Uncommon-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$676

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

120

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 11-06 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 8% -$366

Other

25% 9% -$153

Politics

11% 9% -$151

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $40 in November?	Yes	+557	$7	1¢	$8	+$1	11-06 15:19
Will Solana dip to $30 in November?	Yes	+859	$7	1¢	$7	$0	11-06 15:18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in November?	Yes	+110	$2	2¢	$2	+$0	11-06 15:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	8	$184	2,365	1,358	+1,007	No	+$58	02-20 16:15
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	22	$183	2,676	2,676	+0	No	+$21	03-02 15:10
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	13	$120	4,088	1,902	+2,186	No	+$19	02-17 13:32
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	11	$118	4,401	3,202	+1,199	No	+$8	02-20 16:15
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	11	$102	3,080	3,080	+0	No	+$16	02-19 23:40
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	3	$97	1,412	1,412	+0	No	-$41	02-18 21:18
will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	11	$89	2,537	2,074	+464	No	+$11	02-12 18:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	8	$86	2,542	0	+2,542	No	-$86	05-08 17:12
will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	10	$70	3,513	1,687	+1,826	No	+$22	02-12 18:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$58	309	309	+0	open	—	05-08 16:54
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	2	$52	388	388	+0	No	-$6	02-01 21:26
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	3	$48	2,450	1,539	+911	No	-$12	02-23 21:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$40	367	367	+0	Yes	-$26	04-02 08:09
will solana dip to 40 in february 2026	7	$38	1,850	208	+1,642	No	-$30	02-23 21:39
will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 2	4	$30	1,836	335	+1,501	No	-$24	02-01 21:52
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	2	$27	83	83	+0	No	+$7	02-08 01:52
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in february 2026	2	$25	1,037	0	+1,037	No	-$25	02-12 18:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$24	141	0	+141	No	-$24	03-29 22:34
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	3	$21	1,265	0	+1,265	No	-$21	02-01 20:24
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	1	$20	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$20	03-25 01:08
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	4	$18	2,000	1,000	+1,000	No	-$12	02-12 18:00
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$18	299	299	+0	No	-$12	03-01 15:49
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	1	$17	1,222	0	+1,222	No	-$17	03-25 01:06
will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	2	$17	785	0	+785	No	-$17	10-01 13:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$15	750	0	+750	No	-$15	03-25 01:08
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$14	2,071	0	+2,071	No	-$14	02-01 20:24
will solana dip to 40 february 2 8	4	$14	2,417	0	+2,417	No	-$14	02-08 01:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	2	$12	403	0	+403	No	-$12	10-01 13:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	3	$12	1,152	0	+1,152	No	-$12	05-08 17:13
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$12	778	722	+55	No	-$2	04-20 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:19:36	Will Solana dip to $40 in November?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xa9c9dd…
11-06 15:18:45	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	1¢	$2	0x2e9609…
11-06 15:18:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in November?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0x891fff…
11-06 15:18:09	Will Solana dip to $30 in November?	Yes	BUY	859	1¢	$7	0x4ef1b5…
11-06 15:18:03	Will Solana dip to $40 in November?	Yes	BUY	462	1¢	$6	0xd8b44b…
11-06 15:17:07	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	2¢	$3	0xa70267…
10-01 13:03:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	112	3¢	$3	0x9bfce9…
10-01 13:03:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	228	2¢	$5	0x1f787a…
10-01 13:02:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	557	2¢	$12	0xcc723c…
10-01 13:02:08	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	Yes	BUY	546	1¢	$7	0x01db58…
10-01 13:01:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0x8af244…
09-04 01:08:01	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$1	0x75cd41…
09-04 01:07:46	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xed34ac…
09-04 01:07:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	327	2¢	$8	0x9f42df…
09-04 01:07:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x7fbec2…
09-04 01:06:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	523	2¢	$9	0xb0f471…
09-04 01:06:24	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x119577…
09-04 01:06:15	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0x766c0c…
09-04 01:06:06	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	Yes	BUY	239	1¢	$3	0xd97059…
07-01 11:52:17	will bitcoin reach 74k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	749	0¢	$3	0x04ea29…
07-01 11:51:50	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	234	2¢	$5	0xdaa3f4…
07-01 11:51:37	will solana dip to 30 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	622	1¢	$5	0x4e0719…
07-01 11:51:22	will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x0012c7…
05-08 17:13:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcdfe13…
05-08 17:13:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x3f80d1…
05-08 17:13:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x0158f2…
05-08 17:12:51	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x0fd549…
05-08 17:12:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	582	4¢	$21	0x87db4f…
