Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$141
$683 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$5,029
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 19:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $0 | $123 | $123 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 6 | — | $87 | $87 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $14 | $14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | +26 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 05-09 04:49 |
| Tangible-Speech 0x568f…63a1 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| Untrue-Service 0xeb8a…ed2b | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 19:22 |
| Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 06:34 |
| Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-09 00:25 |
| Miniature-Dentist 0x7215…7301 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-09 18:46 |
| Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 18:21 |
| Optimal-Scrap 0x271d…78dc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 17:09 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 03:25 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 07:04 |
| Soggy-Rotation 0xbf48…e542 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:41 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 19:22:26 | Untrue-Service 0xeb8a…ed2b | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x28a51c… |
| 05-09 18:46:26 | Miniature-Dentist 0x7215…7301 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xcbc925… |
| 05-09 18:21:55 | Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x654542… |
| 05-09 18:20:29 | Soggy-Rotation 0xbf48…e542 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf1b620… |
| 05-09 17:24:17 | Tangible-Speech 0x568f…63a1 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x6daf79… |
| 05-09 17:09:50 | Optimal-Scrap 0x271d…78dc | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x21c3e3… |
| 05-09 07:04:52 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa414b9… |
| 05-09 07:04:52 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6cfdad… |
| 05-09 07:04:47 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5f534f… |
| 05-09 04:49:55 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf503fe… |
| 05-09 04:49:30 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x863c26… |
| 05-09 04:24:44 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x40f58b… |
| 05-09 03:25:35 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb022b0… |
| 05-09 03:25:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xaa235d… |
| 05-09 03:25:13 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f1c89… |
| 05-09 03:24:50 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb3de43… |
| 05-09 03:24:29 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x137c9d… |
| 05-09 00:25:12 | Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xce9f04… |
| 05-08 19:41:43 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60d6d4… |
| 05-08 19:41:43 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcdffa6… |
| 05-08 06:34:04 | Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xa430ad… |
| 05-08 06:30:07 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xffe1d0… |