Giving-Relay 0x63f155…526272
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$464
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved
784
Trades
8,215
lifetime
Volume
$311.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$591
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-18 06:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Politics
57% 59% +$3,965
Other
37% 57% -$3,310
Crypto
5% 48% -$1,285
Sports
0% 68% +$165
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,275 -$286 18¢ $-223 +$63 06-14 21:27
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +125 $110 92¢ $114 +$4 10-16 22:02
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +125 $109 86¢ $107 -$2 10-15 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +50 $34 88¢ $44 +$10 08-16 19:33
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $28 74¢ $37 +$10 10-14 18:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -50 -$24 66¢ $-33 -$9 05-09 01:12
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +250 $32 4¢ $10 -$22 05-09 00:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 -$9 94¢ $-9 +$0 10-18 06:01
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 Yes +150 $12 3¢ $4 -$8 08-02 22:23
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $18 3¢ $3 -$15 05-07 12:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $3 6¢ $3 +$0 10-18 06:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 -$13 8¢ $-2 +$11 06-01 14:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -25 $13 2¢ $-0 -$13 08-17 08:54