Detailed-Outrigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

436

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

75% 82% +$3

Crypto

18% 83% +$1

Politics

4% 79% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	6	$103	52	52	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 03:04
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-27 20:52
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	4	$84	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-30 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 28?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-28 17:08
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?	2	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 16:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 24?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 12?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-19 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 10?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-10 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 7?	6	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-07 04:41
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$67	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 22:14
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	6	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-17 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 87°F or below on July 18?	4	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	09-11 21:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28?	4	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-28 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 19?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-19 06:36
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-26 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 30?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 24?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-24 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?	7	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-21 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on July 23?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-22 12:24
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	3	$62	42	20	+21	Yes	+$0	07-31 01:13
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	10-12 04:46
bitcoin above 58k on july 22 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 27?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-26 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 00:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 14:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 28?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-28 00:23
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 2 and 3 days?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-01 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on May 27?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-27 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xedf32d…
10-18 22:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbad6d8…
10-16 10:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd0e8c1…
10-13 13:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x80488b…
10-13 08:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0c148a…
10-12 11:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xda8909…
10-12 08:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x25a6d2…
10-12 04:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x22aba2…
10-11 18:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9c9044…
10-10 05:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1f0f33…
10-10 02:30:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xbbb68e…
10-05 09:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x21ae3c…
10-02 02:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdd1209…
10-01 22:32:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2e0e38…
10-01 05:31:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc80945…
09-28 02:48:36	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x45bd88…
09-27 20:01:20	Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6f0b2c…
09-23 04:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6aa020…
09-23 01:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x218395…
09-22 20:45:48	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x53db7c…
09-22 19:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x11e96a…
09-22 12:28:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7390a5…
09-21 20:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 22?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5b04c4…
09-19 00:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 19?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x20ba67…
09-18 00:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xd1c3b0…
09-13 04:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8cce03…
09-11 21:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x7d2a47…
09-11 02:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcf3006…
09-10 19:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x02c7cf…
09-07 15:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e970d…
09-06 15:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 7°C on September 7?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc4ceca…
09-06 07:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x304a65…
09-06 00:54:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x565162…
09-05 05:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb4603f…
09-04 23:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb7ea87…
09-04 20:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xbd69df…
09-04 13:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xdb2b2b…
09-04 11:22:03	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xedd3c3…
09-04 02:08:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0a4d77…
09-03 14:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x43a5b2…
09-03 12:42:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9d5f4…
09-03 00:21:51	will bitcoin dip to 74k on september 2 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x06507e…
09-02 15:03:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd3fce7…
09-02 12:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4d286e…
09-02 05:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x32c460…
09-01 22:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4e2403…
09-01 07:40:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0dc916…
09-01 02:21:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9d79f6…
08-31 04:17:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xae87f7…
08-30 22:36:09	Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x208fea…
08-30 17:21:28	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3d46c6…
08-30 12:19:12	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f0e7c…
08-30 04:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x04023b…
08-29 19:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca10d0…
08-28 17:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f5a5a…
08-28 13:19:40	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x11bc94…
08-28 05:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4e1a57…
08-27 09:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x07cc02…
08-27 06:18:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd73626…
08-27 01:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd2943b…
08-26 21:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xa52f72…
08-26 11:44:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xb1e0da…
08-25 12:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x03e2ac…
08-25 03:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcc7681…
08-24 22:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf46801…
08-24 19:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x714fcf…
08-24 12:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2b98d2…
08-24 04:45:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x69582d…
08-23 18:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x491021…
08-14 18:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x669547…
08-14 09:26:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xd90d1e…
08-13 18:47:10	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xddb5a4…
08-13 16:19:28	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4e77c7…
08-13 08:31:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x7e8573…
08-13 06:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8343cc…
08-13 05:31:22	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xed236e…
08-12 21:00:12	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 12	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2da7d4…
08-12 06:21:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5ac107…
08-12 03:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdbf217…
08-12 01:32:01	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x92a177…
08-11 20:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa5b72e…
08-11 12:46:31	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6400ff…
08-10 23:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xbd7ec9…
08-10 20:24:16	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x457e98…
08-10 13:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf94239…
08-10 11:30:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xad27a6…
08-09 14:23:42	will super troopers 3 score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011231498	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x835b9b…
08-09 10:01:30	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x229afb…
08-09 04:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x428eb0…
08-09 02:30:09	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x711bd1…
08-08 17:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xde90d6…
08-08 07:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcd4dc…
08-08 02:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x8df5c9…
08-07 19:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6bfb5d…
08-07 18:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbf0a99…
08-07 11:33:09	will wti dip to 60 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8d5a60…
08-07 10:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0d551d…
08-06 07:09:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4ecfa6…
08-06 03:01:41	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3ee80…
08-05 23:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xde9291…