Parched-Color — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

6,880

Trades

27,989

lifetime

Volume

$10.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

$13.0K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Other

93% 100% +$12,092

Crypto

7% 95% +$3,768

Politics

0% 83% -$59

Sports

0% 67% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+7,899	$7,828	99¢	$7.8K	+$4	10-22 09:49
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,314	$3,278	99¢	$3.3K	+$1	10-22 09:51
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	+1,500	$1,490	100¢	$1.5K	+$5	10-22 09:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	+389	$385	99¢	$384	-$1	10-22 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	71	$44.3K	22,228	22,222	+6	No	+$82	04-25 16:01
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	18	$41.8K	42,000	0	+42,000	No	+$208	02-18 12:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	45	$25.9K	13,010	13,009	+1	Yes	-$72	01-30 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	36	$25.5K	25,553	0	+25,553	No	+$26	06-29 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	2	$24.5K	24,554	0	+24,554	Yes	+$28	05-12 07:37
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	11	$24.1K	12,167	12,167	+0	No	+$134	02-14 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	9	$23.5K	23,527	0	+23,527	Yes	+$25	06-07 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?	16	$22.9K	22,913	0	+22,913	No	+$48	05-30 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?	5	$22.2K	22,220	0	+22,220	No	+$22	06-18 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	30	$21.9K	21,923	0	+21,923	No	+$23	05-14 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?	7	$21.4K	16,889	4,499	+12,390	No	+$12	06-16 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on June 30?	14	$21.1K	21,137	0	+21,137	No	+$21	06-29 23:04
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	9	$20.7K	10,394	10,394	+0	No	+$97	01-31 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?	9	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$20	05-05 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on June 26?	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$20	06-27 08:59
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	10	$20.0K	10,150	10,000	+150	No	+$9	01-31 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	26	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$37	04-29 09:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on June 30?	21	$19.1K	19,100	0	+19,100	No	+$19	06-30 16:51
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	9	$18.3K	18,500	0	+18,500	No	+$180	01-24 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?	18	$17.9K	17,903	0	+17,903	No	+$18	06-17 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?	13	$17.8K	17,814	0	+17,814	No	+$19	05-15 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?	27	$17.8K	17,817	0	+17,817	No	+$31	05-09 11:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?	1	$17.8K	17,774	0	+17,774	Yes	+$19	06-04 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 1?	2	$17.1K	17,114	0	+17,114	No	+$17	07-01 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?	27	$17.0K	17,014	0	+17,014	No	+$17	06-12 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	28	$16.9K	16,900	0	+16,900	No	+$17	05-25 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?	20	$16.7K	16,688	0	+16,688	No	+$17	05-11 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?	22	$16.5K	16,530	0	+16,530	No	+$17	05-11 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	21	$16.5K	16,486	0	+16,486	No	+$16	06-03 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?	10	$16.1K	16,080	0	+16,080	No	+$19	07-18 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 09:53:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,490	0x923ea7…
10-22 09:52:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	389	99¢	$385	0x2701fd…
10-22 09:51:12	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,798	99¢	$2,767	0x3f663a…
10-22 09:51:11	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	516	99¢	$511	0xaf910f…
10-22 09:49:23	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,899	99¢	$7,828	0xa17724…
08-13 21:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	3,299	100¢	$3,295	0xd63bf8…
08-13 21:00:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc51bfb…
08-13 20:59:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0ee899…
08-13 20:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x029159…
08-13 20:58:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x994504…
08-13 20:58:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x673a7e…
08-13 20:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xfc4b36…
08-13 20:50:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x7a4ff5…
08-13 20:49:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7be9e6…
08-13 20:48:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1,594	100¢	$1,593	0x1123c0…
08-13 20:45:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xd629b3…
08-13 20:40:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x9660bc…
08-13 20:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x0c7d19…
08-13 20:28:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf5f05e…
08-13 20:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1,445	100¢	$1,443	0x8768de…
08-13 20:24:03	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 14?	No	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0xc8ce87…
08-13 20:23:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6bf5a4…
08-13 20:22:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x424f39…
08-13 20:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	798	100¢	$797	0x25bd60…
08-13 20:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 13?	No	BUY	2,187	100¢	$2,184	0x908989…
08-13 20:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 13?	No	BUY	1,782	100¢	$1,780	0xec2bc6…
08-13 20:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x3ca40e…
08-13 19:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	4,768	100¢	$4,763	0x756514…
08-13 19:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc6010d…
08-13 19:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3271a…
08-13 19:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd20779…
08-13 19:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x874cec…
08-13 18:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9a5109…
08-13 18:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8b680a…
08-13 17:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fff7a…
08-13 17:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9a8541…
08-13 17:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81065f…
08-13 17:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x6c3c86…
08-13 17:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x48bf23…
08-13 16:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$502	0x016360…
08-13 16:42:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa1990f…
08-13 16:42:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0xad2758…
08-13 16:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x70e373…
08-13 16:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	3,831	100¢	$3,827	0x921d97…
08-12 05:11:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x373fa7…
08-12 01:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x462d79…
08-11 20:49:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	BUY	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0xe9e89f…
08-11 20:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 11?	No	BUY	779	100¢	$778	0x6181f5…
08-11 20:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on August 12?	No	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0x93b4b9…
08-11 20:40:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,095	0xa2e480…
08-11 20:40:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,142	0x3f4099…
08-11 09:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	7,516	100¢	$7,507	0xf5b411…
08-11 09:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9445fc…
08-11 08:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x62a42e…
08-11 08:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf8ff62…
08-11 08:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xffec42…
08-11 08:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xbb4092…
08-11 08:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47336c…
08-11 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x326137…
08-11 07:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xdf618b…
08-11 07:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc176a3…
08-11 07:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	520	100¢	$520	0xd5a5b7…
08-11 07:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x75d238…
08-11 07:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa9815d…
08-11 07:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x131393…
08-11 07:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	960	100¢	$959	0x5bbe56…
08-11 07:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e3673…
08-11 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x1b8bcf…
08-11 07:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1,427	100¢	$1,426	0xaa4450…
08-11 07:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb3170f…
08-11 07:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,129	0x934f36…
08-11 07:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	4,996	100¢	$4,991	0xe71267…
08-10 19:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x994fed…
08-10 19:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x7a4275…
08-10 18:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x576730…
08-10 17:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x61ba51…
08-10 16:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x947d54…
08-10 16:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0xbd5c67…
08-10 16:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87a998…
08-10 16:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x68f3ed…
08-10 16:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8ffe39…
08-10 16:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc16f5b…
08-10 15:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd95733…
08-10 15:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x936963…
08-10 15:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x00df96…
08-10 15:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa439ed…
08-10 14:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0xf1aed3…
08-10 14:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x14e63b…
08-10 14:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x61c93f…
08-10 14:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xebb839…
08-10 13:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x648b87…
08-10 13:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e243b…
08-10 13:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb26bdd…
08-10 13:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcaddd5…
08-10 13:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc584ff…
08-10 12:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8f2e1…
08-10 12:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xcc9eef…
08-10 12:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x99273c…
08-10 12:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x27d3d0…
08-10 11:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xca769c…