Soft-Tower — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

230

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$6.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-13 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 6% -$1,924

Other

40% 15% -$235

Politics

7% 7% -$121

Sports

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	17	$1.2K	18,250	18,250	+0	No	-$179	03-23 13:52
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	6	$366	4,032	4,032	+0	No	+$36	03-17 01:13
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	6	$268	3,985	3,478	+508	No	-$35	03-25 15:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$267	210	210	+0	Yes	-$2	03-16 00:51
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$186	379	379	+0	Yes	+$110	01-31 15:49
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$185	769	769	+0	No	-$15	03-16 22:04
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	5	$135	1,291	1,291	+0	No	-$39	03-18 13:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$114	539	0	+539	No	-$114	07-29 07:44
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$88	112	112	+0	No	+$54	03-14 23:12
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	2	$87	4,637	4,637	+0	No	-$13	02-05 12:27
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	2	$84	921	921	+0	No	-$26	03-15 15:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	2	$83	2,579	0	+2,579	No	-$83	06-14 10:55
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	5	$82	3,004	2,387	+617	Yes	-$67	03-18 15:05
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	2	$75	2,564	2,564	+0	No	-$12	03-18 16:22
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$74	125	125	+0	No	+$54	03-14 23:12
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	1	$74	927	0	+927	No	-$74	06-30 23:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$65	624	624	+0	No	-$13	05-13 08:46
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$65	84	84	+0	No	$0	03-16 11:14
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	2	$63	3,090	0	+3,090	No	-$63	02-04 10:08
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	4	$62	3,151	3,151	+0	Yes	-$56	03-23 13:17
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$59	791	249	+542	No	+$28	03-25 15:50
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	2	$58	5,467	0	+5,467	No	-$58	07-01 01:42
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$58	318	318	+0	No	-$12	01-14 21:14
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	1	$55	3,387	0	+3,387	No	-$55	02-04 10:08
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	3	$54	1,057	1,057	+0	Down	-$9	03-18 14:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	3	$50	4,774	0	+4,774	No	-$50	06-14 10:54
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$50	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$50	02-04 14:25
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$50	1,925	0	+1,925	No	-$50	02-04 14:25
will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026	1	$50	4,101	0	+4,101	No	-$50	07-03 08:12
will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	1	$50	455	0	+455	No	-$50	07-03 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 12:22:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	123	3¢	$4	0xada913…
10-13 12:22:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	258	1¢	$4	0x6cb43e…
10-08 15:30:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0x1e7c08…
10-08 15:29:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	214	2¢	$5	0xc38e98…
10-08 15:26:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x371182…
10-07 21:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	498	3¢	$14	0x2464c9…
10-07 20:59:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x15963a…
10-03 19:06:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	344	1¢	$3	0x47277a…
10-03 19:06:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	1,593	1¢	$17	0x9c1717…
10-03 19:05:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	585	5¢	$28	0x430acc…
10-03 19:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	1,674	2¢	$28	0xb163dc…
10-03 19:05:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	2,595	1¢	$28	0x967628…
09-17 11:00:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	1,216	2¢	$21	0x7e0833…
09-17 10:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	703	4¢	$26	0x40c7c5…
09-17 10:59:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	1,916	0¢	$8	0x18d1c7…
09-17 10:58:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	569	1¢	$5	0x574dec…
09-17 10:57:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	642	1¢	$6	0x62cbad…
09-17 10:56:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	1,214	1¢	$17	0xdfb405…
09-17 10:53:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	1,097	1¢	$6	0xfbedd5…
09-17 10:52:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0xe0408f…
07-29 07:44:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	539	21¢	$114	0xdaaf26…
07-29 07:02:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x2ab88a…
07-03 08:12:17	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4,101	1¢	$50	0x23cb24…
07-03 08:12:08	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,401	2¢	$40	0xd32b79…
07-03 08:10:13	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,608	3¢	$50	0x4fd76a…
07-03 08:10:02	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0xfb6d43…
07-03 08:09:56	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x41eff3…
07-01 13:04:13	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	628	6¢	$39	0x3b9707…
07-01 13:01:47	bitcoin above 56k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0xb08cdc…
07-01 01:42:32	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	5,277	1¢	$57	0x2fbf2c…
07-01 01:41:58	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$1	0x625f95…
