Realized P&L
-$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$154
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved
16
Trades
7,543
lifetime
Volume
$288.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$864
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 03:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
56% 67% $-1,483
Other
38% 43% $-154
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 325 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,891 $-245 28¢ $-520 $-275 06-14 21:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,500 $-225 $-212 +$12 07-10 19:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +500 $84 14¢ $70 $-14 07-13 19:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +434 $24 $34 +$9 07-15 10:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -83 $-48 26¢ $-21 +$27 06-12 08:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 $-13 30¢ $-6 +$7 06-01 14:26
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +195 $-79 $0 +$79 06-20 20:32