Indolent-Cummerbund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$723

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

508

Trades

976

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-25 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

47% 49% -$549

Crypto

36% 46% -$31

Politics

12% 29% -$45

Sports

3% 17% -$25

Tech

1% 14% -$73

Pop-Culture

0% 40% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	3	$459	245	245	+0	Team Spirit	+$31	05-21 23:54
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	9	$277	233	233	+0	No	+$27	05-18 14:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	3	$252	432	112	+320	Up	-$85	05-19 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?	2	$250	136	136	+0	No	+$20	05-20 09:11
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$250	187	187	+0	No	+$78	05-14 02:46
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	5	$243	255	155	+100	Team Falcons	+$1	05-20 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$240	218	218	+0	No	-$11	05-21 20:20
Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?	7	$236	260	260	+0	Yes	-$100	05-25 11:40
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffs	2	$233	144	144	+0	EDward Gaming	+$54	05-10 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?	3	$225	259	259	+0	Yes	-$175	05-22 05:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	2	$213	115	115	+0	No	+$13	05-21 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$212	115	115	+0	Down	+$12	05-15 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?	2	$209	112	112	+0	No	+$9	05-20 08:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$206	111	111	+0	open	—	05-10 17:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	2	$206	108	108	+0	No	+$10	05-21 08:05
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$199	133	133	+0	Athletics	-$1	05-21 03:33
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$189	99	99	+0	Thunder	+$9	05-21 03:03
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$179	105	105	+0	No	-$1	05-21 07:10
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$171	98	98	+0	Down	+$8	05-19 16:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 10?	3	$170	91	91	+0	No	+$10	05-10 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$165	86	86	+0	Up	+$5	05-15 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$153	78	78	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	2	$149	81	81	+0	No	+$12	05-10 07:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$136	99	99	+0	No	+$6	05-21 20:00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$132	84	84	+0	No	-$6	05-21 20:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?	3	$130	81	81	+0	Yes	+$15	05-19 14:00
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	8	$126	340	132	+208	Yes	-$64	04-23 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$123	79	79	+0	Down	+$33	05-15 12:54
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	4	$123	110	110	+0	M80	-$17	05-20 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$113	64	64	+0	Up	+$13	05-15 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 11:40:30	Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?	No	SELL	229	24¢	$54	0x4c6c2b…
05-25 03:50:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	118	3¢	$3	0x0f4c55…
05-25 03:39:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x191494…
05-24 14:06:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	132	2¢	$3	0xa72c38…
05-24 14:06:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0xb6390e…
05-24 13:29:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0x2d6c7b…
05-24 10:20:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x5a0281…
05-24 10:20:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	132	2¢	$3	0xeed90e…
05-24 10:19:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0bd3e2…
05-24 09:28:54	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0x765543…
05-23 15:42:26	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x5c4175…
05-23 15:20:05	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0x960a4c…
05-23 12:19:33	Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Wolves (BO9) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2	AG Super Play	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x947a30…
05-23 11:32:46	Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Wolves (BO9) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2	AG Super Play	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x88e050…
05-23 10:40:35	Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Wolves (BO9) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2	Wolves	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x0cba91…
05-23 09:48:47	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xfd4477…
05-23 09:24:54	Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Wolves (BO9) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2	AG Super Play	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x9d0aae…
05-23 09:15:23	Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Wolves (BO9) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2	Wolves	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x47ad6f…
05-22 16:21:44	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xa2cca1…
05-22 16:20:02	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x237a08…
05-22 16:16:06	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0xb97125…
05-22 10:39:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	SELL	1,111	1¢	$13	0x875485…
05-22 06:41:06	Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xe67540…
05-22 06:39:44	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x6b7335…
05-22 06:39:23	Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?	No	BUY	66	68¢	$45	0xc8ab0a…
05-22 06:38:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xa2973c…
05-22 05:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x7b7d80…
