Exotic-Providence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

325

Trades

661

lifetime

Volume

$8.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

77% 85% -$22

Crypto

18% 84% +$0

Politics

4% 71% +$0

Sports

1% 57% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	$0	10-27 05:07
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	$0	09-20 20:35
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+3	$3	96¢	$2	$0	08-14 18:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	5	$91	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:21
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 6?	6	$91	46	46	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:59
highest temperature in lagos on april 16 2026 30c	3	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	04-16 15:31
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?	4	$74	48	27	+21	No	+$0	05-22 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-12 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	5	$69	40	29	+10	No	+$0	05-07 07:27
bitcoin above 60k on march 29	1	$67	67	0	+67	Yes	+$0	03-29 05:12
bitcoin above 72k on march 28	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	03-28 02:48
zelenskyy of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 200plus	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	03-27 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 10?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 23:51
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 00:11
highest temperature in nyc on april 6 2026 66forhigher	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-06 03:39
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-16 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 12?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-11 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 20:50
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 26 2026 20c	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	03-26 09:20
Will Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-15 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-17 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 7?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-07 05:09
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	03-30 04:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 20?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-19 21:58
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 13?	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 19:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	7	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-07 05:51
Will Alexander Gaasserud be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-12 09:07
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-21 05:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-18 18:45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 14?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-13 19:12
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on May 6?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-06 14:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on May 15?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-14 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:07:21	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf29e68…
10-10 07:17:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x887bac…
10-10 07:16:34	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xe92c00…
10-03 02:27:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cb69b…
09-20 20:35:10	Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ef8cf…
09-19 21:25:59	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x746005…
09-12 23:35:24	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa06a2b…
09-12 23:34:09	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbd033a…
09-12 23:32:54	Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9b28e6…
09-12 23:31:37	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdb0a15…
09-12 23:30:22	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x310787…
09-12 23:29:07	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb0db12…
09-12 23:27:52	Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc3e1f7…
09-12 23:26:39	Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xa593d0…
09-11 15:11:09	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0ed856…
09-07 16:00:13	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88c6b4…
08-28 19:13:28	Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x52ee0b…
08-14 18:27:21	Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xee2415…
08-10 19:11:51	Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1b13a7…
07-30 07:10:20	Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc16c7c…
07-28 01:52:03	Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x216701…
07-25 08:29:13	Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1416ca…
07-25 08:28:19	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd46d17…
07-23 07:37:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b5b85…
07-19 09:11:58	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5bf754…
07-12 20:08:04	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf7f6ec…
07-04 22:39:46	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66171e…
06-30 01:17:44	Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x4039a4…
06-27 06:22:17	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8439e3…
06-23 11:40:07	Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aa0f8…
06-19 10:50:07	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x143d6c…
05-24 20:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 22?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xcc7083…
05-22 15:01:43	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xca60eb…
05-22 15:01:43	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7f54c9…
05-21 14:57:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5d6ef0…
05-21 12:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x890f64…
05-21 08:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x048ef7…
05-21 08:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x813c0b…
05-21 08:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x698211…
05-21 05:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe7d157…
05-21 04:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa98418…
05-21 03:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7ccd28…
05-21 02:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x753ac6…
05-21 01:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe5fd6b…
05-21 01:41:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe96030…
05-21 01:38:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 21?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfed593…
05-21 00:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8bffbc…
05-20 20:14:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x87486d…
05-20 18:38:59	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5ebde6…
05-20 15:15:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 21?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe08d44…
05-20 11:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe4bc7b…
05-20 11:19:21	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6cbce1…
05-20 10:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 21?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xca0ab7…
05-20 10:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 21?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x881fd9…
05-20 07:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x13dc0d…
05-20 04:57:18	Will DetonatioN FocusMe qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7808af…
05-20 03:51:53	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x52fcba…
05-19 22:25:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x43da6a…
05-19 21:58:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x09046f…
05-19 21:46:53	Will DetonatioN FocusMe qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf98429…
05-19 19:53:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x087fdb…
05-19 19:36:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdd9ce9…
05-19 19:25:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd1eda9…
05-19 18:21:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x34b8ac…
05-19 17:52:49	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbda71d…
05-19 17:06:50	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x73a170…
05-19 16:10:36	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 19?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x315d43…
05-19 16:09:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x38445c…
05-19 16:07:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5208f6…
05-19 14:42:20	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda7b34…
05-19 12:16:11	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeac7b3…
05-19 11:13:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe8618d…
05-19 09:12:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8e0e87…
05-19 07:50:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x520f6b…
05-19 04:54:48	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfb8eff…
05-19 03:42:00	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc7931f…
05-19 01:31:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x13fccf…
05-19 01:30:22	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x05465f…
05-19 00:39:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x90e241…
05-19 00:34:08	Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb15c2a…
05-18 20:52:37	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x13d39e…
05-18 20:02:31	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe8f265…
05-18 18:47:09	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x209972…
05-18 18:45:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0xf00b81…
05-18 17:42:31	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x686578…
05-18 16:29:30	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6ae060…
05-18 14:52:37	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaf82c5…
05-18 13:58:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xa6ac9b…
05-18 09:20:19	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4ee36d…
05-18 07:31:46	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x957d93…
05-18 06:58:27	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfde4f0…
05-18 02:25:22	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x206e0e…
05-18 00:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or below on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x999bfb…
05-18 00:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or below on May 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdfd921…
05-18 00:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or below on May 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x11e523…
05-18 00:01:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 18?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc48bfe…
05-17 23:58:36	Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdcc115…
05-17 22:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x71df3f…
05-17 19:34:26	Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2927d…
05-17 18:36:38	Will William Lillich be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb571b8…