin 0xbf27…a321 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x1040d9… |
| 05-10 02:06:30 | Minty-Exhusband 0x5e24…7740 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc2ef3b… |
| 05-10 01:58:50 | Excited-Thousand 0xabb0…8f2a | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x79fe2c… |
| 05-10 01:25:14 | Threadbare-Radar 0xddf0…18d5 | No | BUY | 820 | 100¢ | $816 | 0xdf9c3c… |
| 05-10 01:24:51 | Big-Hearted-Incident 0x6f53…8910 | No | BUY | 301 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x221459… |
| 05-10 00:50:42 | Lumbering-Meatball 0x9748…120a | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x618e90… |
| 05-09 14:48:56 | Weighty-Entirety 0x0f58…2d8f | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x476f9f… |
| 05-09 14:33:32 | Wicked-Shoe 0x4239…2e65 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x98ebcd… |
| 05-09 09:45:05 | Evergreen-Reasoning 0x1097…8e71 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb6b222… |
| 05-09 09:14:41 | Mealy-East 0x2594…bacd | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x29aef4… |
| 05-09 07:39:57 | Wilted-Dromedary 0xf62a…4d10 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x49ad64… |
| 05-09 06:59:53 | Trifling-Stole 0x12de…4dce | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xadada9… |
| 05-09 05:49:30 | Cold-Harmony 0xb77f…8b69 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $996 | 0x71bc6f… |
| 05-08 11:49:19 | Kind-Embryo 0xc9f0…a30a | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x6a796d… |
| 05-08 05:32:31 | Near-Lane 0x2c66…01d9 | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $299 | 0x11b868… |
| 05-08 04:52:32 | Separate-Translation 0x8939…3466 | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0xf635b1… |
| 05-08 04:33:59 | Twin-Flatboat 0x40d7…9bea | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x34746c… |
| 05-08 02:32:28 | Wee-Loneliness 0x7e1d…12b2 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xf3ca92… |
| 05-08 02:02:07 | Jittery-Dashboard 0xaf60…e668 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xa214b9… |
| 05-07 17:16:12 | Insidious-Current 0x7c02…ad3d | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xdf67d0… |
| 05-07 10:43:53 | Triangular-Dune 0x076c…7ffb | No | BUY | 522 | 100¢ | $520 | 0x1b1e0b… |
| 05-07 10:30:30 | Realistic-Tog 0x792b…bfb6 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd0a038… |