05-08 16:55:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	360	4¢	$13	0xf18b7f…
05-08 16:54:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	9¢	$14	0x698142…
05-08 15:05:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	330	4¢	$13	0x636751…
05-08 15:05:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	9¢	$14	0x0271dd…
05-08 13:12:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$2	0xefa9f7…
05-08 13:11:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xdae685…
05-08 13:11:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbf22dc…
05-08 13:11:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	10¢	$25	0x2e1081…
05-08 00:55:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x98338a…
05-08 00:54:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9455f1…
05-08 00:54:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x6e3f91…
05-07 21:46:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	302	3¢	$8	0x8ed833…
05-06 22:58:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	317	2¢	$8	0x460dc2…
05-06 12:35:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	369	2¢	$9	0x422b87…
05-06 00:24:30	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	Yes	BUY	337	0¢	$1	0xa8ee53…
05-06 00:24:08	Will Solana dip to $30 in May?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x711ecc…
05-06 00:23:36	Will Solana dip to $30 in May?	Yes	BUY	330	0¢	$2	0xa1739f…
05-06 00:23:14	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xb822d4…
05-06 00:23:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x90fadb…
05-06 00:22:46	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x954f63…
05-06 00:22:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	571	1¢	$4	0x6bcb20…
05-06 00:22:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	832	0¢	$3	0x867cc4…
05-06 00:22:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x6cee97…
05-06 00:21:38	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	364	1¢	$4	0x938c78…
04-28 15:03:08	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	649	0¢	$3	0x2bac64…
04-28 15:02:38	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x094b9a…
04-28 15:02:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xf948ac…
04-28 15:01:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xf1bff5…
04-28 15:01:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$4	0xd6ab86…
04-20 16:34:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	Yes	SELL	460	1¢	$4	0xceface…
04-20 16:34:08	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	722	1¢	$5	0x1bb7e6…
04-14 18:09:32	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x1b3b93…
04-14 18:09:20	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x3de000…
04-14 18:08:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x4f784b…
04-14 18:08:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	Yes	BUY	495	1¢	$7	0x07b3cd…
04-14 18:08:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x2b3c15…
04-14 18:08:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x7a233b…
04-14 18:07:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x1327c6…
04-14 18:07:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	912	0¢	$4	0x553064…
04-14 18:07:34	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	778	1¢	$7	0x8e1a90…
04-14 18:07:12	Will Solana dip to $50 in April?	Yes	BUY	236	1¢	$3	0xfb0e83…
04-02 08:10:31	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	783	1¢	$4	0x018ad8…
04-02 08:10:21	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xc90cf8…
04-02 08:09:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	367	2¢	$7	0x864380…
04-01 13:23:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	367	9¢	$33	0x759047…
03-29 22:34:12	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7d126f…
03-29 21:51:40	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x35e9b6…
03-29 21:51:24	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$3	0x618193…
03-29 21:50:58	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	BUY	590	2¢	$10	0x6224b7…
03-27 23:17:23	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$4	0x1844d5…
03-27 20:11:53	will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	533	1¢	$3	0x6bf850…
03-27 20:11:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x55cbea…
03-27 20:08:13	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$4	0xb926e7…
03-27 20:07:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x927299…
03-27 20:03:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0xb1f347…
03-25 01:38:45	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xc3ef91…
03-25 01:38:19	will silver si hit high 120 by end of march	Yes	BUY	905	1¢	$5	0x95b879…
03-25 01:38:11	will silver si hit high 100 by end of march	Yes	BUY	426	1¢	$5	0xe9c100…
03-25 01:37:59	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd065d0…
03-25 01:10:51	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$7	0x6bee6c…
03-25 01:10:41	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	877	1¢	$5	0xbf4f34…
03-25 01:10:31	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	440	1¢	$6	0xa8dda1…
03-25 01:08:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$15	0xc3b9a2…
03-25 01:08:23	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x94f398…
03-25 01:08:03	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x1f82c5…
03-25 01:07:45	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xc08f8b…
03-25 01:07:27	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x7f4ae4…
03-25 01:07:11	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xe83acf…
03-25 01:06:51	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	1,222	1¢	$17	0x279dc3…
03-02 15:10:55	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	SELL	307	5¢	$16	0x21dd1c…
03-01 22:59:01	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xda878e…
03-01 15:51:23	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	SELL	178	6¢	$11	0xea83a5…