Realized P&L
-$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$195
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved
16
Trades
7,499
lifetime
Volume
$286.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.13K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 15:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
56% 67% $-1,483
Other
38% 43% $-154
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 339 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -450 $-315 100¢ $-448 $-133 06-15 07:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,891 $-245 15¢ $-274 $-29 06-14 21:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $180 14¢ $270 +$90 06-15 09:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +500 $105 16¢ $80 $-25 06-17 08:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +357 $44 $30 $-13 06-16 13:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 $-13 44¢ $-9 +$4 06-01 14:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -83 $-48 10¢ $-8 +$40 06-12 08:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes -4,000 $-1 $-4 $-3 06-18 08:03
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +1,298 $9 $1 $-7 06-15 01:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +410 $156 $0 $-156 06-03 06:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +243 $42 $0 $-42 06-01 22:16
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +195 $-79 $0 +$79 06-20 20:32
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +101 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 20:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes -100 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-18 23:43