Close-Cadet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$612

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

749

Trades

2,043

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-27 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 53% -$83

Other

38% 30% -$512

Politics

9% 32% +$37

Sports

6% 45% -$46

Tech

1% 67% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes		-5	-$3	15¢	$-1	+$2	05-08 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$498	351	347	+4	No	-$26	04-15 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	12	$415	436	436	+0	Up	+$35	05-23 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	9	$262	319	192	+127	Up	-$113	05-23 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	11	$253	217	217	+0	Up	-$17	05-23 22:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	13	$202	140	140	+0	Yes	+$10	05-19 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$172	149	149	+0	Up	+$12	05-25 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$162	164	164	+0	Down	-$38	05-25 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	9	$150	109	109	+0	Up	-$20	05-25 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$145	91	91	+0	No	-$5	04-14 17:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	18	$117	63	58	+5	No	+$1	04-19 21:22
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$115	110	100	+10	Yes	+$95	05-16 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$99	70	70	+0	Up	+$19	05-23 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	11	$94	61	61	+0	Up	+$4	05-23 21:57
Iran leadership change by April 30?	17	$94	61	36	+24	No	+$1	04-30 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	14	$87	110	59	+51	Up	+$17	05-23 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$85	60	60	+0	Down	+$15	05-23 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$85	55	55	+0	Down	+$25	05-25 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$82	58	58	+0	Down	+$2	05-25 21:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	13	$78	36	44	-7	No	+$1	04-30 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$74	63	63	+0	Down	-$6	05-23 22:24
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	24	$72	370	405	-35	No	-$61	05-17 13:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	15	$71	40	33	+6	No	+$1	04-30 14:11
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$70	69	69	+0	Yes	+$66	05-22 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 27?	12	$69	85	83	+2	No	-$10	04-27 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$68	39	39	+0	Down	+$8	05-25 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$66	112	20	+92	Down	+$39	05-23 22:28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	4	$66	61	61	+0	Yes	+$27	05-21 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$66	51	46	+5	Down	+$11	05-23 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	5	$65	41	41	+0	Up	+$15	05-23 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$62	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	05-23 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 02:15:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x98cbd6…
05-26 20:09:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7df890…
05-26 19:59:42	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6b65a8…
05-26 19:59:24	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x86948f…
05-26 19:59:17	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf07073…
05-26 19:57:32	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe4a354…
05-26 19:55:23	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x50c2dd…
05-26 19:54:27	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x093d26…
05-26 19:50:29	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0735e1…
05-26 19:46:48	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfca92f…
05-26 19:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x379a1c…
05-26 19:27:18	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x213c5a…
05-26 19:26:34	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x889dd9…
05-26 10:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x1b75ba…
05-26 10:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x16ff2e…
05-26 10:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xcc1f88…
05-26 10:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x2e5b1e…
05-26 07:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa24844…
05-26 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb72e3e…
05-26 05:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x60b560…
05-26 04:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x043493…
05-26 04:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x56c6b4…
05-26 04:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x18a29a…
05-26 04:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xe8ce9a…
05-26 03:04:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb953b9…
05-26 03:01:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x80d76f…
05-26 02:56:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26f245…
05-26 02:52:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3e1360…
05-26 02:50:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3b0ddc…
05-26 02:44:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc647eb…
05-26 02:43:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x23f9a4…
05-26 02:40:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0732de…
05-26 02:40:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8b4759…
05-26 02:40:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x72cad8…
05-26 02:35:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x27e8a1…
05-26 02:35:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfb062b…
05-26 02:35:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbcf68a…
05-26 02:29:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2dc2d6…
05-25 22:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x338f66…
05-25 22:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x554fb4…
05-25 22:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x611ef6…
05-25 22:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb264fc…
05-25 22:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1487ed…
05-25 22:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7f5f70…
05-25 22:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1d2778…
05-25 22:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad822d…
05-25 22:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2500c5…
05-25 22:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0xba9cba…
05-25 22:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x364f2b…
05-25 22:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x763ab1…
05-25 22:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8d8cc7…
05-25 22:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe1dc2c…
05-25 22:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa7722a…
05-25 22:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x368943…
05-25 22:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa85863…
05-25 22:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x9a09da…
05-25 22:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfb79c4…
05-25 22:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xca1673…
05-25 22:17:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x241598…
05-25 22:17:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x33a637…
05-25 22:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b0f38…
05-25 22:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x708ee7…
05-25 22:16:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x43ea7e…
05-25 22:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x40c9b1…
05-25 22:12:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb22a76…
05-25 22:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8ccb20…
05-25 22:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b79b3…
05-25 22:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a498f…
05-25 22:05:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x5102cd…
05-25 22:03:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26e6e9…
05-25 22:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8631d7…
05-25 22:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1eb365…
05-25 22:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x75e63f…
05-25 22:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0xf89916…
05-25 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb138e…
05-25 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1d77ff…
05-25 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x14c84c…
05-25 21:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5b82be…
05-25 21:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfe08f4…
05-25 21:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x4e544d…
05-25 21:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcd0429…
05-25 21:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x61649a…
05-25 21:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x878cc9…
05-25 21:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9f36e…
05-25 21:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa51399…
05-25 21:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xddf723…
05-25 21:43:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x36d875…
05-25 21:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa982c3…
05-25 21:38:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x62025b…
05-25 21:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbce854…
05-25 21:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	87¢	$24	0x3ef374…
05-25 21:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa8d107…
05-25 21:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x467e6f…
05-25 21:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x467460…
05-25 21:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x96f829…
05-25 21:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x96cea8…
05-25 21:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 25?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x7ffc02…
05-25 21:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$6	0xcb26e1…
05-25 21:25:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xbe68c5…
05-25 21:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x18ba81…