Thorough-Gossip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$325

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

6,675

Trades

12,278

lifetime

Volume

$66.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-07 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 90% +$535

Other

8% 65% -$18

Sports

4% 58% -$270

Politics

4% 77% +$173

Tech

1% 68% -$95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	14	$433	265	265	+0	Yes	+$93	04-10 10:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 22:30 UTC	18	$339	181	181	+0	Up	+$20	06-26 22:44
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	18	$279	301	301	+0	No	+$21	05-22 01:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 13:45 UTC	15	$237	274	0	+274	Down	+$37	06-27 13:59
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	13	$229	176	176	+0	Yes	+$47	04-09 03:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 07:30 UTC	9	$194	220	0	+220	Up	+$26	06-27 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 05:30 UTC	15	$184	212	0	+212	Up	+$28	06-27 05:39
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	2	$183	96	96	+0	Yes	+$10	04-09 11:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$167	87	87	+0	No	+$4	04-01 00:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 04:15 UTC	13	$154	174	0	+174	Down	-$85	06-27 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 09:30 UTC	19	$149	163	0	+163	Up	+$14	06-27 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 17:45 UTC	5	$146	165	0	+165	Down	+$19	06-27 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 17:30 UTC	4	$146	171	0	+171	Up	+$25	06-27 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:00 UTC	4	$146	172	0	+172	Down	-$146	06-27 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:45 UTC	5	$145	168	0	+168	Up	+$23	06-27 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 16:45 UTC	7	$145	172	0	+172	Up	+$28	06-27 16:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 17:15 UTC	5	$144	176	0	+176	Up	-$144	06-27 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 16:30 UTC	11	$144	159	0	+159	Up	+$15	06-27 16:40
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	7	$144	134	134	+0	No	-$6	04-10 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 16:15 UTC	7	$144	170	0	+170	Down	+$26	06-27 16:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 14:30 UTC	11	$136	170	55	+115	Up	-$20	06-27 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	11	$115	130	0	+130	Down	-$115	06-27 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:45 UTC	3	$107	121	0	+121	Up	-$107	06-27 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:45 UTC	10	$106	124	0	+124	Up	+$18	06-27 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:30 UTC	5	$105	129	0	+129	Up	+$23	06-27 18:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:00 UTC	11	$104	114	0	+114	Up	+$10	06-27 15:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 11:00 UTC	10	$103	117	0	+117	Down	+$13	06-27 11:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	9	$101	64	64	+0	No	+$15	04-22 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 08:15 UTC	4	$100	121	0	+121	Down	+$21	06-27 08:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 23:00 UTC	9	$100	115	0	+115	Up	+$15	06-26 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 05:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xe62966…
10-07 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x9b81d8…
10-07 01:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x9e5eaa…
10-07 00:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xbc0180…
10-06 19:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0xd7949a…
10-06 09:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	79	42¢	$33	0x5f2def…
10-06 08:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0xd7bde6…
10-06 07:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x20c59d…
10-06 06:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	159	21¢	$33	0x858979…
10-06 05:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x37a478…
10-06 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	90	25¢	$23	0x11fa69…
10-05 22:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xb2ec98…
10-05 20:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x23a34d…
10-05 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x266f3e…
10-05 19:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xb2b650…
10-05 18:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x9cf70b…
10-05 13:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x871943…
10-05 11:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x6e72bc…
10-05 10:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x0ff804…
10-05 09:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xffac2f…
10-05 02:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0565a0…
10-05 01:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x2dcc3d…
10-05 00:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x533c3e…
10-04 18:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfa772c…
10-04 18:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x338a6c…
10-04 16:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x6a1b48…
10-04 15:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x19f761…
10-04 13:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xac489a…
10-04 11:42:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x69e1a7…
10-04 10:06:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0xe29547…
10-04 01:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x36a01d…
10-03 23:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0x91c533…
10-03 22:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x848a14…
10-03 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x562faa…
10-03 19:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x1436c5…
10-03 18:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x975ade…
10-03 17:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x851a9a…
10-03 17:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xda01a9…
10-03 13:46:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x606204…
10-03 13:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xc1ba6e…
10-03 13:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x56632c…
10-03 07:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xdd47f5…
10-02 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x07ddb6…
10-02 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xca8de1…
10-02 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xca263d…
10-02 12:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x9e03ae…
10-02 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc46f6d…
10-02 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xce808d…
10-02 09:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x15ab6d…
10-02 07:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xb4d2ff…
10-02 03:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4f72a1…
10-02 03:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xa48884…
10-02 02:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc83f0a…
10-01 15:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xde8590…
10-01 15:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x7ac2d1…
10-01 13:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc1764d…
10-01 11:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0xe9090c…
10-01 11:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf0881e…
10-01 11:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb647ea…
10-01 10:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x1be39a…
10-01 10:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x8864af…
10-01 09:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xe177cd…
10-01 09:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x2b4c50…
10-01 08:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x01a4ce…
10-01 03:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xecced9…
10-01 03:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x03b1ea…
09-30 21:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x396382…
09-30 19:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x55d3cb…
09-30 18:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xd10d27…
09-30 17:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x8c868e…
09-30 17:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x3ebfbc…
09-30 12:40:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0x496c81…
09-30 09:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x46514f…
09-30 08:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd4625d…
09-30 08:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x15fb1f…
09-30 02:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x884747…
09-29 23:36:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0xbda5fe…
09-29 21:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x994dab…
09-29 20:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x3fbebb…
09-29 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x518cea…
09-29 15:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8adb5c…
09-29 15:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x104513…
09-29 13:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x44e690…
09-29 10:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x604ec3…
09-29 10:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x299f75…
09-29 01:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xa84a67…
09-28 21:40:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6a5083…
09-28 18:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x64170c…
09-28 14:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x39f596…
09-28 14:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x200bba…
09-28 13:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xbb750a…
09-28 09:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc96d4c…
09-28 07:42:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x7fbf89…
09-28 07:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xfbaa0b…
09-28 03:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf7026e…
09-28 03:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x354ee7…
09-28 01:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x9c1178…
09-28 01:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x190626…
09-28 01:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x3ff7e4…
09-27 22:00:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xde916d…