06-30 23:13:31	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	927	8¢	$74	0x1dba68…
06-30 23:11:56	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	448	1¢	$4	0x099778…
06-14 10:55:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,078	4¢	$48	0x2d10f3…
06-14 10:54:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,229	1¢	$11	0xa65f9a…
06-12 06:40:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	502	7¢	$35	0x78bbc2…
06-12 06:39:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,141	1¢	$35	0x77686b…
06-12 06:39:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,501	2¢	$35	0x46fb39…
06-12 06:28:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	404	1¢	$4	0xb16ec0…
05-17 18:10:38	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	442	1¢	$4	0xa822a9…
05-17 17:10:09	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	442	3¢	$13	0x47a9fc…
05-16 19:17:58	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	147	8¢	$12	0xcf2eca…
05-16 19:15:45	Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	525	2¢	$10	0xa5e362…
05-16 19:06:58	Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	322	3¢	$10	0x4f6217…
05-16 19:06:48	Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0xcce423…
05-16 19:06:41	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x9887ff…
05-13 08:46:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	624	4¢	$26	0xf97450…
05-09 17:32:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	6¢	$22	0x66cb53…
05-09 17:31:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	6¢	$17	0xdc21ae…
05-08 12:43:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0xba74a2…
05-08 12:43:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xa8d06a…
05-08 12:43:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xa8804b…
05-08 12:43:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x461316…
05-08 12:43:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x4b1f54…
05-04 15:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	448	1¢	$4	0x7e907f…
04-02 12:45:09	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x41ff2f…
04-02 12:44:43	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	875	1¢	$7	0x880f97…
04-02 12:44:31	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	619	2¢	$10	0x13a3e5…
03-26 16:30:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	246	6¢	$15	0x5f00ed…
03-26 15:41:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	381	2¢	$8	0x4939c6…
03-26 01:02:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x5f59f1…
03-26 01:00:43	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0xaa6db6…
03-26 00:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x82161f…
03-26 00:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x26d129…
03-26 00:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	155	1¢	$1	0xd4bafd…
03-26 00:52:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xcb61f6…
03-26 00:46:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x0adcc0…
03-25 15:51:37	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$4	0x4a86c3…
03-25 15:50:39	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0xe78953…
03-25 15:50:15	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	542	1¢	$5	0xa78971…
03-25 15:49:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	921	1¢	$5	0x143ae8…
03-25 15:49:47	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	508	1¢	$3	0xe05853…
03-25 15:49:29	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	397	1¢	$5	0x9696b3…
03-25 15:49:07	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	SELL	445	0¢	$1	0xf1fdad…
03-25 15:49:03	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	1,290	0¢	$5	0xf8f811…
03-25 15:48:57	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	899	1¢	$7	0x04ff69…
03-25 15:48:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$4	0xcbdabd…
03-25 15:48:27	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	437	2¢	$7	0x063be5…
03-25 15:34:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x9dd958…
03-25 15:28:53	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	445	1¢	$5	0x75a9ea…
03-25 15:27:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$4	0x2d1c2b…
03-25 15:26:43	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	310	2¢	$5	0x7bcfa2…
03-25 15:26:27	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x166497…
03-25 15:26:15	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$3	0xbeccde…
03-25 15:26:07	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	278	1¢	$3	0x37e4c2…
03-24 15:08:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xef3350…
03-24 15:06:27	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	422	1¢	$4	0xe722c6…
03-24 15:06:01	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	126	3¢	$4	0x0ad9df…
03-24 15:05:45	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$5	0xd34879…
03-23 19:59:19	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	590	1¢	$7	0xf8fa0a…
03-23 19:58:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	SELL	3,365	0¢	$7	0x72ec8c…
03-23 16:03:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	BUY	2,652	0¢	$11	0x88d7e3…
03-23 13:52:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	BUY	712	1¢	$10	0x326761…
03-23 13:52:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	906	1¢	$10	0x8e3110…
03-23 13:17:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	906	1¢	$14	0x34578f…
03-23 13:17:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 23	Yes	SELL	1,277	0¢	$1	0x482197…
03-23 13:17:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	No	SELL	3,151	0¢	$3	0x992f26…
03-23 13:17:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	No	SELL	3,049	0¢	$9	0x0daf9b…
03-23 11:18:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	No	BUY	3,050	1¢	$30	0x0d23f1…
03-23 11:18:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	No	BUY	1,455	1¢	$8	0x3bf03a…