Defiant-North — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,908

lifetime

Volume

$8.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 05-30 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$0

Crypto

33% 95% $-2

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	$-0	06-10 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-08 20:22
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-08 20:58
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-08 22:50
will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by 15 or more	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-08 20:19
will bangladesh jamaat e islami bji win the bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3 and 6	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-08 20:18
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3 and 6 783	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 05:09
highest temperature in madrid on march 20 2026 21c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 14:41
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 45forbelow	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-11 19:40
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by between 0 and 3 316	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-08 20:17
highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 6corbelow	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 00:37
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 23c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 04:30
will madhav kumar nepal be the next prime minister of nepal 443	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 05:12
highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 18corhigher	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 14:48
ethereum above 2300 on april 3	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:52
will bitcoin dip to 64k on april 4	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 21:37
highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 23corhigher	3	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 06:01
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 43corhigher	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 11:03
highest temperature in lucknow on march 27 2026 42corhigher	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 03:23
highest temperature in houston on april 1 2026 96forhigher	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-01 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on April 25?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 00:02
highest temperature in paris on march 24 2026 21c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-24 13:55
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 20 2026 18c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 25?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 00:02
will rabi lamichhane be the next prime minister of nepal 993	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 01:06
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 31c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 07:07
will pushpa kamal dahal prachanda be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-13 04:33
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 7c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 01:18
highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 74 75f	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 03:36
nya up or down on march 24 2026	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-24 20:03
egy1 eis gem 2026 03 02 spread home 2pt5	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-02 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:04:42	Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd64b43…
05-30 16:25:38	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0aef85…
05-20 05:41:40	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xefe6e9…
05-14 06:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7b6fa…
05-14 06:41:35	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa8c8af…
05-14 03:00:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3645c…
05-14 02:52:17	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84f777…
05-14 01:43:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3dbce1…
05-13 23:09:23	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2dbc2c…
05-13 22:48:27	Will Solana reach $100 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x22d623…
05-13 22:18:07	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8197ea…
05-13 20:44:17	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x824df1…
05-13 12:40:52	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee992d…
05-13 02:23:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3de870…
05-13 02:23:44	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6481f2…
05-13 01:22:13	Will Solana reach $100 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7efc3…
05-12 19:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12fef3…
05-12 19:00:14	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7fcab6…
05-12 18:16:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c6f75…
05-12 06:41:05	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b5586…
05-12 03:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29b187…
05-11 23:25:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9b2d2d…
05-11 22:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x93d334…
05-11 19:06:11	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfb568f…
05-11 17:17:06	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd3089…
05-11 09:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd0cf22…
05-11 07:54:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f4924…
05-10 14:41:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f8e2a…
05-10 09:57:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda525f…
05-10 02:43:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54dba5…
05-10 02:30:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95af72…
05-09 19:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x454fbf…
05-09 07:07:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5635b…
05-09 06:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9521ac…
05-09 04:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x050772…
05-09 03:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f8ecd…
05-09 00:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbd3a3…
05-09 00:21:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bb16d…
05-08 21:58:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf02e2b…
05-08 07:46:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0cb75…
05-08 04:47:05	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe165e8…
05-08 04:47:05	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30790a…
05-08 03:01:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xada46c…
05-08 02:58:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5e990…
05-08 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55b342…
05-08 02:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12ee72…
05-08 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc32eac…
05-07 23:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ceb5d…
05-07 20:42:27	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x261564…
05-07 20:12:36	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ff9fa…
05-07 20:10:01	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9ecf9…
05-07 18:31:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf93d75…
05-07 03:31:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa12fc…
05-07 02:50:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc82a41…
05-07 02:50:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4cb76…
05-07 00:14:00	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe985e2…
05-06 21:02:58	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4812bb…
05-06 20:57:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5ce38…
05-06 20:56:36	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1909c…
05-06 19:41:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05adc3…
05-06 19:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd01a69…
05-06 18:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcee680…
05-06 18:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x986f4d…
05-06 18:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5747ec…
05-06 17:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd243da…
05-06 13:54:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6e1958…
05-06 13:54:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x032153…
05-06 07:15:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ce95d…
05-06 00:03:48	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa949e4…
05-05 22:53:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x975191…
05-05 20:37:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88f479…
05-05 13:49:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x885de0…
05-05 13:10:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ab4a2…
05-05 03:58:26	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb8f56…
05-05 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0b847…
05-05 00:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7378c4…
05-04 20:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x473b33…
05-04 16:31:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53c290…
05-04 06:45:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd07a42…
05-04 06:45:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x786d03…
05-04 01:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x103bc6…
05-04 01:28:00	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0c860…
05-03 22:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbcf98…
05-03 21:33:22	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6aa165…
05-03 18:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a62f0…
05-03 18:26:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10efad…
05-03 11:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4cbd83…
05-02 20:17:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49d593…
05-02 17:58:04	Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae23bf…
05-02 17:49:20	Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64811b…
05-02 15:19:42	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a4898…
05-02 08:22:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e0558…
05-02 05:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0fa94…
05-02 04:20:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c6c2f…
05-02 03:53:34	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdfee3…
05-02 02:31:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0342c9…
05-02 01:10:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43945f…
05-01 23:33:04	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $292 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57f7c4…
05-01 21:14:34	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30026f…
05-01 20:51:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ee982…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	703	$712	3,212	05-14 02:02
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	502	$55.0K	7,572	04-28 10:21
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	450	$40.0K	20,269	04-26 22:16
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	445	$23.4K	2,850	04-27 20:02
Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44	437	$716	6,717	05-13 01:23
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	411	$532	1,191	04-27 23:17
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	376	$55.6K	8,682	04-09 19:44
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	335	$1.56K	2,709	05-13 20:13