Similar-Exasperation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$732

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

865

Trades

3,953

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-28 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

45% 34% -$161

Politics

30% 44% -$46

Crypto

18% 19% -$503

Sports

4% 12% -$10

Tech

3% 29% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	+293	$9	0¢	$0	-$9	10-27 21:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	+13	$12	0¢	$0	-$12	10-20 14:43
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	05-26 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	141	$761	3,340	3,340	+0	No	-$41	06-11 11:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	134	$607	2,389	2,439	-50	No	+$9	05-22 12:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	59	$343	881	881	+0	No	+$2	05-21 18:54
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	104	$320	334	334	+0	No	-$2	05-17 08:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	33	$313	772	772	+0	Yes	+$1	06-10 13:20
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	42	$289	20,000	7,085	+12,915	Yes	-$111	07-04 01:21
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	17	$184	339	339	+0	open	—	10-28 12:22
bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	16	$168	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$8	07-10 12:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	36	$168	599	586	+13	open	—	10-20 14:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	16	$136	436	436	+0	No	-$7	05-24 21:24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	21	$134	478	478	+0	open	—	07-03 04:30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October?	10	$131	307	81	+226	open	—	10-22 03:15
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	16	$129	400	400	+0	open	—	07-04 00:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	32	$126	417	417	+0	Yes	-$3	05-21 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$116	417	417	-0	No	+$2	07-01 07:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	9	$114	100	95	+5	open	—	10-21 16:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	11	$112	349	349	+0	No	+$3	06-10 13:04
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	15	$108	789	789	+0	open	—	10-13 19:03
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15	16	$107	518	518	+0	open	—	10-20 15:09
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	17	$104	457	457	+0	No	-$12	05-22 07:43
Counter-Strike: mellren vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group B	26	$103	103	103	+0	megoshort	-$2	09-26 13:28
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	18	$102	341	341	+0	No	+$0	06-10 15:18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	19	$101	545	545	+0	No	-$31	05-27 13:33
ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	8	$88	4,226	3,851	+375	Yes	+$3	07-02 08:35
ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	5	$82	8,000	190	+7,810	Yes	-$78	07-10 14:19
openai resumes training by october 5 2026	8	$80	80	80	+0	No	-$6	09-28 13:13
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	1	$80	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	-$80	07-10 16:00
ethereum above 1800 on july 10 2026	10	$80	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$80	07-10 15:54
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	38	$80	130	105	+25	Yes	-$12	05-20 20:17
manchester city punishment announced by december 4 2026	9	$80	80	80	+0	open	—	09-28 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:22:17	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xeec4ae…
10-28 10:14:08	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xeb7fec…
10-28 08:14:53	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x95c081…
10-27 21:53:36	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x976f42…
10-27 18:41:18	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0x8819bc…
10-27 18:41:18	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7955de…
10-27 18:41:17	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0x9d6303…
10-27 18:41:17	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x811009…
10-27 12:22:17	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xc363ac…
10-27 12:19:30	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x5366a9…
10-27 10:14:05	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xce6bb4…
10-26 20:16:38	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x462c62…
10-26 18:39:21	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x451486…
10-26 14:43:53	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xca170a…
10-26 13:32:20	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x029330…
10-26 12:59:26	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x2afae0…
10-26 12:22:14	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x2206d1…
10-26 10:03:00	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xcfe4a0…
10-25 20:58:51	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x87d76b…
10-25 20:16:35	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x68b7be…
10-25 19:20:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x934a68…
10-25 19:08:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x23bb2d…
10-25 19:07:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x794501…
10-25 19:02:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xc2b3ff…
10-25 18:41:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x048ec3…
10-25 18:07:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x0f636c…
10-25 17:35:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xc88eeb…
10-25 17:05:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x6ac12f…
10-25 17:00:05	Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x8fbb80…
10-25 16:35:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x9ddeb0…
10-25 12:22:12	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xc657ee…
10-24 21:32:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x0888de…
10-24 21:03:20	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa101e4…
10-24 20:46:14	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xe2732e…
10-24 18:42:42	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,115	1¢	$16	0x05f3e9…
10-24 15:38:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,347	1¢	$12	0x266c73…
10-24 15:04:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb92956…
10-24 11:58:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x8a127f…
10-24 11:52:18	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xde9c2c…
10-24 10:32:48	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xf1ae69…
10-24 10:02:18	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe8eac6…
10-24 09:38:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf7e742…
10-24 09:20:14	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x07872a…
10-24 08:41:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,563	1¢	$16	0x45b226…
10-24 03:25:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa22415…
10-24 01:13:33	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x6e90fc…
10-23 20:41:47	Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x56c05d…
10-23 20:24:59	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x21d5ab…
10-23 06:55:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa647b1…
10-23 02:38:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x1e9177…
10-23 02:37:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x85603e…
10-23 02:36:06	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xc9ef83…
10-23 02:32:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	70	9¢	$6	0x01887e…
10-22 22:59:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa902e1…
10-22 22:20:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x302ada…
10-22 21:07:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xd956f8…
10-22 20:16:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xe01ed8…
10-22 20:02:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x87d4d0…
10-22 19:27:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc09ec2…
10-22 19:13:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xef890e…
10-22 16:55:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xf446d8…
10-22 16:47:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?	No	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0xadaa04…
10-22 15:59:21	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf556f9…
10-22 13:58:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	49	13¢	$6	0xeeeebd…
10-22 13:57:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	32	12¢	$4	0x0a62ba…
10-22 13:57:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x1121a9…
10-22 13:56:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xed7ffd…
10-22 13:54:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x4d77fa…
10-22 13:30:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x3ccc21…
10-22 12:52:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xcec72b…
10-22 12:19:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in October?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0xaecdfe…
10-22 11:41:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xda8659…
10-22 10:43:20	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3b634a…
10-22 08:55:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x25ecac…
10-22 06:26:43	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0x7abe6e…
10-22 06:09:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xabeb02…
10-22 05:50:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$39	0xf08280…
10-22 03:15:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	226	25¢	$56	0x2d2f5b…
10-22 03:04:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	BUY	98	15¢	$15	0x2c2833…
10-22 03:04:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x48a394…
10-22 02:58:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0x4dcd02…
10-22 02:44:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8e00e7…
10-22 02:41:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x656d19…
10-22 01:59:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x72f8d3…
10-21 18:49:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	SELL	210	15¢	$32	0xa877e0…
10-21 18:49:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x20bd42…
10-21 17:34:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x840c9d…
10-21 17:20:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xb427b6…
10-21 16:46:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4c917c…
10-21 16:34:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x174ce3…
10-21 16:10:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	BUY	211	12¢	$25	0x7d448d…
10-21 16:09:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x7631ca…
10-21 15:41:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x6003a4…
10-21 15:32:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xda8363…
10-21 14:08:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xdf6131…
10-21 14:07:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xfc60b2…
10-21 13:56:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xdda97e…
10-21 13:39:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	BUY	81	40¢	$32	0x257414…
10-20 15:23:44	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf76fca…
10-20 15:13:36	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.50 in October?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xcc12e6…