Unacceptable-Lunchroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

444

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

76% 80% +$2

Crypto

17% 85% +$1

Politics

5% 57% $0

Sports

1% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	5	$119	61	58	+4	No	$0	07-26 04:42
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-19 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	3	$69	40	29	+11	No	+$0	07-10 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 27?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 03:56
abu musa island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720011758215	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-30 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 25?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-24 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 25?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 11?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-10 22:06
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-31 01:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-28 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on July 25?	6	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 30?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-29 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 26?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 08:13
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$0	02-04 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-11 21:13
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C or higher on July 26?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 26?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-26 11:10
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:56
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	10-13 03:55
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 23?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-22 22:22
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-19 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 21?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 09:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-22 14:06
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	6	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-02 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x76260d…
10-18 18:18:02	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x90439e…
10-13 03:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x70ec06…
10-13 03:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x853e9e…
10-12 23:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb87eb…
10-12 23:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x767f7b…
10-12 09:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0dfae5…
10-12 09:17:37	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1f7a31…
10-12 07:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x88a139…
10-12 04:31:02	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4ec4b8…
10-10 06:41:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6c13df…
10-10 04:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf9fa0…
10-05 09:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50a4ee…
10-02 02:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbc722c…
10-01 23:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x22f438…
10-01 04:14:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x8760b3…
09-28 04:08:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2cae3f…
09-27 20:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9faad9…
09-23 11:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc25f8b…
09-23 01:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x40a7bf…
09-22 23:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bab86…
09-22 17:08:12	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 62.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf5f9b1…
09-22 16:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa3fae5…
09-21 23:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa6606e…
09-18 21:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdd42ae…
09-18 01:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6086aa…
09-13 04:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0b99c…
09-11 21:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x13475b…
09-11 21:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x50f5ef…
09-11 02:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x39ea65…
09-10 20:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x524241…
09-07 14:09:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe1a40b…
09-06 16:03:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50d7f1…
09-06 14:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xdbb80c…
09-06 01:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf9e823…
09-05 06:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xd99d8a…
09-05 00:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6fbafd…
09-04 21:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbb8da8…
09-04 18:18:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x7bbd54…
09-04 15:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x16c06c…
09-04 01:19:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf6a8e7…
09-03 15:36:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x26e81a…
09-03 09:25:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33780a…
09-03 04:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2af6b7…
09-02 15:21:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x78bd95…
09-02 10:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfad114…
09-02 06:38:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x686229…
09-01 13:22:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x603942…
09-01 12:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd24c6f…
09-01 04:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe54d62…
08-31 14:56:36	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd2df6b…
08-30 23:00:10	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa993fb…
08-30 18:44:25	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe175e0…
08-30 15:09:58	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe3c747…
08-30 05:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1622b…
08-29 23:10:57	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6a143…
08-29 09:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4f8521…
08-28 18:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x137266…
08-28 07:59:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x501297…
08-27 09:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfbcaa4…
08-27 04:10:37	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x31f7bb…
08-26 23:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa6923a…
08-26 21:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcd5233…
08-26 16:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xffbfcc…
08-25 13:04:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x522d50…
08-25 11:24:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x65c874…
08-25 07:31:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf48502…
08-24 21:47:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xdd557d…
08-24 15:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x132b36…
08-24 11:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x30a67d…
08-24 06:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4fc8a…
08-24 04:04:30	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9a1738…
08-23 19:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa13584…
08-23 16:01:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6998b5…
08-14 09:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcf7a10…
08-13 18:44:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88bbb9…
08-13 15:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb458c9…
08-13 10:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x85c6c0…
08-13 07:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbd39b0…
08-12 21:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1e600d…
08-12 05:49:24	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x3ba9d8…
08-12 03:21:42	solana above 70 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x855bac…
08-12 00:04:01	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcfd3d5…
08-11 13:49:54	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8bf6d…
08-10 22:25:42	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe3392f…
08-10 19:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ea3de…
08-10 13:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x03b167…
08-10 12:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x26f265…
08-09 12:11:51	Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x099f24…
08-09 06:49:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2155d9…
08-09 04:14:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x482fc9…
08-09 03:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1d2396…
08-08 17:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x0e2078…
08-08 05:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf9ccb1…
08-08 03:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd885fd…
08-08 00:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x135c74…
08-07 16:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb34615…
08-07 12:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xeaa651…
08-07 08:09:58	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5247f8…
08-06 09:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x29762a…