Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$344
$1,325 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$2,522
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 15:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $229 | $229 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $2 | $96 | $94 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $166 | $166 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $68 | $68 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $30 | $29 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $15 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $43 | $42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +125 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 05-13 05:38 |
| Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-14 04:09 |
| Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:18 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 23:47 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:17 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-14 00:12 |
| Impure-Abolishment 0x390b…b6e9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 13:39 |
| Thorough-Gossip 0x66ca…3637 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 11:43 |
| Damaged-Candidate 0xf4dc…48d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 04:17 |
| Terrible-Differential 0x7ad4…ba73 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:41 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 15:38 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 15:38 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:09 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:59 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 08:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 15:43:28 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 740 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x6759f6… |
| 05-14 15:38:33 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xef778a… |
| 05-14 15:38:33 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x59b508… |
| 05-14 14:41:16 | Terrible-Differential 0x7ad4…ba73 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x09fc5a… |
| 05-14 13:39:31 | Impure-Abolishment 0x390b…b6e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6656dc… |
| 05-14 12:40:31 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b0eac… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x25262b… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6ecd37… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x680291… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61cb76… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70c5a4… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b4837… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1678e… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x176075… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35ed92… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x24fa4d… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf0267… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1300fc… |
| 05-14 04:40:34 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x7c7994… |
| 05-14 04:09:57 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x697201… |
| 05-14 04:09:53 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3a1c4c… |
| 05-14 00:12:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf2edcb… |
| 05-14 00:04:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5d1c75… |
| 05-14 00:04:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4c8951… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd9dbe4… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd60102… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x36ed22… |
| 05-13 22:18:10 | Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x810b6e… |
| 05-13 20:59:11 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x173599… |
| 05-13 11:43:02 | Thorough-Gossip 0x66ca…3637 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x972079… |
| 05-13 08:55:02 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x9f5050… |
| 05-13 05:38:18 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 125 | 95¢ | $119 | 0x201620… |
| 05-13 04:17:10 | Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf92942… |
| 05-13 04:17:10 | Damaged-Candidate 0xf4dc…48d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaa71ba… |