Scrawny-Codepage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

439

Trades

847

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

75% 79% -$6

Crypto

19% 79% +$1

Politics

4% 61% +$0

Tech

2% 75% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	5	$181	91	91	+0	No	$0	07-21 22:53
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	6	$126	63	63	+0	No	+$0	07-31 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-20 21:51
will fisa section 702 be reauthorized by july 31 20260612193737259	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:50
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-20 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 24?	4	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 29?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-28 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 19?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?	5	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-10 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 10:36
ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 25?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 24?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 16:54
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	10-13 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 20?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 23:31
ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 26?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 16:58
will xauusd reach 4250 by july 20 2026	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 13:51
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-30 17:11
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-26 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 21?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-21 09:33
xrp above 1pt2 on july 29 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-29 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 29?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-29 03:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	04-30 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on July 10?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 11:06
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-29 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-29 09:47
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 08:22
highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 16corhigher	7	$53	34	19	+15	No	+$0	04-22 06:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	10-12 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x57c932…
10-18 19:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x58ae7a…
10-16 09:05:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x873015…
10-13 12:18:58	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcd47e2…
10-13 11:50:22	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe6ce54…
10-13 11:50:22	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x151766…
10-13 08:14:43	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xecfd14…
10-13 03:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xea769a…
10-12 07:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x84f4a8…
10-12 07:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf8dcc6…
10-12 06:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe28baf…
10-12 05:20:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x25e617…
10-12 04:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x84e20e…
10-10 08:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x49ce68…
10-07 18:42:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x08224a…
10-05 12:41:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x15975b…
10-02 00:28:59	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8c4a11…
10-01 21:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x80157c…
10-01 05:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on October 1?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xba155c…
09-28 05:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb9b4a…
09-27 22:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x473546…
09-23 02:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdf7c90…
09-23 01:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcfcd86…
09-23 00:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe647b4…
09-22 22:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x46c341…
09-22 18:55:30	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x721ab7…
09-21 22:32:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbb85cb…
09-18 16:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2e1d68…
09-18 01:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9849f4…
09-17 12:16:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x164d1d…
09-13 05:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4dc0bd…
09-11 22:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5ed5f9…
09-11 02:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04f3f0…
09-10 20:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb9500c…
09-07 14:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x651f20…
09-06 15:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb364b9…
09-06 06:32:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5797a9…
09-06 00:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf398bc…
09-05 07:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f35c6…
09-05 02:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x571d7d…
09-04 22:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x58951f…
09-04 14:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfdf0cf…
09-04 12:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x44910f…
09-04 02:15:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x14e12b…
09-03 19:53:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x74f427…
09-03 06:35:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfe5f90…
09-03 04:09:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4cf176…
09-02 20:59:49	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xf8be15…
09-02 12:06:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa09826…
09-02 08:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x737cdf…
09-02 00:20:25	Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc91577…
09-01 07:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c5d12…
09-01 03:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x439f8a…
08-31 03:53:30	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd4d44a…
08-30 22:50:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x014637…
08-30 19:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc3480e…
08-30 10:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x14da78…
08-30 00:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc7aa6…
08-29 17:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9a1a3e…
08-29 07:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe048a0…
08-29 01:01:42	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 28 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x644e77…
08-28 11:20:19	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x35a51c…
08-27 10:03:27	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe6f477…
08-27 05:50:57	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa60ac1…
08-26 23:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x23f4cb…
08-26 18:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe2b43c…
08-26 10:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x25b66b…
08-26 03:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd76cae…
08-25 12:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0e1e88…
08-25 03:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5de643…
08-25 00:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04b937…
08-24 19:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3a605d…
08-24 07:48:55	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x529e19…
08-24 05:50:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5b71f6…
08-23 21:52:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4a3e89…
08-14 15:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x700ca0…
08-14 08:13:52	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5c750e…
08-13 18:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x60e6e8…
08-13 16:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9bda17…
08-13 09:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6d8090…
08-12 23:25:39	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa0c03d…
08-12 22:56:46	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 12	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd1912…
08-12 22:47:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x740956…
08-12 06:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x376a53…
08-12 00:17:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd5f78e…
08-11 22:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbde691…
08-11 13:55:07	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x006988…
08-10 22:23:21	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b2dba…
08-10 19:23:06	Will Rebecca Kleefisch win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd0ef7a…
08-10 13:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1d5d4e…
08-10 11:43:27	xrp above 1pt3 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x204644…
08-09 11:59:01	bitcoin above 66k on august 9 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xced50a…
08-09 06:55:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1d550b…
08-09 06:49:22	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0ec5b7…
08-09 02:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d2150…
08-09 01:13:45	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x35e206…
08-08 06:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8d4c14…
08-08 06:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26615f…
08-07 21:25:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x990ee6…
08-07 17:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3ef1d9…