Violet-Meal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

402

Trades

713

lifetime

Volume

$1.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.03K

Open exposure

$116

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-18 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% -$41,001

Other

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No		+116	$116	100¢	$116	$0	10-18 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:55 UTC	3	$6.6K	6,712	+6,712	Up	+$67	04-24 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:35 UTC	2	$6.5K	6,579	+6,579	Down	+$66	04-24 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:20 UTC	4	$6.4K	6,522	+6,522	Up	+$127	04-24 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:55 UTC	2	$6.2K	6,294	+6,294	Up	+$63	04-19 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:10 UTC	3	$6.2K	6,371	+6,371	Down	+$145	04-24 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:35 UTC	2	$6.2K	6,235	+6,235	Up	+$62	04-19 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:15 UTC	2	$6.1K	6,180	+6,180	Down	+$97	04-19 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$6.0K	6,131	+6,131	Up	-$6,033	04-25 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:10 UTC	2	$6.0K	6,087	+6,087	Down	+$61	04-19 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC	3	$6.0K	6,205	+6,205	Up	+$215	04-24 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:05 UTC	2	$6.0K	6,032	+6,032	Up	+$71	04-19 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:40 UTC	3	$6.0K	6,027	+6,027	Down	+$69	04-24 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$6.0K	6,037	+6,037	Down	+$80	04-25 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$6.0K	6,268	+6,268	Down	+$316	04-25 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	2	$5.9K	5,989	+5,989	Down	+$60	04-23 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:15 UTC	3	$5.9K	5,995	+5,995	Down	+$71	04-24 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:35 UTC	1	$5.9K	5,965	+5,965	Up	+$60	04-19 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$5.9K	5,956	+5,956	Down	+$63	04-25 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:35 UTC	3	$5.9K	5,934	+5,934	Up	+$59	04-23 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:55 UTC	3	$5.9K	5,929	+5,929	Up	+$72	04-24 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:30 UTC	1	$5.9K	5,909	+5,909	Down	+$59	04-19 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:25 UTC	2	$5.8K	5,861	+5,861	Down	+$59	04-24 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:20 UTC	1	$5.8K	5,855	+5,855	Down	+$59	04-19 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$5.8K	5,855	+5,855	Up	+$63	04-25 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:00 UTC	3	$5.8K	5,906	+5,906	Up	+$121	04-24 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:05 UTC	2	$5.8K	5,839	+5,839	Down	-$5,781	04-17 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	2	$5.7K	5,838	+5,838	Down	+$96	04-23 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:15 UTC	4	$5.7K	5,776	+5,776	Up	+$58	04-24 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:15 UTC	1	$5.7K	5,802	+5,802	Up	+$93	04-19 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$5.7K	5,799	+5,799	Down	+$98	04-25 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 23:50:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xe73ac3…
10-17 11:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57582f…
09-23 11:40:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x7daa62…
09-18 13:54:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xdb7217…
09-17 11:43:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xef9607…
09-08 00:36:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x4ae04c…
09-04 02:45:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x809228…
08-28 06:59:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x31890f…
07-31 01:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x95830f…
06-05 14:39:48	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaf24ef…
06-05 14:39:15	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e27c2…
06-05 14:39:06	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc9d344…
06-05 14:38:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x6298e5…
06-02 13:55:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x2b68c9…
06-02 13:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x84ce39…
06-01 08:18:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 2?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x4498a4…
06-01 08:13:01	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdaa8a1…
06-01 08:12:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd81988…
06-01 08:12:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc02806…
06-01 08:12:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd36954…
06-01 08:12:38	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x415652…
06-01 08:12:33	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x97c9a3…
06-01 08:12:26	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa2ce52…
06-01 08:12:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xb9af3d…
05-22 04:09:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x3214ef…
05-22 04:09:05	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8b39b0…
05-22 04:08:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5b88d1…
05-22 04:08:44	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd72efb…
05-22 04:08:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5015e1…
05-22 04:07:26	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x27c3ed…
05-22 04:07:06	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x444050…
05-22 04:06:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaa93c7…
05-22 04:06:51	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3e0553…
