Talkative-Bicycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

497

Trades

15,468

lifetime

Volume

$7.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-25 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

59% 21% -$278

Sports

20% 27% +$154

Politics

12% 19% -$57

Crypto

8% 6% -$84

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$7

Tech

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		-100	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	05-07 13:04
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?	Yes		+4	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-01 07:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	6	$2.1K	1,406	1,406	+0	No	$0	05-24 11:04
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$890	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$90	07-13 16:04
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	17	$620	1,360	1,360	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 12:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	17	$402	400	400	+0	No	-$6	05-24 10:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	141	$172	90,003	82,143	+7,860	No	-$8	05-26 07:10
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$143	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	06-23 06:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$143	2,700	2,700	+0	No	-$14	06-03 08:17
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	366	$101	43,114	34,987	+8,128	No	+$14	05-28 02:48
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	1	$100	149	0	+149	Diana Shnaider	-$100	06-03 13:25
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$84	100	0	+100	Yes	+$16	06-04 14:05
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	178	$76	42,105	33,203	+8,902	No	-$9	05-27 16:51
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$72	100	0	+100	Yes	+$28	06-08 20:35
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$67	100	0	+100	Yes	+$33	06-16 20:23
Will Lens win Coupe de France?	1	$52	70	0	+70	Yes	+$18	05-19 12:55
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	69	$46	25,926	19,926	+6,000	No	-$6	05-26 00:40
Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	8	$40	15,972	11,972	+4,000	No	+$8	05-23 02:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	111	$39	15,998	13,866	+2,132	No	+$7	05-23 14:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	111	$38	19,085	17,358	+1,728	No	+$0	05-26 12:24
Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2026 Men's French Open?	65	$37	27,626	9,267	+18,359	No	-$18	05-26 17:19
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	53	$33	16,000	12,000	+4,000	No	+$1	05-23 14:15
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	106	$29	17,988	9,483	+8,505	No	-$7	05-29 04:08
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	47	$28	14,000	14,000	+0	No	$0	05-22 07:47
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	144	$27	13,642	13,642	+0	No	$0	05-28 00:48
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?	97	$26	12,649	8,654	+3,995	No	+$1	05-20 00:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	365	$25	15,314	9,832	+5,482	No	-$5	05-31 20:50
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	112	$24	15,238	9,121	+6,117	No	-$6	05-27 16:18
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?	87	$24	12,137	12,137	+0	No	$0	05-27 18:10
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	64	$24	15,804	7,804	+8,000	No	-$8	05-24 07:42
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	129	$23	11,550	11,550	+0	No	$0	05-27 18:25
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	154	$23	13,317	9,316	+4,001	No	-$4	05-27 02:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 23:49:12	Will Morgan Rogers win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	770	0¢	$1	0x015b90…
08-12 20:42:52	Will Morgan Rogers win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$0	0xa1f539…
07-13 16:04:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,800	18¢	$490	0xf34e4f…
07-05 09:40:28	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x0fd864…
07-05 09:40:19	Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x462d44…
07-02 00:15:52	Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	924	0¢	$1	0x798b7b…
06-29 07:01:44	Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd527d1…
06-27 13:50:40	Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	725	0¢	$1	0x8ece6a…
06-25 10:05:37	Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x958b3a…
06-24 02:16:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,800	14¢	$400	0xbe4d70…
06-23 20:44:01	Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	679	0¢	$1	0x685a8c…
06-23 06:31:56	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x0ceae6…
06-22 21:56:34	Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x00f428…
06-22 19:44:05	Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	943	0¢	$1	0x407c6d…
06-22 16:23:04	Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	304	0¢	$0	0xffbad5…
06-21 22:02:50	Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	482	0¢	$0	0xdbaa3a…
06-20 09:44:55	Will Morgan Rogers win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x3e7735…
06-16 20:23:14	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xf76379…
06-10 23:17:25	Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	342	0¢	$0	0x3b0120…
06-09 15:58:09	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x6b83b4…
06-08 20:35:28	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x166de9…
06-08 18:43:13	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xa8e837…
06-06 16:12:09	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	68¢	$53	0xcd7452…
06-06 04:29:58	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x08c009…
06-05 13:54:54	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x07d358…
06-04 22:28:31	Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x30c341…
06-04 21:34:22	Will Orinats Yerkir win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	855	0¢	$1	0x7566f9…
06-04 17:12:01	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x181660…
06-04 14:52:27	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x04a5d8…
06-04 14:50:54	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xdc3979…
06-04 14:33:51	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3fd689…
06-04 14:05:49	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x7e8181…
06-04 09:26:06	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	146	0¢	$0	0xd78275…
06-03 13:56:48	Will Kim Do-eup win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	259	0¢	$0	0xe3b4ec…
06-03 13:56:48	Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	628	0¢	$1	0xb6ef29…
06-03 13:56:48	Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f89d0…
06-03 13:56:48	Will Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x318300…
06-03 13:25:08	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa76de0…
06-03 08:17:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$8	0xe11409…
06-03 02:41:25	Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	2,299	0¢	$2	0x8bcf99…
06-02 12:42:30	Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	1,710	0¢	$2	0x72d9ee…
06-02 12:18:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0x026965…
06-02 11:47:51	Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x57b6a7…
06-01 21:32:23	Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x1ceef3…
06-01 18:39:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x432eb4…
06-01 17:56:21	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9ced0f…
06-01 17:35:30	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xedc239…
06-01 17:30:27	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xfe4db8…
06-01 17:27:23	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x814963…
06-01 17:23:39	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf879d7…
06-01 17:03:25	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xaa04e3…
06-01 16:59:53	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6539d2…
06-01 15:10:55	Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x3f21e2…
06-01 13:28:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	28¢	$57	0x2a41a5…
06-01 13:26:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x348cbb…
06-01 13:03:33	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x2c8e32…
06-01 09:14:05	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	Yes	SELL	564	0¢	$1	0xe7a41f…
06-01 08:42:18	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x3202f1…
06-01 08:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xcf5b77…
06-01 08:38:01	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xded9bc…
06-01 07:36:26	Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x091679…
06-01 05:00:54	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x44e09d…
06-01 04:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc71680…
06-01 04:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x43c07f…
06-01 03:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xda4c4e…
06-01 03:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x656c61…
06-01 03:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb52af7…
06-01 03:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8cd9e9…
06-01 03:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd931e4…
06-01 03:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaaf23a…
06-01 03:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xafec4e…
06-01 03:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x400e26…
06-01 03:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb6b96d…
06-01 03:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xac39cb…
06-01 03:37:11	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdeb838…
06-01 03:37:11	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbc5b5a…
06-01 03:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6521e7…
06-01 03:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x34672b…
06-01 03:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf06ee9…
06-01 03:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2a096f…
06-01 03:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x71ce89…
06-01 03:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5dea0c…
06-01 03:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa456b5…
06-01 03:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x98a00a…
06-01 02:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xebb223…
06-01 02:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8b39e3…
06-01 02:38:56	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	SELL	983	0¢	$1	0xc9b526…
06-01 02:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4d8cb2…
06-01 02:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x423649…
06-01 02:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9ec03f…
06-01 02:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4fa3d5…
06-01 02:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xeda5fc…
06-01 02:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5b041d…
06-01 02:25:12	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfe2c84…
06-01 02:25:12	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x468524…
06-01 02:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xda194c…
06-01 02:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6dad73…
06-01 02:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd80d1e…
06-01 02:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2ccb1d…
06-01 02:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd3fb74…