Close-Cadet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,191

lifetime

Volume

$8.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-26 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

53% — —

Other

29% 29% $-5

Politics

10% 0% $-0

Sports

6% 0% $-32

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$498	351	347	+4	open	—	04-15 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	9	$262	319	192	+127	open	—	05-23 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	11	$253	217	217	+0	open	—	05-23 22:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	13	$202	140	140	+0	open	—	05-19 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$188	329	182	+147	open	—	05-23 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$172	149	149	+0	open	—	05-25 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$162	164	164	+0	open	—	05-25 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	9	$150	109	109	+0	open	—	05-25 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$145	91	91	+0	open	—	04-14 17:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	18	$117	63	58	+5	open	—	04-19 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$99	70	70	+0	open	—	05-23 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	11	$94	61	61	+0	open	—	05-23 21:57
Iran leadership change by April 30?	17	$94	61	36	+24	open	—	04-30 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	14	$87	110	59	+51	open	—	05-23 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	05-23 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$85	55	55	+0	open	—	05-25 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$82	58	58	+0	open	—	05-25 21:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	13	$78	36	44	-7	open	—	04-30 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$74	63	63	+0	open	—	05-23 22:24
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	24	$72	370	405	-35	open	—	05-17 13:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	15	$71	40	33	+6	open	—	04-30 14:11
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$70	69	69	+0	open	—	05-22 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 27?	12	$69	85	83	+2	open	—	04-27 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$68	39	39	+0	open	—	05-25 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$66	112	20	+92	open	—	05-23 22:28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	4	$66	61	61	+0	open	—	05-21 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$66	51	46	+5	open	—	05-23 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	5	$65	41	41	+0	open	—	05-23 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	05-23 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 26?	12	$62	69	67	+1	open	—	04-26 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 20:09:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7df890…
05-26 19:59:42	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6b65a8…
05-26 19:59:24	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x86948f…
05-26 19:59:17	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf07073…
05-26 19:57:32	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe4a354…
05-26 19:55:23	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x50c2dd…
05-26 19:54:27	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x093d26…
05-26 19:50:29	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0735e1…
05-26 19:46:48	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfca92f…
05-26 19:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x379a1c…
05-26 19:27:18	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x213c5a…
05-26 19:26:34	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x889dd9…
05-26 03:04:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb953b9…
05-26 03:01:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x80d76f…
05-26 02:56:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26f245…
05-26 02:52:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3e1360…
05-26 02:44:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc647eb…
05-26 02:43:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x23f9a4…
05-26 02:40:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0732de…
05-26 02:40:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8b4759…
05-26 02:40:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x72cad8…
05-26 02:35:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x27e8a1…
05-26 02:35:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfb062b…
05-26 02:35:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbcf68a…
05-26 02:29:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2dc2d6…
05-25 22:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x338f66…
05-25 22:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x554fb4…
05-25 22:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x611ef6…
05-25 22:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb264fc…
05-25 22:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1487ed…
05-25 22:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7f5f70…
05-25 22:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1d2778…
05-25 22:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad822d…
05-25 22:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2500c5…
05-25 22:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0xba9cba…
05-25 22:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x364f2b…
05-25 22:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x763ab1…
05-25 22:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8d8cc7…
05-25 22:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe1dc2c…
05-25 22:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa7722a…
05-25 22:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x368943…
05-25 22:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa85863…
05-25 22:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x9a09da…
05-25 22:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfb79c4…
05-25 22:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xca1673…
05-25 22:17:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x241598…
05-25 22:17:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x33a637…
05-25 22:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b0f38…
05-25 22:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x708ee7…
05-25 22:16:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x43ea7e…
05-25 22:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x40c9b1…
05-25 22:12:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb22a76…
05-25 22:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8ccb20…
05-25 22:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b79b3…
05-25 22:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a498f…
05-25 22:05:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x5102cd…
05-25 22:03:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26e6e9…
05-25 22:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8631d7…
05-25 22:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1eb365…
05-25 22:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x75e63f…
05-25 22:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0xf89916…
05-25 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb138e…
05-25 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1d77ff…
05-25 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x14c84c…
05-25 21:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5b82be…
05-25 21:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfe08f4…
05-25 21:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x4e544d…
05-25 21:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcd0429…
05-25 21:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x61649a…
05-25 21:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x878cc9…
05-25 21:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9f36e…
05-25 21:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa51399…
05-25 21:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xddf723…
05-25 21:43:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x36d875…
05-25 21:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa982c3…
05-25 21:38:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x62025b…
05-25 21:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbce854…
05-25 21:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	87¢	$24	0x3ef374…
05-25 21:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa8d107…
05-25 21:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x467e6f…
05-25 21:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x467460…
05-25 21:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x96f829…
05-25 21:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x96cea8…
05-25 21:25:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xbe68c5…
05-25 21:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x18ba81…
05-25 21:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xd43751…
05-25 21:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x987409…
05-25 21:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc6ec64…
05-25 21:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe7d6d4…
05-25 21:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x36e446…
05-25 21:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x769204…
05-25 21:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x08f7fa…
05-25 21:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x4d091e…
05-25 21:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3ec23b…
05-25 21:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x285561…
05-25 21:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xa23f5f…
05-25 20:57:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x937c3d…
05-25 20:57:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d71d4…
05-25 20:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc44ab0…
05-25 20:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x59ff32…