Costly-Papaya — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$3.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-11 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$0

Other

38% 0% $-0

Politics

8% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	07-30 18:23
will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	4	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	04-20 08:11
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	07-26 04:26
will wti reach 115 by july 20 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-24 21:02
will nvda reach 224 by june 22 2026	4	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	06-26 16:52
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-20 23:53
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-22 22:05
will ethereum reach 1950 on july 23	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-24 00:28
bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	07-11 00:38
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 22 2026 16c	4	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-22 14:10
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	4	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-19 12:13
will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-24 21:03
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 23	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 18:43
Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 16:53
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 13:43
highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 78 79f	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 05:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-31 21:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 29?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-28 20:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 13:34
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	06-01 03:14
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 21:18
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-17 02:38
khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 45 49	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 07:40
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 21c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 12:35
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 27?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-27 08:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 16:54
Will France strike Iran by April 30?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 12:51
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	02-08 04:46
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	06-03 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:52:45	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf7d019…
08-10 12:02:22	xrp above 1pt3 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x391383…
08-09 14:03:37	will super troopers 3 score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011231498	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7f41e3…
08-09 06:50:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbbb9fb…
08-01 00:29:30	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd89a43…
07-31 18:06:30	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x88374f…
07-31 17:08:05	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xec2244…
07-30 19:19:48	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x078415…
07-30 18:24:54	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2a549f…
07-30 18:23:42	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa41325…
07-30 16:58:33	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x69e6ad…
07-30 13:11:26	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfbf0fc…
07-30 10:51:42	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf458ce…
07-30 07:55:21	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x587d67…
07-30 00:25:12	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdee968…
07-29 18:42:30	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xaef212…
07-29 16:40:29	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0847f1…
07-28 14:10:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xf03fb3…
07-27 16:57:45	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x6a50e3…
07-27 03:14:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8d42d0…
07-27 00:17:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a07b6…
07-26 04:26:52	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0x93fa98…
07-25 22:20:12	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x1e76d6…
07-25 02:42:19	ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb1733d…
07-25 02:40:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x56f0d3…
07-24 23:08:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdec1c0…
07-24 21:27:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc6dcb0…
07-24 21:03:48	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2c1488…
07-24 21:02:28	will wti reach 115 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x13d900…
07-24 17:02:27	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf07370…
07-24 12:30:49	will wti reach 115 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb170fb…
07-24 00:28:21	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 23	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xcd1e76…
07-23 22:53:27	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 23	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe109fc…
07-22 22:05:30	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa0d697…
07-22 20:33:33	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6fe3d7…
07-22 17:44:19	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x26950d…
07-22 15:00:58	bitcoin above 64k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7e3161…
07-22 13:05:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa81fa6…
07-20 23:53:55	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x677933…
07-20 20:40:51	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x15738f…
07-20 13:04:15	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc81de0…
07-20 07:05:03	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa8f1b6…
07-20 03:31:28	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 19	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6f64da…
07-20 02:29:00	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe09ccd…
07-19 12:13:51	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x02de9d…
07-19 08:37:03	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3b9c9b…
07-19 08:33:16	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x811581…
07-19 01:27:34	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x35674e…
07-11 00:38:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe7c802…
07-11 00:27:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe64263…
07-10 13:44:05	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x43e581…
07-10 13:12:52	ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x91a801…
06-26 16:52:50	will nvda reach 224 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x35dc53…
06-26 16:47:02	will nvda reach 224 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6a2dbe…
06-26 16:45:10	will nvda reach 224 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x78afd6…
06-26 15:27:31	will nvda reach 224 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4e961b…
06-08 19:42:43	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x709b40…
06-07 04:02:37	will solana reach 75 on june 6	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf6c952…
06-06 23:59:01	will solana reach 75 on june 6	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x072a81…
06-03 11:41:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8759a2…
06-03 08:50:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xafc046…
06-03 02:13:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdeb163…
06-01 19:43:58	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd88e07…
06-01 16:54:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x34bfb8…
06-01 16:53:12	Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x787650…
06-01 14:55:13	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x55e625…
06-01 08:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcebd66…
06-01 08:01:44	Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb236f…
06-01 03:14:54	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x89e89e…
06-01 01:15:37	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3cb576…
06-01 00:19:09	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x84ebd0…
05-31 21:00:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x249178…
05-31 11:19:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xafff79…
05-31 11:06:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x82daa1…
05-31 07:32:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x16a9d6…
05-31 07:03:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5565e5…
05-31 01:35:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xef3970…
05-30 16:49:07	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85f353…
05-30 11:21:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2a5db7…
05-29 23:47:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xec130e…
05-29 22:24:03	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8ba1b2…
05-29 21:08:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x47ea1a…
05-29 12:41:56	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6f1137…
05-28 20:41:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x72b430…
05-28 15:46:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4875bc…
05-26 14:57:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb651fd…
05-26 14:23:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf0d2f5…
05-26 13:14:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa6380d…
05-26 04:18:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d446e…
05-25 06:06:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc67a12…
05-24 22:20:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcb0392…
05-24 21:58:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf749ee…
05-22 14:18:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcb8a6b…
05-19 19:30:11	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x75af42…
05-19 12:06:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xce5767…
05-17 02:38:16	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6cd382…
05-16 19:47:38	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfb4a13…
05-16 14:18:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8224a8…
05-16 05:03:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0792ba…
05-16 03:16:21	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8ee442…