Detailed-Outrigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 07-22 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

43% 100% +$0

Politics

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	6	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	07-21 03:04
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	07-22 23:10
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 12?	3	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:53
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	02-05 16:00
highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 72forhigher	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 21:16
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 26c	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 01:13
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 21 2026 32c	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 13:26
highest temperature in mexico city on april 18 2026 24c	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 05:43
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-20 21:02
highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 67forbelow	3	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 06:01
Will BNB reach $700 in April?	3	$37	26	11	+16	open	—	05-01 00:46
xrp above 1pt3 on april 24	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 05:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-26 23:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	06-07 08:43
highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 26c	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 19:52
highest temperature in chongqing on april 23 2026 29c	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 19:53
highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 74 75f	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 14:02
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-25 00:51
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on April 24?	5	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 16:54
Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-02 21:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-21 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	07-21 08:35
highest temperature in lucknow on april 17 2026 47corhigher	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 16:07
bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	07-10 14:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 10:15
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 12c	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 06:02
will gemini 3 pro be the best ai model on april 24 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-23 19:55
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 18:27
bitcoin above 58k on july 22 2026	1	$30	0	30	-30	open	—	07-21 15:58
solana above 70 on april 15	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-15 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 23:10:15	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xb934d0…
07-22 21:56:01	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x5ce472…
07-22 13:47:12	ethereum above 1800 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xe7842c…
07-21 15:58:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcacbc7…
07-21 08:35:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc5b9f1…
07-21 07:55:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcfdab9…
07-21 03:04:16	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcf58f3…
07-20 23:17:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x61a902…
07-20 22:06:12	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x994e04…
07-20 21:33:28	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0x178c30…
07-20 21:10:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x07185d…
07-20 21:02:55	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x62f5f5…
07-20 20:42:30	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x28ba45…
07-20 16:11:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc65703…
07-20 01:40:01	will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7cfff8…
07-19 03:30:09	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb6cca6…
07-19 03:28:57	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x40a898…
07-19 01:41:52	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf874d5…
07-18 21:57:48	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x303151…
07-10 23:54:28	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 10	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x63a0ad…
07-10 22:54:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2ea42e…
07-10 14:52:37	bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x904505…
06-08 20:44:45	bitcoin above 70k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcdbca8…
06-07 08:51:48	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd88c4d…
06-07 08:43:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0ccbb1…
06-07 02:38:52	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x383fc6…
06-06 17:31:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x22fe64…
06-05 23:41:54	bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x612af1…
06-05 04:14:13	bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x61ebf8…
06-04 03:13:30	will thomas coxe advance from the ca 19 primary election 984	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4832e3…
06-02 21:03:11	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa3aae9…
06-01 17:24:25	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3859a7…
06-01 10:56:54	Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda8609…
06-01 00:44:59	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdf148…
06-01 00:39:30	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa0e532…
06-01 00:39:28	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xae3b37…
06-01 00:30:59	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4a1cd8…
05-31 21:05:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x60d562…
05-31 19:33:10	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x25a6f6…
05-31 09:09:26	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x350fc5…
05-31 07:31:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0e9dc4…
05-31 00:40:53	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb6c6ef…
05-30 21:54:54	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf06ebd…
05-30 16:16:58	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ef0ab…
05-29 16:09:38	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x308218…
05-29 14:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xea4a96…
05-29 14:35:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x261c14…
05-29 13:37:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xcbbca5…
05-29 00:17:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc1a86d…
05-28 17:11:31	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4a0efb…
05-28 09:14:26	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x904a20…
05-26 23:18:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcbe751…
05-26 15:45:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc62de7…
05-26 08:45:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x271a45…
05-25 08:55:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff0f6b…
05-25 00:51:39	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x01fa74…
05-24 21:14:04	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf456ee…
05-23 07:58:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2baab…
05-21 16:00:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x57683f…
05-21 08:54:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x20e93c…
05-19 21:59:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xce8446…
05-19 12:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfd59be…
05-17 10:07:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x46ccec…
05-16 18:27:59	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x10e797…
05-16 18:23:40	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x89e160…
05-16 18:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x640b0a…
05-16 17:11:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeec395…
05-16 08:40:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3a9b3…
05-15 08:41:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3b1d05…
05-15 08:08:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x34b698…
05-15 04:44:14	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbf2642…
05-15 04:02:23	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xf24c06…
05-15 02:44:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe07ad6…
05-15 00:51:26	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c74d6…
05-14 21:52:59	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1d8271…
05-14 13:22:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xebfafe…
05-14 10:15:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x034817…
05-14 09:11:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa63a21…
05-13 22:35:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa56198…
05-12 04:53:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x474f28…
05-12 01:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb5ba7b…
05-11 21:41:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd2c3a7…
05-11 21:25:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x75f8b7…
05-11 17:21:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3aeba0…
05-08 12:16:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4f2ad8…
05-07 19:18:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7c229…
05-01 00:46:14	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x73faf1…
04-30 16:39:00	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x509bb9…
04-30 10:55:14	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x30dbac…
04-27 13:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2adecb…
04-27 08:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7f65bb…
04-27 07:06:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6a58e…
04-27 06:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3efde7…
04-27 05:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x128360…
04-26 12:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x10ded0…
04-26 08:45:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa24426…
04-25 04:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x725f18…
04-25 02:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb29b9c…
04-24 21:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67a8a6…
04-24 18:57:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfe7ded…