Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$696
$1,996 in 24h
Trades
58
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$2,621
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 11:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $105 | $105 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $35 | $554 | $519 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $17 | $128 | $111 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $10 | $45 | $35 |
| Median | 13 | $0 | $282 | $282 |
| Below median | 10 | $3 | $166 | $163 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $29 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | +661 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-10 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aed…feac | Yes | +296 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | No | +121 | $119 | $119 | 2 | 05-10 11:42 |
| Belated-Ethics 0x823a…61ab | Yes | +113 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 02:24 |
| Close-Cadet 0x2a3a…a752 | Yes | +106 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:01 |
| Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | +88 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-10 08:27 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +70 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 05-10 10:22 |
| Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 05-10 04:25 |
| Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 11:30 |
| Separate-Consideration 0x84b1…66a4 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 06:02 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-10 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-10 10:28 |
| Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-10 04:26 |
| Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 10:30 |
| Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 18:51 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 07:48 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:17 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 08:53 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 09:08 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 10:28 |
| Cultivated-Bloom 0x25d6…8b30 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 09:03 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 10:22 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 10:28 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 08:46 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:46 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:42:03 | Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x055357… |
| 05-10 11:30:34 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x983572… |
| 05-10 10:30:16 | Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x77c25a… |
| 05-10 10:28:16 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0xef1248… |
| 05-10 10:28:12 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xff2bfc… |
| 05-10 10:28:12 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x5bdd0d… |
| 05-10 10:28:12 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x567131… |
| 05-10 10:22:59 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x2ae165… |
| 05-10 10:22:59 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x0a80fe… |
| 05-10 09:52:18 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7bf917… |
| 05-10 09:52:18 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x866be5… |
| 05-10 09:52:18 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86060c… |
| 05-10 09:44:20 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x48903a… |
| 05-10 09:44:20 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x20d42d… |
| 05-10 09:44:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfefce9… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xccb80a… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x2a36bb… |
| 05-10 09:08:56 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x5c80a9… |
| 05-10 09:03:37 | Cultivated-Bloom 0x25d6…8b30 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xbb8c3c… |
| 05-10 09:03:28 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xd7e473… |
| 05-10 08:56:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x662af5… |
| 05-10 08:53:09 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x7e1dbd… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x223b38… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7267bb… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0bf155… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12630a… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3d19a9… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3d11f7… |
| 05-10 08:46:49 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x11a764… |
| 05-10 08:46:49 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x22fddf… |
| 05-10 08:46:49 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x4059c4… |
| 05-10 08:39:00 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 445 | 2¢ | $8 | 0xa9fe39… |
| 05-10 08:27:34 | Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | BUY | 88 | 99¢ | $87 | 0x2df1f1… |
| 05-10 08:17:27 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xf068dd… |
| 05-10 07:48:55 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe8c977… |
| 05-10 07:01:42 | Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf91199… |
| 05-10 06:58:19 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x30f181… |
| 05-10 06:58:17 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x8889f9… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa9eb98… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8fa597… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb0103b… |
| 05-10 06:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xf7e49b… |
| 05-10 06:02:51 | Separate-Consideration 0x84b1…66a4 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x4ff45a… |
| 05-10 05:27:21 | (anonymous) 0x0aed…feac | Yes | BUY | 296 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x607e67… |
| 05-10 04:26:02 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xdf6435… |
| 05-10 04:25:50 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x8df160… |
| 05-10 04:07:29 | Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xe0b486… |
| 05-10 02:24:28 | Belated-Ethics 0x823a…61ab | Yes | BUY | 113 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x3c8f46… |
| 05-10 00:47:42 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xb603fb… |
| 05-10 00:46:06 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xffd87c… |
| 05-10 00:01:56 | Close-Cadet 0x2a3a…a752 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x5e7f9b… |
| 05-09 20:44:23 | Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x61514d… |
| 05-09 19:17:39 | Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xd01847… |
| 05-09 18:56:28 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x374966… |
| 05-09 18:56:27 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xef4382… |
| 05-09 18:55:11 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0cf4be… |
| 05-09 18:51:17 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8d9823… |
| 05-09 18:51:13 | Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x690801… |