04-28 08:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x44df6a…
04-28 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2,694	98¢	$2,627	0x10934f…
04-28 08:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2,324	99¢	$2,301	0x0eef48…
04-28 07:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,916	99¢	$1,896	0x967a12…
04-28 07:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	458	99¢	$453	0x03f592…
04-28 07:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,976	99¢	$1,955	0x6b9dd0…
04-28 07:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,178	99¢	$1,166	0x112990…
04-28 06:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,440	99¢	$2,416	0x4c2dbb…
04-28 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,626	98¢	$1,600	0xc723c5…
04-28 06:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,765	99¢	$1,747	0xa24ce3…
04-28 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2,512	99¢	$2,479	0x6c82b6…
04-28 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,542	99¢	$1,527	0x6c6ce9…
04-28 04:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,408	98¢	$1,379	0x172211…
04-28 04:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,497	99¢	$1,482	0xabb44c…
04-28 04:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,894	99¢	$1,875	0x68fa5a…
04-28 04:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x515ca7…
04-28 04:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2,054	99¢	$2,033	0x091b47…
04-28 03:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2,290	99¢	$2,267	0x97a4e6…
04-28 03:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2,078	99¢	$2,057	0x87ec5f…
04-28 03:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,754	99¢	$1,737	0xabb752…
04-28 03:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,912	98¢	$1,882	0x78ac45…
04-28 02:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2,087	96¢	$2,000	0x516b51…
04-28 02:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,014	99¢	$1,000	0x3f8e35…
04-28 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0x809682…
04-28 01:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4,941	84¢	$4,158	0x7964ac…
04-28 00:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0xf2b3db…
04-28 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	264	99¢	$261	0x6f4cc9…
04-28 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	352	99¢	$348	0x8d28fa…
04-28 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2,129	99¢	$2,108	0x4759eb…
04-27 23:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbc2550…
04-27 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4,131	99¢	$4,090	0x8c80e7…
04-27 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2,166	98¢	$2,131	0x022d47…
04-27 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,930	97¢	$1,876	0x00073d…
04-27 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3,333	99¢	$3,300	0xc4746e…
04-27 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	431	99¢	$427	0xc334d2…
04-27 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3,308	99¢	$3,273	0xc2050f…
04-27 04:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3,805	99¢	$3,767	0xcf93dd…
04-27 04:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	538	99¢	$533	0x7709de…
04-27 03:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,611	99¢	$1,594	0x28aa90…
04-27 03:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,191	99¢	$1,179	0x831085…
04-27 03:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2,978	98¢	$2,921	0x6e1ba8…
04-27 03:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,342	97¢	$2,275	0xd0d19a…
04-27 03:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,856	98¢	$1,825	0x577725…
04-27 03:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2,411	99¢	$2,382	0x2d7362…
04-27 03:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,889	96¢	$1,818	0x0aaac6…
04-27 02:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4,227	97¢	$4,100	0x67b389…
04-27 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3,751	99¢	$3,707	0xd9bfc7…
04-27 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	642	99¢	$636	0x167945…
04-27 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0xcbcef4…
04-27 00:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2,628	99¢	$2,601	0xefd507…
04-26 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2,340	99¢	$2,316	0x792757…
04-26 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x61adc6…
04-26 23:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	934	99¢	$925	0xb6eba0…
04-26 15:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,506	99¢	$1,491	0xe19cc9…
04-26 15:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3,555	99¢	$3,509	0x3a67e9…
04-26 15:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3,379	99¢	$3,345	0x10317d…
04-26 14:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2,736	99¢	$2,707	0x4388cd…
04-26 14:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,143	99¢	$1,132	0x433f1f…
04-26 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2,164	98¢	$2,114	0xcb5618…
04-26 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3,422	99¢	$3,386	0xbe49c2…
04-26 14:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3,273	99¢	$3,241	0xefdeb3…
04-26 14:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4,068	99¢	$4,009	0x27048c…
04-26 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,506	99¢	$1,491	0xade771…
04-26 14:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,980	99¢	$1,960	0xb4aec1…
04-26 14:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3,576	99¢	$3,540	0x5781b7…
04-26 13:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3,957	98¢	$3,884	0x60c490…
04-26 13:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,531	99¢	$1,516	0x463378…