Realized P&L
-$147
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
1,977
Trades
5,387
lifetime
Volume
$4.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$6
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 11-01 03:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Other
51% 28% -$128
Crypto
18% 30% -$21
Politics
18% 53% +$23
Sports
10% 38% -$23
Tech
2% 48% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 29% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-06 05:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-05 00:36
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +7 $1 7¢ $0 $0 10-10 20:51
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 $0 10-22 10:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-04 13:43
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +1 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 10-12 01:58
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 $0 09-27 22:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +3 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 10-21 09:20
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 $0 09-27 16:49
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +1 $0 16¢ $0 +$0 10-13 15:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-20 22:55
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-02 23:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 10-03 11:52
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +1 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 10-10 21:25
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 10-04 13:42
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-18 02:38
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-04 15:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-12 16:01
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-23 20:35
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-19 12:09
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026 Yes +2 $0 6¢ $0 $0 09-28 00:51
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 09-28 07:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-20 00:16
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-22 09:48
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-14 20:05
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-07 01:49
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-08 23:22
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-03 16:25
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-28 21:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-06 01:55