Frayed-Minibus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

202

Trades

611

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 07-16 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 64% +$84

Other

19% 7% -$84

Tech

1% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	51	$299	274	203	+72	Yes	+$102	05-28 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	27	$73	107	34	+74	Down	-$11	05-26 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	32	$65	111	0	+111	No	+$10	05-22 05:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	11	$31	18	18	+0	No	+$3	05-26 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	14	$27	107	0	+107	Down	+$10	05-21 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	9	$26	34	11	+23	No	-$6	05-26 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$8	05-15 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$20	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	05-14 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-15 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	8	$19	25	0	+25	No	+$1	05-21 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$17	23	23	+0	Down	-$3	05-15 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	8	$16	36	0	+36	Down	+$14	05-22 07:39
Will Solana reach $90 May 18-24?	8	$16	18	0	+18	No	-$1	05-24 11:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	5	$15	19	7	+12	No	-$1	05-23 13:24
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	3	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	07-16 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$14	32	0	+32	Up	+$18	05-14 17:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	5	$12	20	4	+16	No	-$4	05-23 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-15 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	05-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-17 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	-$10	05-14 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	05-15 16:29
Will Solana dip to $80 on May 23?	5	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-23 14:35
Will Solana reach $95 on May 24?	5	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-24 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	05-14 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$10	26	0	+26	Down	+$16	05-14 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$10	27	0	+27	Down	-$10	05-15 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Down	-$10	05-14 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-15 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-19 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 09:22:23	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0xe6e705…
07-13 01:04:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0xd14ba4…
07-12 20:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xdc532e…
07-12 19:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xea4653…
07-12 19:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xa29291…
07-12 13:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x58b9e5…
07-12 13:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xfee370…
07-12 13:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x3654e4…
07-12 13:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0x2c862d…
07-12 12:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x22f79a…
07-12 12:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0x692f8c…
07-12 12:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x635c31…
07-12 10:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x20c697…
07-11 23:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x7c2747…
07-11 23:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf99471…
07-11 19:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x9a3545…
07-11 17:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x8aa9c2…
07-11 17:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x75d298…
07-11 17:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5a2e79…
07-11 17:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcc3847…
07-11 17:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9a9366…
07-11 13:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x8cc855…
07-11 13:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x5753a1…
07-11 13:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd06087…
07-11 13:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xce4429…
07-11 13:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0xeb7eda…
07-11 08:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x2e9c2c…
07-11 07:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9e6e10…
07-11 05:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x98c14c…
07-11 05:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x33eb94…
07-11 04:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3fe5ff…
07-11 04:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x49f29d…
07-11 04:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x415c5f…
07-11 02:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb7a443…
07-11 02:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xef2a6d…
07-11 02:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x479f44…
07-10 17:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x98bd82…
07-10 14:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0xfc89f5…
07-10 14:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x72d4ef…
07-10 12:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x6d1fd3…
07-09 14:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x17294e…
07-09 12:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x97b8ba…
07-09 10:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x41c730…
07-09 10:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x812411…
07-09 10:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xa1ceed…
07-09 10:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfe5c4c…
07-09 10:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c5332…
07-09 10:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd9b182…
07-09 09:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xef38a4…
07-09 09:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa0caae…
07-09 09:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x11b79f…
07-09 09:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe78a00…
07-09 09:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xa7e733…
07-09 08:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8b94aa…
07-09 07:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x59f3aa…
07-09 07:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x749f74…
07-09 07:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9bef3c…
07-09 07:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x7566ac…
07-09 06:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x1dc230…
07-09 06:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0b1396…
07-09 04:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x2beb8e…
07-08 14:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0xcf939b…
07-08 09:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xb70525…
07-08 09:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa02ea6…
07-08 09:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x48787a…
07-08 08:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x9874d7…
07-07 20:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x5fa467…
07-07 17:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x6cb539…
07-07 16:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc61fa5…
07-07 13:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x75d514…
07-07 12:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x37654a…
07-07 12:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfc7d75…
07-07 12:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd47dcf…
07-07 12:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf42388…
07-07 12:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xea5b62…
07-07 12:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xbc128b…
07-07 12:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x573e41…
07-07 12:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xede826…
07-07 12:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0f6cd8…
07-07 12:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xa3aaad…
07-07 12:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6ea611…
07-07 12:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6b6696…
07-07 12:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x60d091…
07-07 12:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfcee24…
07-07 12:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd5715e…
07-07 12:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe174ee…
07-07 12:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x49f953…
07-07 12:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x2f1d4d…
07-07 11:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x3230f4…
07-07 11:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x65285b…
07-07 11:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x86afbd…
07-07 10:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x9388eb…
07-07 10:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5045fd…
07-07 09:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x45a3db…
07-07 09:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x926c1c…
07-07 09:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0xff3445…
07-07 09:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8f2cf9…
07-07 09:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xea6d3d…
07-07 09:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x66668f…
07-07 09:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x32c7e1…