05-22 05:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x6a7955…
05-22 05:36:51	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster Challengers	SELL	46	82¢	$38	0xee3c70…
05-22 05:35:29	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0x918612…
05-22 05:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?	No	SELL	259	10¢	$25	0x37690d…
05-22 02:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x5692ed…
05-22 02:14:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	1,111	2¢	$25	0x64aecb…
05-22 02:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x55956d…
05-21 23:54:19	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x3ccd50…
05-21 20:28:08	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x382be6…
05-21 20:24:21	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xd57f99…
05-21 20:20:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	169	50¢	$85	0x4bae48…
05-21 20:16:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	38	73¢	$28	0x3d2341…
05-21 20:16:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	84	75¢	$63	0x63f233…
05-21 20:15:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x0584b6…
05-21 20:15:43	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0xa0be04…
05-21 20:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	169	51¢	$86	0x363a11…
05-21 20:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xd0377b…
05-21 20:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x196450…
05-21 20:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8ca2b9…
05-21 20:00:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	83¢	$36	0xe4909c…
05-21 13:51:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	145	76¢	$110	0x1e4a39…
05-21 13:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0x91e65c…
05-21 11:46:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc157ac…
05-21 08:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$108	0x26bbe0…
05-21 07:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	108	90¢	$98	0xa6d3d2…
05-21 07:10:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	105	85¢	$89	0x83f054…
05-21 03:57:40	ITF Takasaki: Haruka Kaji vs Fangran Tian	Haruka Kaji	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x14c384…
05-21 03:38:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	105	86¢	$90	0xf2ae83…
05-21 03:35:58	ITF Takasaki: Haruka Kaji vs Fangran Tian	Haruka Kaji	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x777bd4…
05-21 03:33:36	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	133	74¢	$99	0x269a69…
05-21 03:30:12	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x8ac436…
05-21 03:03:55	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xe6b6c3…
05-21 02:53:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xbd4750…
05-21 02:40:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	76	47¢	$36	0x890f64…
05-21 02:40:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0x3f9122…
05-21 01:24:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf68f82…
05-21 01:24:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x32526b…
05-20 16:10:35	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	62	85¢	$53	0x359011…
05-20 16:10:09	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x5f1448…
05-20 16:10:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xf4205d…
05-20 15:53:14	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	84	82¢	$69	0x2f2d5f…
05-20 15:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xfbff8f…
05-20 14:50:36	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	32	24¢	$8	0x690c61…
05-20 09:39:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x4061e1…
05-20 09:38:45	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x8ba0c5…
05-20 09:38:28	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x50c946…
05-20 09:38:21	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x46fe40…
05-20 09:15:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	76	72¢	$55	0x3352db…
05-20 09:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x57619d…
05-20 08:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?	No	BUY	136	84¢	$115	0x54f4bf…
05-20 08:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?	No	SELL	112	97¢	$109	0x89991f…
05-20 07:43:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x36a9a6…
05-20 07:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x1784a1…
05-20 07:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x42ff57…
05-20 07:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc655cd…
05-20 07:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x076120…
05-20 07:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x17b0df…
05-20 07:33:55	Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x4ec7ef…
05-20 07:33:29	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x22cf50…
05-20 07:28:44	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7dd9a2…
05-20 07:26:36	Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xd8615d…
05-20 07:26:17	Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	SELL	67	18¢	$12	0xfee2ed…
05-20 07:22:26	Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xf8d9a1…
05-20 07:18:23	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x12d5ae…
05-20 07:18:00	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x3ebefa…
05-20 07:08:57	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xac60fd…
05-20 07:07:54	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xe29ad7…
05-20 07:05:06	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x48235d…
05-20 07:03:00	Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xf1a103…
05-20 07:01:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x0d7936…
05-20 07:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x5d8785…
05-20 06:57:58	Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?	No	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x5bad68…
05-20 06:56:49	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xc9dac7…