Realized P&L
-$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$297
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved
16
Trades
6,879
lifetime
Volume
$254.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$1.87K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-09 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% $-1,483
Other
40% 43% $-154
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 339 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +1,150 $463 26¢ $293 $-169 06-02 23:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,150 $290 24¢ $276 $-14 06-05 15:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +200 $190 94¢ $189 $-1 06-04 14:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +200 $142 82¢ $163 +$21 06-05 03:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -150 $-91 90¢ $-136 $-45 06-04 22:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +600 $120 22¢ $135 +$15 06-08 16:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -750 $-120 18¢ $-131 $-11 06-04 14:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-46 64¢ $-129 $-83 05-29 17:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +200 $130 61¢ $122 $-8 06-08 20:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +410 $156 26¢ $109 $-48 06-03 06:11
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -1,962 $-89 $-71 +$18 06-09 03:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +1,500 $35 $46 +$11 06-09 07:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +243 $42 $19 $-22 06-01 22:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +22 $15 64¢ $14 $-1 06-09 06:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 $-13 53¢ $-11 +$2 06-01 14:26
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Yes +10 $2 96¢ $10 +$8 05-28 18:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $14 $8 $-6 06-02 04:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +17 $-27 29¢ $5 +$32 06-09 03:56
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? No -17 $-5 $-1 +$5 05-28 00:45